Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 50 and one change for ASX 200.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
We do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.
We expect one change for ASX 50 and one change for ASX 200.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Few Index Changes But High Impact

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance ended on 29 November. There could be one deletion, plus there will be capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waypoint-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22851:1" rel="noopener">Waypoint REIT (WPR AU)</a> is the lowest ranked current index constituent and is very close to the deletion threshold.</li>
<li>We estimate the one deletion and capping changes could result in one-way turnover of 3.6% resulting in a one-way trade of A$23m.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance ended on 29 November. There could be one deletion, plus there will be capping changes.

Waypoint REIT (WPR AU) is the lowest ranked current index constituent and is very close to the deletion threshold.
We estimate the one deletion and capping changes could result in one-way turnover of 3.6% resulting in a one-way trade of A$23m.


MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: One Close Delete & Capping Changes

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Both deletes are also deletions from a global index next week and there could be short-term buying/covering opportunities on a drop in the stock price.</li>
<li>There has been a buildup of cumulative excess volume in all stocks over the last few months. There has been no increase in positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">CAR Group (CAR AU)</a> recently.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December.
Both deletes are also deletions from a global index next week and there could be short-term buying/covering opportunities on a drop in the stock price.
There has been a buildup of cumulative excess volume in all stocks over the last few months. There has been no increase in positioning in CAR Group (CAR AU) recently.


S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Dexus and Spark NZ with Double Deletions

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We currently do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.</li>
<li>We continue to expect one change for ASX 50. However, our expectations for ASX 200 have changed since our last insight (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-asx-dec-24-three-changes-possible-new-long-short-ideas?slug=quiddity-leaderboard-asx-dec-24-three-changes-possible-new-long-short-ideas" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
We currently do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.
We continue to expect one change for ASX 50. However, our expectations for ASX 200 have changed since our last insight (link).


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Clarity Pharma and Resolute Mining Competing for ASX 200 Spot

<ul>
<li>With three quarters of the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December. </li>
<li>There are two stocks that could be deleted from global indexes in November and that could keep those names under pressure for the next few weeks.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 4-5x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 2-8x ADV in the forecast deletes. Shorts have been building up in some names.</li>
</ul>


With three quarters of the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and two changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December. 
There are two stocks that could be deleted from global indexes in November and that could keep those names under pressure for the next few weeks.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 4-5x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 2-8x ADV in the forecast deletes. Shorts have been building up in some names.


S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Big Impact as Shorts Ramp Up

Australia

Dexus provides real estate services. The Company manages and invests in a portfolio of diversified properties, including office and industrial buildings, retail shopping centers, and car parks. Dexus serves customers in Australia and New Zealand.

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Dexus Property (DXS AU)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Few Index Changes But High Impact

The ASX Dec 24 official index changes will be announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024 (tomorrow). It is a good time to revisit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: One Close Delete & Capping Changes

Waypoint REIT is the lowest ranked constituent and close to the deletion threshold. There will be capping changes for 5 stocks. Estimated 1-way...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Dexus and Spark NZ with Double Deletions

CAR Group could replace Dexus in the ASX50, and Clarity Pharma could replace Spark NZ in the ASX200. Dexus and Spark NZ are also deletes from a...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Clarity Pharma and Resolute Mining Competing for ASX 200 Spot

Spark New Zealand (SPK AU) is a high-conviction ASX 200 DEL. Clarity Pharma (CU6 AU) is leading the race to become an ASX 200 add and Resolute...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Big Impact as Shorts Ramp Up

There could be 1 change for the ASX50 and 2 changes for the ASX200 in Dec. Couple of ASX deletes could also be deleted from a global index in...

Brian Freitas

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