Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<p>Following the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gamestop-corp-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13790:1" rel="noopener">GameStop Corp Class A (GME US)</a> saga that has been all over the financial press (and is now spreading into the mainstream press), we have been getting questions on names in Hong Kong that could be prone to a squeeze.</p><p>We do not believe that retail players in Hong Kong have the heft that retail investors in the US do, nor are single stock options frequently used (though there is a lot of retail activity in warrants on large cap names), but the pain that is being felt in global portfolios could lead to unwinding in Hong Kong shorts too.</p><p>Some highly shorted stocks in Hong Kong that have seen prices jump today along with volume surge are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Bank (11 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-literature-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24388:1" rel="noopener">China Literature (772 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-east-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:341:1" rel="noopener">Bank of East Asia (23 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mtr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13289:1" rel="noopener">MTR Corp (66 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/want-want-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:355:1" rel="noopener">Want Want (151 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wharf-real-estate-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26031:1" rel="noopener">Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997 HK)</a>.</p><p>We identify more stocks that could be prone to short covering based on short interest as a percentage of issued shares, free float and in terms of days of ADV to cover.</p>

Following the GameStop Corp Class A (GME US) saga that has been all over the financial press (and is now spreading into the mainstream press), we have been getting questions on names in Hong Kong that could be prone to a squeeze.We do not believe that retail players in Hong Kong have the heft that retail investors in the US do, nor are single stock options frequently used (though there is a lot of retail activity in warrants on large cap names), but the pain that is being felt in global portfolios could lead to unwinding in Hong Kong shorts too.Some highly shorted stocks in Hong Kong that have seen prices jump today along with volume surge are Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK), China Literature (772 HK), Bank of East Asia (23 HK), MTR Corp (66 HK), Want Want (151 HK), Samsonite (1910 HK) and Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997 HK).We identify more stocks that could be prone to short covering based on short interest as a percentage of issued shares, free float and in terms of days of ADV to cover.

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The stock price surged after the announcement of the 3Q21 result, as the revenue growth rate climbed up.</li>
<li>However, operating loss was deepened due to significant increase of selling and marketing expense.</li>
<li>We believe that TAL’s ability of revenue generation is overvalued according to the unbelievably low prices of online courses.</li>
</ul>


The stock price surged after the announcement of the 3Q21 result, as the revenue growth rate climbed up.
However, operating loss was deepened due to significant increase of selling and marketing expense.
We believe that TAL’s ability of revenue generation is overvalued according to the unbelievably low prices of online courses.


TAL Education (TAL): Meaningless Growth Rate in 3Q21

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Poppins Holdings Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poppins-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31056:1" rel="noopener">Poppins Holdings Inc (7358 JP)</a> , the provider of child and elderly care services in Japan has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Tokyo Exchange. The company will be issuing 1.1m new shares at the IPO while existing shareholders will issue 2.15m shares, and at the midpoint of the IPO pricing of JPY2,750 per share, the company will raise gross proceeds of JPY8.9bn (US$85.8m).</p><p>In our previous insight on the company’s IPO, we examined the company’s business model, segments and financials. In this insight, we discuss the company’s valuation.</p><p>Read our previous insight on the company's IPO:</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/poppins-ipo-well-positioned-to-benefit-from-japanese-demographic-trends" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46156" rel="noopener">Poppins IPO: Well Positioned to Benefit from Japanese Demographic Trends</a> </p>

Poppins Holdings Inc (7358 JP) , the provider of child and elderly care services in Japan has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Tokyo Exchange. The company will be issuing 1.1m new shares at the IPO while existing shareholders will issue 2.15m shares, and at the midpoint of the IPO pricing of JPY2,750 per share, the company will raise gross proceeds of JPY8.9bn (US$85.8m).In our previous insight on the company’s IPO, we examined the company’s business model, segments and financials. In this insight, we discuss the company’s valuation.Read our previous insight on the company's IPO:Poppins IPO: Well Positioned to Benefit from Japanese Demographic Trends 

Poppins IPO Valuation: Attractively Priced for a Growing Company

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

17 Education & Technology Grou / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17-education-and-technology-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31033:1" rel="noopener">17 Education and Technology (YQ US)</a> is an online leading education technology company in China. It ranked fifth in online K-12 large-class after-school tutoring market as measured by gross billing and paid course enrolments in 2019 and 1H20, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</p></div><div><p>17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, 17 Education will raise net proceeds of $265.2 million. Indications of interest have been received for up to $80 million of the offer shares from the CPE Fund, which is managed by China Pinnacle Equity Management. The IPO will be priced on 3 December. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/17-education-technology-ipo-initiation-acquired-taste" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45820" rel="noopener">17 Education &amp; Technology IPO Initiation: Acquired Taste</a>, we stated that investing in the China online education sector requires acceptance that the high upfront losses are a necessary evil which should generate returns through the lifetime value of K-12 students. For investors comfortable with this dynamic, we believe that 17 Education has attractive fundamentals. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive. </p></div></div></div>

