Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

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<ul>
<li>
Tesla's Q4 deliveries trounced market estimates thanks to a strong yearend push.</li>
<li>The outlook for revenue and profit just got higher. A lot higher.</li>
<li>Also true, Tesla's easy comps may be coming to an end.</li>
</ul>



Tesla's Q4 deliveries trounced market estimates thanks to a strong yearend push.
The outlook for revenue and profit just got higher. A lot higher.
Also true, Tesla's easy comps may be coming to an end.


Record Tesla Q4 Deliveries Boost Q4 Revenue & Profit Estimates

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Sure the Elon Musk Show is on all channels, but he and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> did have a very good year.</li>
<li>They also caught a lot of lucky breaks that won't last—which is overlooked by investors. </li>
<li>Next year will be different. And it starts in just two days.</li>
</ul>


Sure the Elon Musk Show is on all channels, but he and Tesla Motors (TSLA US) did have a very good year.
They also caught a lot of lucky breaks that won't last—which is overlooked by investors. 
Next year will be different. And it starts in just two days.


Look Away From Elon Musk To Gauge Tesla's Prospects—and Looming Risks

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This morning, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> shares. </li>
<li>The distribution is 457,326,671 Tencent-held (86.4% of holdings) Class A Ordinary shares of JD.com - 1 share per 21 Tencent shares held - to Qualifying Shareholders on the record...</li>
<li>...date which is 25 January 2022, with 'delivery' on or about 25 March 2022. Non-Qualifying Shareholders will get cash. The details matter.</li>
</ul>


This morning, Tencent (700 HK) declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) / JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) shares. 
The distribution is 457,326,671 Tencent-held (86.4% of holdings) Class A Ordinary shares of JD.com - 1 share per 21 Tencent shares held - to Qualifying Shareholders on the record...
...date which is 25 January 2022, with 'delivery' on or about 25 March 2022. Non-Qualifying Shareholders will get cash. The details matter.


Tencent's Big In-Specie Dividend of JD.com Shares

China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After the wait of nearly a year, management announced that it will start ET7 delivery on 28th March. However market pushback rises.</li>
<li>The newly announced new ET5 is lacking an exciting selling point, doubtful if it will attract enough potential buyers to give up existing well-known competitor models and wait for it.</li>
<li>YTD, NIO (NIO US) underperformed its peers by nearly 40% due to lagging monthly delivery. It would continue to underperform peers in the next three years.</li>
</ul>


After the wait of nearly a year, management announced that it will start ET7 delivery on 28th March. However market pushback rises.
The newly announced new ET5 is lacking an exciting selling point, doubtful if it will attract enough potential buyers to give up existing well-known competitor models and wait for it.
YTD, NIO (NIO US) underperformed its peers by nearly 40% due to lagging monthly delivery. It would continue to underperform peers in the next three years.


Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We model GF3 production to reach 65+K, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a>  to delivery 45-50K onshore in December, China is to reach ~30+% global deliveries. </li>
<li>We model <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (NIO US)</a>  production to reach ~11K in December, Q4 deliveries are likely miss, without "manipulation"; </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29217:1" rel="noopener">Xpeng (XPEV US)</a>  Zhaoqing factory production declines MoM, but Q4 deliveries are set to beat guidance due to stronger than expected G3i orders. </li>
</ul>


We model GF3 production to reach 65+K, and Tesla Motors (TSLA US)  to delivery 45-50K onshore in December, China is to reach ~30+% global deliveries. 
We model NIO Inc (NIO US)  production to reach ~11K in December, Q4 deliveries are likely miss, without "manipulation"; 

Xpeng (XPEV US)  Zhaoqing factory production declines MoM, but Q4 deliveries are set to beat guidance due to stronger than expected G3i orders. 


China NEV Week 49 2021 Update: TSLA, NIO, XPEV Production, Deliveries

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

Record Tesla Q4 Deliveries Boost Q4 Revenue & Profit Estimates

Tesla's Q4 deliveries trounced market estimates thanks to a strong yearend push. Also true, Tesla's easy comps may be coming to an end.

Vicki Bryan

Look Away From Elon Musk To Gauge Tesla's Prospects—and Looming Risks

Sure the Elon Show is on all channels, but he and Tesla did have a very good year. They also caught a lot of lucky breaks that won't last—which is...

Vicki Bryan

Tencent's Big In-Specie Dividend of JD.com Shares

Tencent has decided to distribute the vast majority of the JD.com shares it holds. JD.com got sold off and Tencent got a bump. The Tencent bump is...

Travis Lundy

NIO: Is the Future Still with NIO?

After the wait of nearly a year, management announced that it will start ET7 delivery on 28th March. However market pushback rises.

Victoria Li

China NEV Week 49 2021 Update: TSLA, NIO, XPEV Production, Deliveries

Weekly update on TSLA, NIO and XPEV production and delivery data in China: TSLA China likely exceed 92K, XPEV 38K, NIO 23-24K in Q4, respectively.

JL Warren Capital

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