Agri | Weather | Energy Transition, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>SMRs enable decarbonization of electricity through low carbon heat and hydrogen production. Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) are advanced nuclear reactors.</li>
<li>SMRs are not new. They have been in design phase for long and not deployed at scale with cost being the primary hurdle.</li>
<li>By 2026 data centres are expected to hog &gt;1,000 TWh of electricity which is equivalent to the electricity consumption of Japan.</li>
</ul>


SMRs enable decarbonization of electricity through low carbon heat and hydrogen production. Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) are advanced nuclear reactors.
SMRs are not new. They have been in design phase for long and not deployed at scale with cost being the primary hurdle.
By 2026 data centres are expected to hog &gt;1,000 TWh of electricity which is equivalent to the electricity consumption of Japan.


Energy Transition Requires Betting Big on Nuclear Starting Small with SMRs

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Carote is a global kitchenware brand in the online marketplace.</li><li>It has a presence in around 19 countries/ regions (key markets include China, the US, etc.), selling its kitchenware in about 19 online marketplaces (Amazon, Walmart, Tmall, etc.).</li><li>Thanks to the Company’s nearly two decades of industry experience and consumer insights, and its focus on the online channel and the asset-light model (cooperation with contract manufacturers), it generated RMB 1.58bn sales/ RMB 237mn net profit in FY23 and managed to deliver an impressive CAGR of 53%/ 173% during FY21-23.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Carote is a global kitchenware brand in the online marketplace.It has a presence in around 19 countries/ regions (key markets include China, the US, etc.), selling its kitchenware in about 19 online marketplaces (Amazon, Walmart, Tmall, etc.).Thanks to the Company’s nearly two decades of industry experience and consumer insights, and its focus on the online channel and the asset-light model (cooperation with contract manufacturers), it generated RMB 1.58bn sales/ RMB 237mn net profit in FY23 and managed to deliver an impressive CAGR of 53%/ 173% during FY21-23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Carote Ltd (2549 HK) - Global Quality & Affordable Kitchenware Brand

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the secondary impacts and then give you an idea.</li><li>Let’s start at the source and walk backward from there. Amazon finally woke up. <a href="https://www.semianalysis.com/p/amazons-cloud-crisis-how-aws-will" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SemiAnalysis’s piece on why Amazon will lose the future of AI</a> has pretty much turned out correct.</li><li>AWS has a fundamentally different view of how to run infrastructure, and most of it is driven by effectively pursuing Amazon basics at scale for their AWS property.</li></ul>

In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the secondary impacts and then give you an idea.Let’s start at the source and walk backward from there. Amazon finally woke up. SemiAnalysis’s piece on why Amazon will lose the future of AI has pretty much turned out correct.AWS has a fundamentally different view of how to run infrastructure, and most of it is driven by effectively pursuing Amazon basics at scale for their AWS property.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sherwin-williams-co-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15539:1" rel="noopener">Sherwin Williams (SHW US)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel (INTC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19107:1" rel="noopener">Dow (DOW US)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-jones-industrial-average" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22887:1" rel="noopener">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a> at the close on 7 November.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading is highest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sherwin-williams-co-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15539:1" rel="noopener">Sherwin Williams Co (SHW US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19107:1" rel="noopener">Dow (DOW US)</a> in terms of days of ADV and free float. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn.</li>
<li>Given the ad hoc nature of the rebalances and the short timeline between announcement and implementation, the stocks could move over the rest of the week.</li>
</ul>



NVIDIA (NVDA US) and Sherwin Williams (SHW US) will replace Intel (INTC US) and Dow (DOW US) in the Dow Jones Industrial Average at the close on 7 November.
The impact of passive trading is highest in Sherwin Williams Co (SHW US) and Dow (DOW US) in terms of days of ADV and free float. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn.
Given the ad hoc nature of the rebalances and the short timeline between announcement and implementation, the stocks could move over the rest of the week.


Dow Jones Industrials (INDU) Index Rebalance: NVIDIA, Sherwin-Williams Replace Intel, Dow

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> 's proposed USD 1 billion fundraise highlights several potential risks for Quick Commerce players, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)</a> .</li>
<li>Beyond heightened competition, majority foreign-owned Quick Commerce businesses including Swiggy could face regulatory hurdles if classified as multi-brand retail, limiting their foreign ownership.</li>
<li>Investors may fear about Swiggy’s regulatory risks and profitability struggles in this competitive landscape, which could dampen investor enthusiasm and IPO valuation.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) 's proposed USD 1 billion fundraise highlights several potential risks for Quick Commerce players, including Swiggy (1255298D IN) .
Beyond heightened competition, majority foreign-owned Quick Commerce businesses including Swiggy could face regulatory hurdles if classified as multi-brand retail, limiting their foreign ownership.
Investors may fear about Swiggy’s regulatory risks and profitability struggles in this competitive landscape, which could dampen investor enthusiasm and IPO valuation.


Swiggy IPO: Zomato's USD 1bn Fundraise Signals Looming Quick Commerce Challenges

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)

Energy Transition Requires Betting Big on Nuclear Starting Small with SMRs

SMRs are critical to energy transition. Not new. Just not deployed at scale yet. Keen to secure exposure to nuclear power industry. Tread...

Mint Finance

Carote Ltd (2549 HK) - Global Quality & Affordable Kitchenware Brand

It has a presence in around 19 countries/ regions (key markets include China, the US, etc.), selling its kitchenware in about 19 online...

CMB International

The Rise of Amazon's Trainium 2

In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Dow Jones Industrials (INDU) Index Rebalance: NVIDIA, Sherwin-Williams Replace Intel, Dow

NVIDIA and Sherwin-Williams will replace Dow and Intel in the index. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn. There is a lot to buy in Sherwin-Williams both...

Brian Freitas

Swiggy IPO: Zomato's USD 1bn Fundraise Signals Looming Quick Commerce Challenges

Swiggy may face potential regulatory challenges in Quick commerce apart from a prolonged intense competition with well funded players. This could...

Devi Subhakesan

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