17 Education and Technology (YQ US) is an online leading education technology company in China. It ranked fifth in online K-12 large-class after-school tutoring market as measured by gross billing and paid course enrolments in 2019 and 1H20, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, 17 Education will raise net proceeds of $265.2 million. Indications of interest have been received for up to $80 million of the offer shares from the CPE Fund, which is managed by China Pinnacle Equity Management. The IPO will be priced on 3 December. In 17 Education &amp; Technology IPO Initiation: Acquired Taste, we stated that investing in the China online education sector requires acceptance that the high upfront losses are a necessary evil which should generate returns through the lifetime value of K-12 students. For investors comfortable with this dynamic, we believe that 17 Education has attractive fundamentals. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive. 

17 Education & Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17-education-and-technology-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31033:1" rel="noopener">17 Education and Technology (YQ US)</a>  is a leading education technology company in China with an “in-school + after-school” integrated model which provides offline and online K-12 education products and services in China. The company has set the terms for its IPO and plans to raise net proceeds of US$265.2m at the midpoint of the IPO pricing of US$10.5 per ADS.</p><p>The company plans to use the proceeds from the IPO on improving the operation of after-school tutoring services and student learning experience, enhancing the product offerings and educational content, investing on technology infrastructure, marketing and other related activities.</p><p>In our previous insight on the company’s IPO, we examine the company’s business model and its financials. Find below an extract from our previous insight:</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>It seems that the company does not have a clear path to profitability, and we remain concerned about the growing losses for the business. Given the intense competition in China’s online education market, the companies are forced to spend aggressively on selling and marketing to attract students for their courses/programs. The large growth in the company’s top line during the pandemic had been common across all online education players in China, however, the top line growth comes at the expense of margins. Moreover, with Covid-19 conditions subsiding and the country returning to normalcy, we expect the company’s top line growth to decline over the next few quarters</p></div>

17 Education and Technology (YQ US)  is a leading education technology company in China with an “in-school + after-school” integrated model which provides offline and online K-12 education products and services in China. The company has set the terms for its IPO and plans to raise net proceeds of US$265.2m at the midpoint of the IPO pricing of US$10.5 per ADS.The company plans to use the proceeds from the IPO on improving the operation of after-school tutoring services and student learning experience, enhancing the product offerings and educational content, investing on technology infrastructure, marketing and other related activities.In our previous insight on the company’s IPO, we examine the company’s business model and its financials. Find below an extract from our previous insight:It seems that the company does not have a clear path to profitability, and we remain concerned about the growing losses for the business. Given the intense competition in China’s online education market, the companies are forced to spend aggressively on selling and marketing to attract students for their courses/programs. The large growth in the company’s top line during the pandemic had been common across all online education players in China, however, the top line growth comes at the expense of margins. Moreover, with Covid-19 conditions subsiding and the country returning to normalcy, we expect the company’s top line growth to decline over the next few quarters

17 Edu & Tech IPO Valuation: Fairly Valued at the Lower End of the IPO Pricing

China

East Buy Holding Limited operates livestreaming platform businesses. The Company provides private label products including agricultural products, food, books, and household goods. East Buy Holding also conducts college education businesses.

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East Buy Holding (1797 HK)

HK Shorts: Squeeze-O-Meter

Following the GameStop saga, we try to identify stocks in HK that could be susceptible to a short squeeze based on short interest vs issued shares...

Brian Freitas

TAL Education (TAL): Meaningless Growth Rate in 3Q21

The stock price surged after the announcement of the 3Q21 result, as the revenue growth rate climbed up. However, we believe that TAL’s ability of...

Ming Lu

Poppins IPO Valuation: Attractively Priced for a Growing Company

Poppins, the provider of child and elderly care services in Japan has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Tokyo Exchange. In this insight,...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

17 Education & Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.

Arun George

17 Edu & Tech IPO Valuation: Fairly Valued at the Lower End of the IPO Pricing

17 Education and Technology has set the terms for its IPO and plans to raise net proceeds of US$265.2m at the midpoint of the IPO pricing of...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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