IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 6 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> entered a legally binding agreement to merge through absorption and share exchange. </li>
<li>The high-profile merger aligns with the Chinese government’s ambition to reform the brokerage sector and create world-class investment banks. The merger would result in the largest China broker by assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.</li>
</ul>


On 6 September, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) entered a legally binding agreement to merge through absorption and share exchange. 
The high-profile merger aligns with the Chinese government’s ambition to reform the brokerage sector and create world-class investment banks. The merger would result in the largest China broker by assets.
In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.


Haitong Securities (6837 HK): Evaluating the Potential Merger with GTJA (2611 HK)

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Coral sand / In Depth: Ambiguous reef protection laws leave China’s coral sand traders high and dry</li><li>Macao /: Macao’s former top judge announces leadership candidacy</li><li>Investment banks /: Former Haitong executive in crime probe arrested after fleeing to Laos</li></ul>

Coral sand / In Depth: Ambiguous reef protection laws leave China’s coral sand traders high and dryMacao /: Macao’s former top judge announces leadership candidacyInvestment banks /: Former Haitong executive in crime probe arrested after fleeing to Laos

CX Daily: Ambiguous Reef Protection Laws Leave China’s Coral Sand Traders High and Dry 

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 110.9% as of Aug 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, energy, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Livzon Pharm, Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, Hangzhou Tigermed, Goldwind Science.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 110.9% as of Aug 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, energy, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Livzon Pharm, Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, Hangzhou Tigermed, Goldwind Science.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 2nd):Livzon Pharm, Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, Hangzhou Tigermed

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.5% as of Jul 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Labor, Livzon Pharm, Shanghai Pharm, Pharmaron Beij, Hua Hong Semi, CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.5% as of Jul 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Labor, Livzon Pharm, Shanghai Pharm, Pharmaron Beij, Hua Hong Semi, CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 26th):Asymchem, Livzon Pharm, Shanghai Pharm, Pharmaron

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are a bunch of stocks listed in Hong Kong that have underperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in August.</li>
<li>The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of August where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.</li>
<li>There has been a big jump in cumulative excess volume in some stocks and the A/H premium on a lot of the names has jumped over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


There are a bunch of stocks listed in Hong Kong that have underperformed the HSCEI INDEX and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in August.
The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of August where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
There has been a big jump in cumulative excess volume in some stocks and the A/H premium on a lot of the names has jumped over the last few months.


Hong Kong: Stocks Facing the Passive Boot in August

China

Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. is a securities firm which acts as a broker, dealer for securities. The Company also provides investment advisory, placing and underwriting, nominee and custodian services.

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Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)

Haitong Securities (6837 HK): Evaluating the Potential Merger with GTJA (2611 HK)

In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.

Arun George

CX Daily: Ambiguous Reef Protection Laws Leave China’s Coral Sand Traders High and Dry

Coral sand / In Depth: Ambiguous reef protection laws leave China’s coral sand traders high and dry In December 2021, with the Covid-19 pandemic...

Caixin Global

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 2nd):Livzon Pharm, Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, Hangzhou Tigermed

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Livzon Pharm, Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, Hangzhou Tiger,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 26th):Asymchem, Livzon Pharm, Shanghai Pharm, Pharmaron

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Asymchem Labor, Livzon Pharm, Shanghai Pharm, Pharmaron...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong: Stocks Facing the Passive Boot in August

We expect 7 HK listed stocks to be deleted from global passive portfolios in August. The stocks have underperformed the HSCEI and their peers as...

Brian Freitas

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