Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Both advertising revenue and commission revenue grew dramatically in 4Q23.</li>
<li>Chinese consumers are seeking low price goods, after the economy went weak.</li>
<li>PDD’s overseas brand, TEMU, is expanding rapidly in the U.S.</li>
</ul>


Both advertising revenue and commission revenue grew dramatically in 4Q23.
Chinese consumers are seeking low price goods, after the economy went weak.
PDD’s overseas brand, TEMU, is expanding rapidly in the U.S.


PDD (PDD): 4Q23, Time for Low Price Goods, Revenue up by 123% YoY

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NTES: &lt;Identity V&gt; Has Reached a New High In Download Rankings In The Past 12 Months (+)</li>
<li>ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD: Parcel volume last week grew 21% yoy (+)</li>
<li>BABA/SHEIN: AliExpress launches new subsidies to attract woman’s apparel merchants (+/-)  </li>
</ul>


NTES: &lt;Identity V&gt; Has Reached a New High In Download Rankings In The Past 12 Months (+)
ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD: Parcel volume last week grew 21% yoy (+)
BABA/SHEIN: AliExpress launches new subsidies to attract woman’s apparel merchants (+/-)  


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/SHEIN

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.</li><li>The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.</li><li>Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Neither Elliot nor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> intend to pursue <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/currys-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21892:1" rel="noopener">Currys PLC (CURY LN)</a> at this stage and thus won't be able to present an offer for the next six months.</li>
<li>Currys has issued an upbeat trading update. My new TP is 78p/share, &gt;16% above Elliot's sweetened offer, 10.4x 24e P/E vs 7.6x currently, and 9.1x 25e P/E vs 6.6x currently.</li>
<li>My TP implied equity value is 864 million. I believe the Board and top shareholders would be willing to consider offers around 80p.</li>
</ul>


Neither Elliot nor JD.com (9618 HK) intend to pursue Currys PLC (CURY LN) at this stage and thus won't be able to present an offer for the next six months.
Currys has issued an upbeat trading update. My new TP is 78p/share, &gt;16% above Elliot's sweetened offer, 10.4x 24e P/E vs 7.6x currently, and 9.1x 25e P/E vs 6.6x currently.
My TP implied equity value is 864 million. I believe the Board and top shareholders would be willing to consider offers around 80p.


Currys Lifts Profit Outlook After Suitors Walk Away

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, Hong Kong appears to be heading towards its first US$100m+ IPO for the year.</li>
<li>For placements, after a flurry of placements in the prior week, past week was relatively quiet with only the US$2bn <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> block.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Hong Kong appears to be heading towards its first US$100m+ IPO for the year.
For placements, after a flurry of placements in the prior week, past week was relatively quiet with only the US$2bn ITC Ltd (ITC IN) block.


ECM Weekly (18th Mar 2024) - ITC, Interglobe (Indigo), MS&AD, GlobalWafer, Belle, Auntea, Trial

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

PDD (PDD): 4Q23, Time for Low Price Goods, Revenue up by 123% YoY

Both advertising and commission revenues grew dramatically in 4Q23. Chinese consumers are seeking low price goods. PDD’s overseas brand, TEMU, is...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/SHEIN

has reached a new high in download rankings, ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD saw a 21% yoy growth in parcel volume, and AliExpress is offering subsidies to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

Currys Lifts Profit Outlook After Suitors Walk Away

Neither Elliot nor JD.com intend to pursue Currys PLC at this stage and thus won't be able to present an offer for the next six months. Meanwhile...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

ECM Weekly (18th Mar 2024) - ITC, Interglobe (Indigo), MS&AD, GlobalWafer, Belle, Auntea, Trial

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

PDD (PDD): 4Q23, Time for Low Price Goods, Revenue up by 123% YoY

Both advertising and commission revenues grew dramatically in 4Q23. Chinese consumers are seeking low price goods. PDD’s overseas brand, TEMU, is...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/SHEIN

​ has reached a new high in download rankings, ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD saw a 21% yoy growth in parcel volume, and AliExpress is offering subsidies to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

Currys Lifts Profit Outlook After Suitors Walk Away

Neither Elliot nor JD.com intend to pursue Currys PLC at this stage and thus won't be able to present an offer for the next six months. Meanwhile...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

ECM Weekly (18th Mar 2024) - ITC, Interglobe (Indigo), MS&AD, GlobalWafer, Belle, Auntea, Trial

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

has reached a new high in download rankings, ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD saw a 21% yoy growth in parcel volume, and AliExpress is offering subsidies to...