HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For Pfizer,orders on COVID-19 vaccine and Paxlovid would generate over US$50 billion revenue in 2022. So whether Pfizer would pursue for new M&amp;A opportunities become the focus of the market.</li>
<li>The oral COVID-19 antivirals are a great opportunity for the development of Chinese API companies, improving the overall valuation. However, CXOs are actually the first to benefit from this market.</li>
<li>If the COVID mutates in a more transmissible direction, the valuation and forecast of related companies in this industrial chain needs readjustment.However, if it doesn’t, the logic would change again.</li>
</ul>


For Pfizer,orders on COVID-19 vaccine and Paxlovid would generate over US$50 billion revenue in 2022. So whether Pfizer would pursue for new M&amp;A opportunities become the focus of the market.
The oral COVID-19 antivirals are a great opportunity for the development of Chinese API companies, improving the overall valuation. However, CXOs are actually the first to benefit from this market.
If the COVID mutates in a more transmissible direction, the valuation and forecast of related companies in this industrial chain needs readjustment.However, if it doesn’t, the logic would change again.


Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the plunge of CXO/biotech sector last week, the potential impact, the afterwards investment logic, the outlook, and the scenarios when are suitable for related investment.</li>
<li>The big concern is that the underlying logic is shaking and the valuation system has switched. Investors could hope for the best,but it is recommended to prepare for the worst.</li>
<li>Either long or short, don't stand on the opposite side of the broken logic at least.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the plunge of CXO/biotech sector last week, the potential impact, the afterwards investment logic, the outlook, and the scenarios when are suitable for related investment.
The big concern is that the underlying logic is shaking and the valuation system has switched. Investors could hope for the best,but it is recommended to prepare for the worst.
Either long or short, don't stand on the opposite side of the broken logic at least.


The CXO/Biotech Plunge and the Afterwards Investment Logic (2022)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 134 stocks over the last week. </li>
<li>The sector with the biggest A/H premium increase was Health Care (ΔA/H premium=+8.1ppt).  The average A/H premium of the the Health Care sector was also at 52 week high. </li>
<li>This is due to the A/H premia of many Health Care stocks at 52 week high: Wuxi Apptec, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Hepalink, and the increase of A/H for Join Lab, Haohai. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 134 stocks over the last week. 
The sector with the biggest A/H premium increase was Health Care (ΔA/H premium=+8.1ppt).  The average A/H premium of the the Health Care sector was also at 52 week high. 
This is due to the A/H premia of many Health Care stocks at 52 week high: Wuxi Apptec, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Hepalink, and the increase of A/H for Join Lab, Haohai. 


A/H Premium Weekly: Health Care A/H Premium at 52W High

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, the Financial Times reported that the Biden Administration would add two dozen Chinese companies to the entity list while there could be additions to the investment blacklist too.</li>
<li>There was a big drop in biotech stocks in Hong Kong on the news with the Hang Seng Hong Kong listed Biotech Index dropping over 7%.</li>
<li>Ahead of the publication of the lists on Thursday, we look at the potential impact on the stocks that could be added to either/both the lists.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, the Financial Times reported that the Biden Administration would add two dozen Chinese companies to the entity list while there could be additions to the investment blacklist too.
There was a big drop in biotech stocks in Hong Kong on the news with the Hang Seng Hong Kong listed Biotech Index dropping over 7%.
Ahead of the publication of the lists on Thursday, we look at the potential impact on the stocks that could be added to either/both the lists.


Potential Blacklist Additions: Impact on China AI/Biotech Stocks

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Asymchem Laboratories Tianjin / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Asymchem Laboratories raised around US$1.05bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>AL is a provider of outsourced pharmaceutical development and manufacturing solutions and services. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Asymchem Laboratories raised around US$1.05bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
AL is a provider of outsourced pharmaceutical development and manufacturing solutions and services. 
In this note, we will talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.


Asymchem Labs A/H Trading - Moderate Demand and Upside

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

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WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)

Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

This insight analyzed Pfizer's Paxlovid and Merck’s Molnupiravir after FDA EUA, the global market potential, the impact on China market and related...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The CXO/Biotech Plunge and the Afterwards Investment Logic (2022)

The article analyzed CXO plunge last week, the potential impact, the investment logic, the outlook on CXO and biotech, the scenarios when are...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A/H Premium Weekly: Health Care A/H Premium at 52W High

We highlight that A/H premium of Health Care sector at 52 week high due to rumor of entity list inclusion, this is due to A/H premia of many...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Potential Blacklist Additions: Impact on China AI/Biotech Stocks

An FT article said that the Biden administration would add 8 entities to the NS-CMIC list and 24 entities to the Entity List. We look at the...

Brian Freitas

Asymchem Labs A/H Trading - Moderate Demand and Upside

Asymchem Laboratories raised around US$1.05bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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