Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 23 December 2021, Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD, which takes place through the in-specie dividend distribution of JD shares to Tencent's shareholders. </li>
<li>There is prevailing debate that Tencent's latest disposals are in anticipation of regulatory pressure for China's tech giants to bring down their walled gardens. We do not disagree. </li>
<li>However, in this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not torn down, at least with respect to Tencent's ecosystem. </li>
</ul>


On 23 December 2021, Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD, which takes place through the in-specie dividend distribution of JD shares to Tencent's shareholders. 
There is prevailing debate that Tencent's latest disposals are in anticipation of regulatory pressure for China's tech giants to bring down their walled gardens. We do not disagree. 
However, in this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not torn down, at least with respect to Tencent's ecosystem. 


Tencent (700 HK) - New Walled Gardens Are Being Erected, Not Torn Down?

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tencent announced today that its board of directors has resolved to declare a special dividend by way of a distribution of its Class A ordinary shares of JD.com. </li>
<li>There is increased speculation that there is more divestments to come that including Tencent’s stakes in Meituan, Kuaishou and Pinduoduo.</li>
<li>Tencent’s shares are up 4.3% from yesterday’s close following the announcement while JD.com is 7.1% down from its previous close.</li>
</ul>


Tencent announced today that its board of directors has resolved to declare a special dividend by way of a distribution of its Class A ordinary shares of JD.com. 
There is increased speculation that there is more divestments to come that including Tencent’s stakes in Meituan, Kuaishou and Pinduoduo.
Tencent’s shares are up 4.3% from yesterday’s close following the announcement while JD.com is 7.1% down from its previous close.


Tencent’s Special Dividend: Is It a Sign the Walled Gardens Are Coming Down?

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Tencent will distribute most of its JD.com shares as dividend.</li>
<li>We believe Tencent is doing this to bolster its EPS in 2021 and even 2022.</li>
<li>We believe the company will has an upside of 35% for the year end 2022.</li>
</ul>


Tencent will distribute most of its JD.com shares as dividend.
We believe Tencent is doing this to bolster its EPS in 2021 and even 2022.
We believe the company will has an upside of 35% for the year end 2022.


Tencent (700 HK): An Accounting Incentive of Giving Away JD.com Shares

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This morning, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> shares. </li>
<li>The distribution is 457,326,671 Tencent-held (86.4% of holdings) Class A Ordinary shares of JD.com - 1 share per 21 Tencent shares held - to Qualifying Shareholders on the record...</li>
<li>...date which is 25 January 2022, with 'delivery' on or about 25 March 2022. Non-Qualifying Shareholders will get cash. The details matter.</li>
</ul>


This morning, Tencent (700 HK) declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) / JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) shares. 
The distribution is 457,326,671 Tencent-held (86.4% of holdings) Class A Ordinary shares of JD.com - 1 share per 21 Tencent shares held - to Qualifying Shareholders on the record...
...date which is 25 January 2022, with 'delivery' on or about 25 March 2022. Non-Qualifying Shareholders will get cash. The details matter.


Tencent's Big In-Specie Dividend of JD.com Shares

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In its Investor Day, Alibaba Group announced its plans to focus on overseas e-commerce, amongst other initiatives. Alibaba's SEA unit, Lazada, is central to this plan.</li>
<li>The initiatives come amid investor concerns about Alibaba's long term growth prospects and competition, as well as regulatory and macroeconomic headwinds in its home market.</li>
<li>In this Insight, we examine a blue sky scenario for the incremental contribution of Alibaba's planned SEA expansion to Alibaba's overall performance and its impact on valuation. </li>
</ul>


In its Investor Day, Alibaba Group announced its plans to focus on overseas e-commerce, amongst other initiatives. Alibaba's SEA unit, Lazada, is central to this plan.
The initiatives come amid investor concerns about Alibaba's long term growth prospects and competition, as well as regulatory and macroeconomic headwinds in its home market.
In this Insight, we examine a blue sky scenario for the incremental contribution of Alibaba's planned SEA expansion to Alibaba's overall performance and its impact on valuation. 


Alibaba (BABA US) Investor Day Takeaways - The SEA Blue Sky

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Tencent (700 HK) - New Walled Gardens Are Being Erected, Not Torn Down?

Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD. In this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not...

Jason Yap, CFA

Tencent’s Special Dividend: Is It a Sign the Walled Gardens Are Coming Down?

There is increased speculation that there is more divestments to come including Meituan, Kuaishou and Pinduoduo and we think the liberalisation of...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): An Accounting Incentive of Giving Away JD.com Shares

Tencent will distribute most of its JD.com shares as dividend. We believe Tencent does this to save its EPS. We believe the company will has an...

Ming Lu

Tencent's Big In-Specie Dividend of JD.com Shares

Tencent has decided to distribute the vast majority of the JD.com shares it holds. JD.com got sold off and Tencent got a bump. The Tencent bump is...

Travis Lundy

Alibaba (BABA US) Investor Day Takeaways - The SEA Blue Sky

Alibaba announced plans to focus on SEA e-commerce amid growth concerns. We examine a blue sky scenario for the planned expansion and associated...

Jason Yap, CFA

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