Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</div><div>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/postal-savings-bank-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22848:1" rel="noopener">Postal Savings Bank of China (1658 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinxin-fertility-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28003:1" rel="noopener">Jinxin Fertility Co Ltd (1951 HK)</a>while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>. Shorts increased on Financials, while decreasing on Communication Services, Health Care, Financials and Energy, while shorts decreased on Consumer Discretionary, Real Estate and Information Technology.</div><div>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryohin-keikaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2765:1" rel="noopener">Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-real-estate-master-fu" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22930:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Real Estate Master Fund, (3462 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">freee (4478 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orix-jreit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:314:1" rel="noopener">Orix JREIT Inc (8954 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13172:1" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmg-mori-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11125:1" rel="noopener">Dmg Mori Co Ltd (6141 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharma-foods-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10530:1" rel="noopener">Pharma Foods International (2929 JP)</a>. Sectorally, shorts increased in Real Estate and decreased in Industrials.</div><div>
In Korea, there was large short covering in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pearl-abyss-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24391:1" rel="noopener">Pearl Abyss (263750 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-chemical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8757:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Chemical (011170 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a>. 
Taiwan was closed for the week due to the Lunar New Year.
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The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Postal Savings Bank of China (1658 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) and Jinxin Fertility Co Ltd (1951 HK)while there was short covering on Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), Meituan (3690 HK) and BYD (1211 HK). Shorts increased on Financials, while decreasing on Communication Services, Health Care, Financials and Energy, while shorts decreased on Consumer Discretionary, Real Estate and Information Technology.In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP), Nomura Real Estate Master Fund, (3462 JP), freee (4478 JP) and Orix JREIT Inc (8954 JP) while shorts decreased on Itochu Corp (8001 JP), Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP), Dmg Mori Co Ltd (6141 JP) and Pharma Foods International (2929 JP). Sectorally, shorts increased in Real Estate and decreased in Industrials.
In Korea, there was large short covering in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Pearl Abyss (263750 KS), Lotte Chemical (011170 KS) and Kakao Corp (035720 KS). 
Taiwan was closed for the week due to the Lunar New Year.


Asia Short Interest: WuXi Bio, PSBC, Jinxin Fertility, BYD, Ryohin, Freee, Itochu, Pearl Abyss

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

1. Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>An important document supporting the development of the traditional Chinese medicine industry has been released recently.</li>
<li>The market size of cardiac pacemakers in China is expected to reach RMB28 billion in the future.</li>
<li>China's health care products market is expected to maintain rapid growth in the future. </li>
</ul>2. Company news:News about the progress of new drugs and strategic collaboration from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH).</a>3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 6.31%, while CSI 300 increased 5.91% over the same period of time.4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:
An important document supporting the development of the traditional Chinese medicine industry has been released recently.
The market size of cardiac pacemakers in China is expected to reach RMB28 billion in the future.
China's health care products market is expected to maintain rapid growth in the future. 
2. Company news:News about the progress of new drugs and strategic collaboration from Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK) and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH).3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 6.31%, while CSI 300 increased 5.91% over the same period of time.4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Chine Healthcare Weekly(Feb12)-TCM New Policy,Cardiac Pacemaker,Health Care Product,Innovent,Hengrui

Equity Bottom-Up

On February 3rd, 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innocare-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28355:1" rel="noopener">InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969 HK)</a> announced two subscription agreements with Hillhouse and Vivo Capital. The two investors subscribed 191,613,000 and 18,895,000 new shares respectively, for a total of 210,508,000 new Shares, representing about 16.33% of the existing total issued Shares of the Company as at the date of this announcement and approximately 14.04% of the total issued shares of the Company as enlarged by the allotment and issue of the subscription shares. The subscription price of HK$14.45/share represents an 8.32% premium to the average closing price of the five trading days immediately preceding the date of the subscription agreements (not including 2 February 2021). Source: InnoCare Official WebsiteInnoCare has been invested by two leading funds because in addition to orelabrutinib, which was approved for marketing at the end of last year, the Company has developed a balanced pipeline of over 10 drug candidates for the treatment of malignant tumors and autoimmune diseases. InnoCare’s core value of "Science Drives Innovation" is highly recognized.

On February 3rd, 2021, InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969 HK) announced two subscription agreements with Hillhouse and Vivo Capital. The two investors subscribed 191,613,000 and 18,895,000 new shares respectively, for a total of 210,508,000 new Shares, representing about 16.33% of the existing total issued Shares of the Company as at the date of this announcement and approximately 14.04% of the total issued shares of the Company as enlarged by the allotment and issue of the subscription shares. The subscription price of HK$14.45/share represents an 8.32% premium to the average closing price of the five trading days immediately preceding the date of the subscription agreements (not including 2 February 2021). Source: InnoCare Official WebsiteInnoCare has been invested by two leading funds because in addition to orelabrutinib, which was approved for marketing at the end of last year, the Company has developed a balanced pipeline of over 10 drug candidates for the treatment of malignant tumors and autoimmune diseases. InnoCare’s core value of "Science Drives Innovation" is highly recognized. 

InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969.HK) - What Attracts Both Hillhouse and Vivo Capital?

On January 29th, 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luye-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:488:1" rel="noopener">Luye Pharma (2186 HK)</a> announced a subscription agreement with Hillhouse NEV, involving HK$1.25 billion of investment from Hillhouse in exchange for issuing of new shares. The subscription price of the new shares was HK$4.28/share, a premium of approximately 10.03% over the closing price of HK$3.89/share on January 29th. Once the deals are completed, Hillhouse NEV will have a 15.60% stake in Luye, making it the second largest shareholder of the Company. The news had an immediate boost to share prices. Luye's shares opened sharply higher on Monday (February 1st), trading as high as HK$7, up 79.95% from Friday's close of HK$3.89/share. It surged again on Wednesday (February 3rd), up 11.3%, and then started to fall back on Thursday. By the end of February 5th, Luye's share price was HK$6.19. So, could the magic of Hillhouse last long?

On January 29th, 2021, Luye Pharma (2186 HK) announced a subscription agreement with Hillhouse NEV, involving HK$1.25 billion of investment from Hillhouse in exchange for issuing of new shares. The subscription price of the new shares was HK$4.28/share, a premium of approximately 10.03% over the closing price of HK$3.89/share on January 29th. Once the deals are completed, Hillhouse NEV will have a 15.60% stake in Luye, making it the second largest shareholder of the Company. The news had an immediate boost to share prices. Luye's shares opened sharply higher on Monday (February 1st), trading as high as HK$7, up 79.95% from Friday's close of HK$3.89/share. It surged again on Wednesday (February 3rd), up 11.3%, and then started to fall back on Thursday. By the end of February 5th, Luye's share price was HK$6.19. So, could the magic of Hillhouse last long?

Luye Pharma (2186.HK) - Could the Magic of Hillhouse Last Long?

Event-Driven

On 22 December 2020 post market close, Hang Seng Indexes (HSIL) released the consultation paper on the "Proposal to enhance the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> as regards continuing to serve as the most representative and important benchmark of the Hong Kong stock market". Market participants had until 24 January to submit their views to HSIL.HSIL are scheduled to announce the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> as a part of the March review on 26 February. There is a high probability that the conclusions of the market consultation will be announced on the same day.Given some large new listings since then and the price movements on the stocks, we refresh our list of potential inclusions and exclusions assuming that HSIL go up to 65 names or 80 names.In both cases, the turnover is very high in percentage terms and in dollar terms. HSIL will need to implement the changes over 1 year.We continue to believe that the market will probably be fine with increasing the number of constituents to 65, but will likely balk at going up to 80 in one shot.Financials would see the largest decrease in weight, offset by gains in Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Properties, Healthcare, Consumer Staples and Utilities.

On 22 December 2020 post market close, Hang Seng Indexes (HSIL) released the consultation paper on the "Proposal to enhance the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) as regards continuing to serve as the most representative and important benchmark of the Hong Kong stock market". Market participants had until 24 January to submit their views to HSIL.HSIL are scheduled to announce the changes to the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) as a part of the March review on 26 February. There is a high probability that the conclusions of the market consultation will be announced on the same day.Given some large new listings since then and the price movements on the stocks, we refresh our list of potential inclusions and exclusions assuming that HSIL go up to 65 names or 80 names.In both cases, the turnover is very high in percentage terms and in dollar terms. HSIL will need to implement the changes over 1 year.We continue to believe that the market will probably be fine with increasing the number of constituents to 65, but will likely balk at going up to 80 in one shot.Financials would see the largest decrease in weight, offset by gains in Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Properties, Healthcare, Consumer Staples and Utilities.

HSI Market Consultation - Name Changes as We Await the Conclusions

China

Innovent Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes monoclonal antibody drug candidates for the treatment of oncology, ophthalmology, autoimmune, cardiovascular, and other diseases. Innovent Biologics serves customers in China.

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Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)

Asia Short Interest: WuXi Bio, PSBC, Jinxin Fertility, BYD, Ryohin, Freee, Itochu, Pearl Abyss

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

Chine Healthcare Weekly(Feb12)-TCM New Policy,Cardiac Pacemaker,Health Care Product,Innovent,Hengrui

This article analyzed industry viewpoints include new policy about traditional Chinese medicine, cardiac pacemakers market, health care products...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969.HK) - What Attracts Both Hillhouse and Vivo Capital?

The article analyzed what InnoCare attracts both Hillhouse and Vivo Capital in terms of its core product orelabrutinib, other products (ICP-192/ICP...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Luye Pharma (2186.HK) - Could the Magic of Hillhouse Last Long?

This article analyzed Luye Pharma after the subscription agreement with Hillhouse in terms of the past performance, insights on recent changes, and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSI Market Consultation - Name Changes as We Await the Conclusions

The conclusions of the HSI market consultation could be announced on 26 Feb along with the March review. Given recent large listings and price...

Brian Freitas

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