Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Delta Taiwan Outperforms Delta Thailand After Showcasing Its AI Power Efficiency Solutions at NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)'s GTC Conference </li>
<li>Delta Taiwan vs. Thailand Valuation Mismatch Has Corrected Further; Delta Thailand Finally Worth Less Than Its Parent</li>
<li>Short Interest Spiked for Delta Taiwan; Taiwan Rally Short-Term Overdone Due to AI Concept Stock Hype?</li>
</ul>


Delta Taiwan Outperforms Delta Thailand After Showcasing Its AI Power Efficiency Solutions at NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)'s GTC Conference 
Delta Taiwan vs. Thailand Valuation Mismatch Has Corrected Further; Delta Thailand Finally Worth Less Than Its Parent
Short Interest Spiked for Delta Taiwan; Taiwan Rally Short-Term Overdone Due to AI Concept Stock Hype?


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Taiwan Surges As New AI Play; But Shorts Amassing as Well

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul><li>I wrote about this in my recent post about HBM, and it seems almost everything I talked about became true. HBM is going to bail out the memory markets meaningfully.</li><li>Let’s talk about earnings, but I was hoping you could keep this post in mind while I discuss Micron.</li><li><p>These are the kinds of beats we start to see when the cycle turns. Now, the stocks have begun to anticipate this, but given the pricing dynamics of HBM, I feel very confident in Micron’s ability to hit a new cycle high in profitability.</p></li></ul>

I wrote about this in my recent post about HBM, and it seems almost everything I talked about became true. HBM is going to bail out the memory markets meaningfully.Let’s talk about earnings, but I was hoping you could keep this post in mind while I discuss Micron.These are the kinds of beats we start to see when the cycle turns. Now, the stocks have begun to anticipate this, but given the pricing dynamics of HBM, I feel very confident in Micron’s ability to hit a new cycle high in profitability.

Micron's Earnings and Broadcom's Accelerators

<ul>
<li>Micron shares have soared after the company reported its latest results with forward margin guidance well above consensus expectations.</li>
<li>Micron appears to be successfully leapfrogging into ther HBM memory space, and says that its production for 2024E is sold out and for 2025E is already all 'allocated'.</li>
<li>Taiwan's Nanya Tech has lagged its peers by a wide margin; Nanya lacks HBM products however HBM market demand is driving supply tightness for all DRAM.</li>
</ul>


Micron shares have soared after the company reported its latest results with forward margin guidance well above consensus expectations.
Micron appears to be successfully leapfrogging into ther HBM memory space, and says that its production for 2024E is sold out and for 2025E is already all 'allocated'.
Taiwan's Nanya Tech has lagged its peers by a wide margin; Nanya lacks HBM products however HBM market demand is driving supply tightness for all DRAM.


Memory Monitor: Micron Leapfrogging Into HBM3E for AI; Nanya Lagging Peers But Poised to Benefit

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Micron Technology reported very positive revenues this quarter and a return to profitability</li>
<li>A large part of this stems from the impact that HBM demand is constraining production of standard DDR5 DRAM, driving it into a shortage</li>
<li>This is good news for Micron and its DRAM competitors Samsung and SK hynix</li>
</ul>


Micron Technology reported very positive revenues this quarter and a return to profitability
A large part of this stems from the impact that HBM demand is constraining production of standard DDR5 DRAM, driving it into a shortage
This is good news for Micron and its DRAM competitors Samsung and SK hynix


Micron Earnings: HBM Driving Price Increases in Other Sectors

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> revenue growth target for 2024F is set at 25% or higher.</li>
<li>TSMC's dominance in the CoWoS market, with nearly 100% share, positions them well.</li>
<li>TSMC's plans to establish a new Fab in Chiayi, Taiwan, reflect the growing end demand.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) revenue growth target for 2024F is set at 25% or higher.
TSMC's dominance in the CoWoS market, with nearly 100% share, positions them well.
TSMC's plans to establish a new Fab in Chiayi, Taiwan, reflect the growing end demand.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Raising Growth Target to 25%+ YoY in 2024F.

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Taiwan Surges As New AI Play; But Shorts Amassing as Well

Delta Taiwan's AI power efficiency solutions showcased at NVIDIA Corp's GTC Conference drove outperformance vs. Delta Thailand. However, short...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron's Earnings and Broadcom's Accelerators

It's all about AI. Micron is proving the memory thesis true, and Broadcom has a new accelerator customer. Also Nvidia's Moat.

Fabricated Knowledge

Memory Monitor: Micron Leapfrogging Into HBM3E for AI; Nanya Lagging Peers But Poised to Benefit

Micron's strong results and forward margin guidance lead to soaring shares, with successful leapfrogging into HBM memory space and high demand...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron Earnings: HBM Driving Price Increases in Other Sectors

Micron Technology sees positive revenues and profitability due to HBM demand creating a DDR5 DRAM shortage, benefiting Micron, Samsung, and SK hynix.

Jim Handy

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Raising Growth Target to 25%+ YoY in 2024F.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) aims for 25% revenue growth by 2024, bolstered by CoWoS market dominance and new Fab in Chiayi.

Patrick Liao

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Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Taiwan Surges As New AI Play; But Shorts Amassing as Well

​Delta Taiwan's AI power efficiency solutions showcased at NVIDIA Corp's GTC Conference drove outperformance vs. Delta Thailand. However, short...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron's Earnings and Broadcom's Accelerators

It's all about AI. Micron is proving the memory thesis true, and Broadcom has a new accelerator customer. Also Nvidia's Moat.

Fabricated Knowledge

Memory Monitor: Micron Leapfrogging Into HBM3E for AI; Nanya Lagging Peers But Poised to Benefit

​Micron's strong results and forward margin guidance lead to soaring shares, with successful leapfrogging into HBM memory space and high demand...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron Earnings: HBM Driving Price Increases in Other Sectors

​Micron Technology sees positive revenues and profitability due to HBM demand creating a DDR5 DRAM shortage, benefiting Micron, Samsung, and SK hynix.

Jim Handy

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Raising Growth Target to 25%+ YoY in 2024F.

​Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) aims for 25% revenue growth by 2024, bolstered by CoWoS market dominance and new Fab in Chiayi.

Patrick Liao

Delta Taiwan's AI power efficiency solutions showcased at NVIDIA Corp's GTC Conference drove outperformance vs. Delta Thailand. However, short...

Micron's strong results and forward margin guidance lead to soaring shares, with successful leapfrogging into HBM memory space and high demand...

Micron Technology sees positive revenues and profitability due to HBM demand creating a DDR5 DRAM shortage, benefiting Micron, Samsung, and SK hynix.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) aims for 25% revenue growth by 2024, bolstered by CoWoS market dominance and new Fab in Chiayi.