Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<p>The Chinese variety retailer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US)</a> raised $608 million in a U.S. initial public offering on 15<sup>th</sup> October 2020. The company sold 30.4m ADS at $20.00 apiece after marketing them at $16.50 - $18.50 per ADS.</p><p>Miniso opened trading at $24.40 per ADS, up 22% from the IPO price and closed the first trading day at $20.88 per ADS. Miniso shares rallied again on Friday and closed the week at $23.18 per ADS.</p><p>Previously we discussed the company, its business model and financials in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-ipo-long-term-growth-prospects-secured-by-a-sustainable-competitive-advantage" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-ipo-as-appealing-as-miniso-products" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO IPO: As Appealing As MINISO Products</a>, about valuation in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-valuation-valued-like-miniso-merchandise-bang-for-the-buck" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO Valuation: Valued Like MINISO Merchandise - Bang for the Buck</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-deserves-more-than-the-ipo-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO Deserves More Than The IPO Valuation</a>.</p>

The Chinese variety retailer, MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) raised $608 million in a U.S. initial public offering on 15th October 2020. The company sold 30.4m ADS at $20.00 apiece after marketing them at $16.50 - $18.50 per ADS.Miniso opened trading at $24.40 per ADS, up 22% from the IPO price and closed the first trading day at $20.88 per ADS. Miniso shares rallied again on Friday and closed the week at $23.18 per ADS.Previously we discussed the company, its business model and financials in MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage and MINISO IPO: As Appealing As MINISO Products, about valuation in MINISO Valuation: Valued Like MINISO Merchandise - Bang for the Buck and MINISO Deserves More Than The IPO Valuation.

MINISO IPO Trading Update: More Upside Left, But Wait For Better Pricing Or Momentum

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US)</a> is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB 9.0 billion (US$1.3 billion).</p>
<p>Last week, the company filed an updated prospectus with the SEC announcing the price range for the NYSE IPO. The price range was set at $16.50-$18.50 per ADS, which translates to $4.125-$4.625 per share.</p>
<p>MINISO plans to raise $502m-$562m via issuing 16.5m new ADS (122m-140m new shares). An overallotment option, if exercised, could increase the IPO by $75m-$84m (4.6m new ADS).</p>
<p>Previously, we discussed MINISO's business model and financials in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-ipo-long-term-growth-prospects-secured-by-a-sustainable-competitive-advantage" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-ipo-as-appealing-as-miniso-products" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO IPO: As Appealing As MINISO Products</a>.</p>
<p>This insight will focus on valuation and assess if it is worthwhile subscribing to the IPO.</p>

MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB 9.0 billion (US$1.3 billion).
Last week, the company filed an updated prospectus with the SEC announcing the price range for the NYSE IPO. The price range was set at $16.50-$18.50 per ADS, which translates to $4.125-$4.625 per share.
MINISO plans to raise $502m-$562m via issuing 16.5m new ADS (122m-140m new shares). An overallotment option, if exercised, could increase the IPO by $75m-$84m (4.6m new ADS).
Previously, we discussed MINISO's business model and financials in MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage and MINISO IPO: As Appealing As MINISO Products.
This insight will focus on valuation and assess if it is worthwhile subscribing to the IPO.

MINISO Valuation: Valued Like MINISO Merchandise - Bang for the Buck

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US)</a> is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the global branded variety retail market in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Miniso has launched its IPO at a price range of $16.50-18.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Miniso will raise net proceeds of $504.2 million. </p><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-group-ipo-initiation-chain-reaction" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we stated that setting aside the short-term negative impact due to COVID-19, Miniso presents a unique opportunity to gain exposure to the global branded variety retail market which is driven by consumers’ increasing focus on product design and value for money. We opined that Miniso’s fundamentals offer more positives than negatives. Overall, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.</p></div></div></div>

MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the global branded variety retail market in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Miniso has launched its IPO at a price range of $16.50-18.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Miniso will raise net proceeds of $504.2 million. In our initiation note, we stated that setting aside the short-term negative impact due to COVID-19, Miniso presents a unique opportunity to gain exposure to the global branded variety retail market which is driven by consumers’ increasing focus on product design and value for money. We opined that Miniso’s fundamentals offer more positives than negatives. Overall, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-d-i-y-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28430:1" rel="noopener">MR D.I.Y. Group (MRDIY MK)</a> is the largest home improvement retailer in Malaysia, with a revenue market share of 29.1% in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Mr DIY has launched the roadshow for its long-awaited IPO to raise RM1.5 billion ($360 million). The institutional bookbuilding will run from 6 to 14 October. Pricing is set for 14 October with listing targeted for 26 October.   </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mr-d-i-y-group-ipo-initiation-bare-necessities" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we stated that with enviable exposure to the underpenetrated home improvement retail sector in Malaysia, Mr DIY seems to have a reasonable runway to maintain its high growth, high returns equity story. Mr DIY's latest prospectus details its 2019 and 1H20 results. Overall, with a commendable performance during the COVID-19 outbreak, we continue to believe that Mr DIY’s fundamentals offer more positives than negatives.</p></div>

MR D.I.Y. Group (MRDIY MK) is the largest home improvement retailer in Malaysia, with a revenue market share of 29.1% in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Mr DIY has launched the roadshow for its long-awaited IPO to raise RM1.5 billion ($360 million). The institutional bookbuilding will run from 6 to 14 October. Pricing is set for 14 October with listing targeted for 26 October.   In our initiation note, we stated that with enviable exposure to the underpenetrated home improvement retail sector in Malaysia, Mr DIY seems to have a reasonable runway to maintain its high growth, high returns equity story. Mr DIY's latest prospectus details its 2019 and 1H20 results. Overall, with a commendable performance during the COVID-19 outbreak, we continue to believe that Mr DIY’s fundamentals offer more positives than negatives.

<p>“MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand with a network of over 4,200 stores worldwide. The company opened its first store in 2013 in China and used the “MINISO Retail Partner” (similar to a franchise model)  and “Distributor” models to rapidly scale-up the numbers of stores, both within China and overseas. Currently <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US)</a> is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB 9.0 billion (US$1.3 billion).</p>

“MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand with a network of over 4,200 stores worldwide. The company opened its first store in 2013 in China and used the “MINISO Retail Partner” (similar to a franchise model)  and “Distributor” models to rapidly scale-up the numbers of stores, both within China and overseas. Currently MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB 9.0 billion (US$1.3 billion).

MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage

Japan

RYOHIN KEIKAKU CO., LTD. is a retailer and wholesaler of Mujirushi Ryohin brand products, which were originally a generic private-brand product.  The Company's product line includes knitwear, food, and household items

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Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)

MINISO IPO Trading Update: More Upside Left, But Wait For Better Pricing Or Momentum

Miniso raised $608 million in a U.S. initial public offering on 15th October 2020. The company sold 30.4m ADS at $20.00 apiece after marketing them...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

MINISO Valuation: Valued Like MINISO Merchandise - Bang for the Buck

MINISO Group Holdings is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

MINISO Group IPO: Valuation Insights

MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the...

Arun George

Mr D.I.Y. Group IPO: Make Your Own

$mr dMr DIY is the largest home improvement retailer in Malaysia, with a revenue market share of 29.1% in 2019, according to Frost & Sullivan....

Arun George

MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage

“MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand with a network of over 4,200 stores worldwide. The company opened its first store in 2013 in China...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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