Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma</a> delivered some joy to the Indian equity markets over the past week.</li>
<li>There were no major placements over the past week but there were some lockup expiries.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Mankind Pharma delivered some joy to the Indian equity markets over the past week.
There were no major placements over the past week but there were some lockup expiries.


ECM Weekly (14th May 2023) - Mankind, Nexus REIT, SCG Chemicals, Guoquan, Shiyue, Medanta, Bikaji

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June but there are some free float changes and a bunch of capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> has over 1x ADV to buy from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH)</a> trackers. The stock is also an add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June but there are some free float changes and a bunch of capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.

Trip.com (9961 HK) has over 1x ADV to buy from Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH) trackers. The stock is also an add to the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI).


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Lead to US$768m Two-Way Trade

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (11 May) 1Q23 results: revenue was RMB243.0bn, up 1.4% YoY, 1% higher than both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>NonGAAP net income was RMB7.6bn, ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB5.4/5.3bn, and translated into a non-GAAP net margin of 3.1% (1Q22: 1.7%), 0.9pp ahead of our forecast, driven by better-than-expected gross margin aided by business transition of supermarket category, and more controlled than expected sales and marketing spending.</li><li>JD announced that current CEO Lei XU will retire from his positions and CFO Sandy XU will take over the CEO role.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

JD.com (JD) reported (11 May) 1Q23 results: revenue was RMB243.0bn, up 1.4% YoY, 1% higher than both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus.NonGAAP net income was RMB7.6bn, ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB5.4/5.3bn, and translated into a non-GAAP net margin of 3.1% (1Q22: 1.7%), 0.9pp ahead of our forecast, driven by better-than-expected gross margin aided by business transition of supermarket category, and more controlled than expected sales and marketing spending.JD announced that current CEO Lei XU will retire from his positions and CFO Sandy XU will take over the CEO role.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Focusing on driving healthy and quality growth

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>JD reported 1Q23 revenue in-line vs. cons., while non-GAAP net income beat cons and our est. 99% and 74%, respectively.   </li>
<li>It’s early to say whether JD is getting out of the puddle, as (1) revenue grew just 1.4% YoY in 1Q23,  (2) the effect of its management change remains uncertain.</li>
<li>We maintain SELL, but raise JD’s 2023 non-GAAP net margin from prior 3.2% to 3.34%, and raise TP to US$ 30.  </li>
</ul>


JD reported 1Q23 revenue in-line vs. cons., while non-GAAP net income beat cons and our est. 99% and 74%, respectively.   
It’s early to say whether JD is getting out of the puddle, as (1) revenue grew just 1.4% YoY in 1Q23,  (2) the effect of its management change remains uncertain.
We maintain SELL, but raise JD’s 2023 non-GAAP net margin from prior 3.2% to 3.34%, and raise TP to US$ 30.  


[JD.com (JD US, SELL, TP US$30) Target Price Change]: Painful Transition Continues Amid Margin Beat

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Shein/PDD: Our check and local media reports of Shein's newly-launched marketplace, and implication to PDD (-)</li>
<li>PDD/700.HK/BABA/JD: China major Ecommerce platform's low price strategy in 6/18 promotion (-/+/+/+)</li>
<li>ZLAB：ZLAB revenue met our expectation while loss greatly beat our expectation on reduced R&amp;D</li>
</ul>


Shein/PDD: Our check and local media reports of Shein's newly-launched marketplace, and implication to PDD (-)
PDD/700.HK/BABA/JD: China major Ecommerce platform's low price strategy in 6/18 promotion (-/+/+/+)
ZLAB：ZLAB revenue met our expectation while loss greatly beat our expectation on reduced R&amp;D


China TMT Update (May.12) - Shein/PDD/700.HK/BABA/JD/ZLAB:Shein's Newly-Launched Marketplace

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

ECM Weekly (14th May 2023) - Mankind, Nexus REIT, SCG Chemicals, Guoquan, Shiyue, Medanta, Bikaji

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Lead to US$768m Two-Way Trade

Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade. Trip.com is...

Brian Freitas

JD.com (JD US) – Focusing on driving healthy and quality growth

JD.com (JD) reported (11 May) 1Q23 results: revenue was RMB243.0bn, up 1.4% YoY, 1% higher than both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus.

CMB International

[JD.com (JD US, SELL, TP US$30) Target Price Change]: Painful Transition Continues Amid Margin Beat

It’s still too early to say whether JD is getting out of the puddle, as (1) revenue grew just 1.4% YoY in 1Q23, and (2) the effect of its...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update (May.12) - Shein/PDD/700.HK/BABA/JD/ZLAB:Shein's Newly-Launched Marketplace

Shein's newly-launched marketplace、China major Ecommerce platform's low price strategy in 6/18 promotion，ZLAB revenue met our expectation while...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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