HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power (1816 HK)</a>, as China's largest nuclear power company, has its profit outperformed coal-fired and wind power peers in 1H22 given its stable cost control and higher tariff.  </li>
<li>We expect contribution from Hongyanhe #6, normalised operations from existing projects, further margin expansion, solid project pipeline and positive new project potential to be the key earnings drivers. </li>
<li>Its target to reach capacity of 70GW by 2035 should underpin long-term outlook. YTD, the stock has outperformed most peers, yet valuation multiples are still cheaper than peer average.</li>
</ul>



CGN Power (1816 HK), as China's largest nuclear power company, has its profit outperformed coal-fired and wind power peers in 1H22 given its stable cost control and higher tariff.  
We expect contribution from Hongyanhe #6, normalised operations from existing projects, further margin expansion, solid project pipeline and positive new project potential to be the key earnings drivers. 
Its target to reach capacity of 70GW by 2035 should underpin long-term outlook. YTD, the stock has outperformed most peers, yet valuation multiples are still cheaper than peer average.


CGN Power (1816 HK): Building up Stronger Potential

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.0% as of Aug 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt, led by Financials, Utilities and offset by Information Technology, Real Estate, Consumer Discretionary. </li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Life, Huaneng Power, Chongqing Iron, CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.0% as of Aug 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt, led by Financials, Utilities and offset by Information Technology, Real Estate, Consumer Discretionary. 
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Life, Huaneng Power, Chongqing Iron, CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 26th): China Telecom, China Life, Huaneng Power, Chongqing Iron, CICC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine. We estimated that inflows to HK market were USD 1.7bn in July.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors. Inflows were driven by real estate, industrials, and communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight monthly flows of Tencent, Li Auto, GCL, Xiaomi, Meituan, GWM, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine. We estimated that inflows to HK market were USD 1.7bn in July.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors. Inflows were driven by real estate, industrials, and communication services.
We highlight monthly flows of Tencent, Li Auto, GCL, Xiaomi, Meituan, GWM, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (July): Tencent, Li Auto, GCL

China Three Gorges Renewables / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A "Long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-three-gorges-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28950:1" rel="noopener">China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH)</a>, short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-power-intl-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24739:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Power Intl Inc-A (600011 CH)</a>" pair trade should generate good return in China's utilities sector given the current industry dynamics.</li>
<li>The key supporting factors are: CTGR has pure exposure to renewable, faster capacity growth and a stronger balance sheet. They should underpin better earnings quality and outlook relative to HPI.</li>
<li>CTGR trades on higher PER and P/B multiples, but these should not be hurdles as they are just reflection of more promising prospects. We expect CTGR's YTD outperformance to continue.</li>
</ul>


A "Long China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH), short Huaneng Power Intl Inc-A (600011 CH)" pair trade should generate good return in China's utilities sector given the current industry dynamics.
The key supporting factors are: CTGR has pure exposure to renewable, faster capacity growth and a stronger balance sheet. They should underpin better earnings quality and outlook relative to HPI.
CTGR trades on higher PER and P/B multiples, but these should not be hurdles as they are just reflection of more promising prospects. We expect CTGR's YTD outperformance to continue.


China Utilities: Long China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH), Short Huaneng Power Int (600011 CH)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.46bn, split (+US$0.36bn) for Shanghai and (+US$0.1bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>. The largest outflow was in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group Limited (9992 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.46bn, split (+US$0.36bn) for Shanghai and (+US$0.1bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into Tencent (700 HK) and BYD (1211 HK). The largest outflow was in Pop Mart International Group Limited (9992 HK) and Great Wall Motor (2333 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)

China

Huaneng Power International, Inc. develops, constructs, owns and operates coal-fired power plants throughout China. It also builds gas-fired, hydroelectric and wind power generation in China and owns Tuas Power which controls power generation facilities in Singapore.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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P/E	0.00
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Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK)

CGN Power (1816 HK): Building up Stronger Potential

Contribution from Hongyanhe #6, normalised operations from existing projects, further margin expansion, solid project pipeline and positive new...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 26th): China Telecom, China Life, Huaneng Power, Chongqing Iron, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Life, Huaneng Power, Chongqing Iron, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (July): Tencent, Li Auto, GCL

Southbound HK Connect recorded the sixth month of inflows in July. We highlight monthly flows of Tencent, Li Auto, GCL, Xiaomi, Meituan, GWM, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Utilities: Long China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH), Short Huaneng Power Int (600011 CH)

CTGR's pure exposure to renewable, faster capacity growth and stronger balance sheet are the key merits when compared with HPI. We believe these...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.46bn, split (+US$0.36bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CGN Power (1816 HK): Building up Stronger Potential

Contribution from Hongyanhe #6, normalised operations from existing projects, further margin expansion, solid project pipeline and positive new...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 26th): China Telecom, China Life, Huaneng Power, Chongqing Iron, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Life, Huaneng Power, Chongqing Iron, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (July): Tencent, Li Auto, GCL

Southbound HK Connect recorded the sixth month of inflows in July. We highlight monthly flows of Tencent, Li Auto, GCL, Xiaomi, Meituan, GWM, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Utilities: Long China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH), Short Huaneng Power Int (600011 CH)

CTGR's pure exposure to renewable, faster capacity growth and stronger balance sheet are the key merits when compared with HPI. We believe these...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.46bn, split (+US$0.36bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)