Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Pc Partner reported its second-best year ever in FY22. But FY22 was divided into two distinct halves: a strong 1H22 and one of the worst halves 2H22.</li>
<li>FY23 looks to be another challenging year as margins stay under pressure and are unlikely to come back to FY21-FY22 levels but could revert to FY17-FY19 levels.</li>
<li>Over the past two years, Pc Partner had a large net cash buffer, but this is no longer the case. We expect the stock to revisit 2-3 HKD range.</li>
</ul>


Pc Partner reported its second-best year ever in FY22. But FY22 was divided into two distinct halves: a strong 1H22 and one of the worst halves 2H22.
FY23 looks to be another challenging year as margins stay under pressure and are unlikely to come back to FY21-FY22 levels but could revert to FY17-FY19 levels.
Over the past two years, Pc Partner had a large net cash buffer, but this is no longer the case. We expect the stock to revisit 2-3 HKD range.


PC Partner: Difficult 1H23 with Improvement in 2H23 as Nvidia Ramps up RTX Series

Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

<ul>
<li>Nvidia's risk-reward profile remains unattractive, according to the company's recent earnings report.</li>
<li>Nvidia's stock-based compensation also highlights some problems related to inventory levels and the amount of stock- based compensation.</li>
<li>The company's share price has risen 14% following recent earnings, the report says.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia's risk-reward profile remains unattractive, according to the company's recent earnings report.
Nvidia's stock-based compensation also highlights some problems related to inventory levels and the amount of stock- based compensation.
The company's share price has risen 14% following recent earnings, the report says.


Nvidia: Don't Let Narratives Fool You (Again)

US Tech Company Research, MT Capital

MT Capital

US Tech Company Research

I demystify the world's most interesting tech companies, providing in-depth, no-nonsense, un-biased analysis on the most interesting Tech Companies available for investment today. I am a Mechanical Engineer by education, Software Engineer by trade and a self-trained Financial Analyst.

<ul><li>Today I will be completing an in-depth analysis on Nvidia.</li><li>Within, I will break down the plethora of opportunities the company has in front of it, and attempt to provide a concise overview of the technological capabilities they possess.</li><li>In addition, I will break down each of the company’s business segments, dig into the company’s financials, and discuss some positive and risk-based factors alike that I deemed important when trying to perform a scenario analysis on the company as a whole.</li></ul>

Today I will be completing an in-depth analysis on Nvidia.Within, I will break down the plethora of opportunities the company has in front of it, and attempt to provide a concise overview of the technological capabilities they possess.In addition, I will break down each of the company’s business segments, dig into the company’s financials, and discuss some positive and risk-based factors alike that I deemed important when trying to perform a scenario analysis on the company as a whole.

Taiwan Tech Focused Asia L/S Analyst

Henry King

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our latest checks with VGA card makers, ABF substate companies and mining system thermal suppliers all indicate VGA card demand is weakening.</li>
<li>Sanction on Russia and Shenzhen lockdown also dampens the VGA card downward trend</li>
<li>GPU prices remain unchanged though VGA card prices continue to fall. VGA card makers' sales and profit premium from the ASP hike shrinks gradually.</li>
</ul>


Our latest checks with VGA card makers, ABF substate companies and mining system thermal suppliers all indicate VGA card demand is weakening.
Sanction on Russia and Shenzhen lockdown also dampens the VGA card downward trend
GPU prices remain unchanged though VGA card prices continue to fall. VGA card makers' sales and profit premium from the ASP hike shrinks gradually.


More Evidences Show VGA Card Demand Is Weakening. Maintain Our Conservative View on VGA Card Market

<ul>
<li>1H22 is likely the peak for VGA card. Our checks with VGA card makers indicate VGA card price fell in January/February and likely to continue for the rest of 2022. </li>
<li>Potential supply surge, demand decline, and price drop will all lead VGA market to trend south in 2H22.</li>
<li>VGA makers will be negatively impacted in 2H22. Gigabyte may be hit the most whereas Asustek may hit the least. Nvidia should also be hit at a certain degree.</li>
</ul>


1H22 is likely the peak for VGA card. Our checks with VGA card makers indicate VGA card price fell in January/February and likely to continue for the rest of 2022. 
Potential supply surge, demand decline, and price drop will all lead VGA market to trend south in 2H22.
VGA makers will be negatively impacted in 2H22. Gigabyte may be hit the most whereas Asustek may hit the least. Nvidia should also be hit at a certain degree.


The Current Huge Gap of VGA Card Demand over Supply May Reverse in 2H22/2023

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

PC Partner: Difficult 1H23 with Improvement in 2H23 as Nvidia Ramps up RTX Series

Pc Partner is facing a rough outlook in FY23 as FY21-FY22 margins revert lower to levels seen between FY17-FY19. The net cash buffer has declined...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Nvidia: Don't Let Narratives Fool You (Again)

Nvidia's stock-based compensation also highlights some problems related to inventory levels and the amount of stock- based compensation.

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Nvidia ($NVDA)

Within, I will break down the plethora of opportunities the company has in front of it, and attempt to provide a concise overview of the...

MT Capital

More Evidences Show VGA Card Demand Is Weakening. Maintain Our Conservative View on VGA Card Market

After several years of robust growth on mining demand, we are likely to see the turning point for VGA cards in 1H22. We see more data points in...

Henry King

The Current Huge Gap of VGA Card Demand over Supply May Reverse in 2H22/2023

While Taiwanese VGA card makers reported record sales in January and NVIDIA reported record quarterly revenue for 4QFY22, the outlook of the VGA...

Henry King

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