Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Biopharmaceutical outfit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a> is <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0523/2024052300005.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">currently suspended</a> pursuant to the Takeovers Code.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-fosun-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8045" rel="noopener">Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK)</a> holds ~60% in Henlius, mostly via domestic shares. Co-founders and Qatar Authority hold ~28% and 8% the H shares respectively.</li>
<li>IF an Offer were to unfold, it would be the third in this space in the past two months, after Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sciclone-pharmaceuticals-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17351:1" rel="noopener">Sciclone (6600 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC (1558 HK)</a>,</li>
</ul>


Biopharmaceutical outfit Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code.

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK) holds ~60% in Henlius, mostly via domestic shares. Co-founders and Qatar Authority hold ~28% and 8% the H shares respectively.
IF an Offer were to unfold, it would be the third in this space in the past two months, after Offers for Sciclone (6600 HK) and Yichang HEC (1558 HK),


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Henlius Biotech  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Strong sales maintained in 1Q24. Henlius Biotech (Henlius) recorded total revenue of RMB1.349bn in 1Q24, up 35% YoY.</li><li>Of this, HANQUYOU’s sales in China was RMB671mn (+25% YoY, -4% QoQ), which accounted for 23% of our previous FY24 estimate.</li><li>In 1Q24, serplulimab (PD-1) experienced robust growth, +34% YoY or +31% QoQ to RMB334mn, accounting for 23% of our previous FY24 estimate. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Strong sales maintained in 1Q24. Henlius Biotech (Henlius) recorded total revenue of RMB1.349bn in 1Q24, up 35% YoY.Of this, HANQUYOU’s sales in China was RMB671mn (+25% YoY, -4% QoQ), which accounted for 23% of our previous FY24 estimate.In 1Q24, serplulimab (PD-1) experienced robust growth, +34% YoY or +31% QoQ to RMB334mn, accounting for 23% of our previous FY24 estimate. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Strong Product Sales in 1Q

<ul><li>Profit turnaround driven by core business operations. Henliu’s FY23 revenue increased 67.8% YoY to RMB5.40bn, driven by strong sales of HANQUYOU (trastuzumab biosimilar) and serplulimab (PD-1).</li><li>HANQUYOU recorded RMB2.74bn revenue in FY23, +58% YoY.</li><li>We think HANQUYOU may be free from VBP risks in 2024 due to relatively moderate competition landscape for Herceptin biosimilars.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Profit turnaround driven by core business operations. Henliu’s FY23 revenue increased 67.8% YoY to RMB5.40bn, driven by strong sales of HANQUYOU (trastuzumab biosimilar) and serplulimab (PD-1).HANQUYOU recorded RMB2.74bn revenue in FY23, +58% YoY.We think HANQUYOU may be free from VBP risks in 2024 due to relatively moderate competition landscape for Herceptin biosimilars.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Anticipating Sustained Profitability

<ul><li>Overwhelming PFS signals of HLX22 combo therapy in 1L GC. HLX22 (a novel HER2 mAb) combined with HLX02 (trastuzumab biosimilar, Hanquyou) and chemo showed promising clinical benefits for 1L GC patients, compared to the SoC of HLX02 + chemo in a China Ph2 study.</li><li>In the study, a total of 53 patients were randomized to Group A (HLX22 25mg/kg + Hanquyou + chemo), Group B (HLX22 15mg/kg + Hanquyou + chemo) and Group C (Hanquyou + chemo).</li><li>With a followup of 14.3 months, the mPFS was 15.1 months in Group A vs 8.2 months in Group C (HR=0.5, CI 0.2-1.3), and Not-Reached in Group B vs 8.2 months in Group C (HR=0.1, CI 0.0-0.5). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Overwhelming PFS signals of HLX22 combo therapy in 1L GC. HLX22 (a novel HER2 mAb) combined with HLX02 (trastuzumab biosimilar, Hanquyou) and chemo showed promising clinical benefits for 1L GC patients, compared to the SoC of HLX02 + chemo in a China Ph2 study.In the study, a total of 53 patients were randomized to Group A (HLX22 25mg/kg + Hanquyou + chemo), Group B (HLX22 15mg/kg + Hanquyou + chemo) and Group C (Hanquyou + chemo).With a followup of 14.3 months, the mPFS was 15.1 months in Group A vs 8.2 months in Group C (HR=0.5, CI 0.2-1.3), and Not-Reached in Group B vs 8.2 months in Group C (HR=0.1, CI 0.0-0.5). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) – Promising Ph2 Data of Innovative Assets

<ul>
<li>As global market roil, clean M&amp;A deals come into focus.</li>
<li>This insight briefly summarises those transactions in Asia/Oceania which are expected to comfortably complete, irrespective of the background noise. </li>
<li>Standout deals include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services (APM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-property-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5841:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-rom-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2686:1" rel="noopener">I'Rom Group (2372 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arvida-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14485:1" rel="noopener">Arvida (ARV NZ)</a>.</li>
</ul>


As global market roil, clean M&amp;A deals come into focus.
This insight briefly summarises those transactions in Asia/Oceania which are expected to comfortably complete, irrespective of the background noise. 
Standout deals include APM Human Services (APM AU), Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK), Alps Logistics (9055 JP), I'Rom Group (2372 JP), and Arvida (ARV NZ).


China

Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Inc develops and produces drugs. The Company develops and produces monoclonal antibody biosimilar drugs, bio betters, novel monoclonal antibodys, and other drugs. Shanghai Henlius Biotech throughout China.

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Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK): Fosun Offer?

IF Fosun wants to take the company private, an Offer Price of $26/share, may get the job done. $30/share would be optically be more preferable.

David Blennerhassett

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Strong Product Sales in 1Q

Strong sales maintained in 1Q24. Henlius Biotech (Henlius) recorded total revenue of RMB1.349bn in 1Q24, up 35% YoY. Of this, HANQUYOU’s sales in...

CMB International

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Anticipating Sustained Profitability

Henliu’s FY23 revenue increased 67.8% YoY to RMB5.40bn, driven by strong sales of HANQUYOU (trastuzumab biosimilar) and serplulimab (PD-1).

CMB International

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) – Promising Ph2 Data of Innovative Assets

In the study, a total of 53 patients were randomized to Group A (HLX22 25mg/kg + Hanquyou + chemo), Group B (HLX22 15mg/kg + Hanquyou + chemo) and...

CMB International

Go-To Arbs Amid Market Carnage

As global market roil, clean M&A deals come into focus. This insight briefly summarises those deals which are expected to comfortably complete,...

David Blennerhassett

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