Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US:Daily Traffic Volume growth on highways is flattish YoY During the Summer Travel Season(-/-)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Decrease in New Short-term Loans to Residents in July, but Increase in New Long-term Loans(+)</li>
<li>BEKE US:House prices continued to decline in July . (-)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US:Daily Traffic Volume growth on highways is flattish YoY During the Summer Travel Season(-/-)
BEKE US: Decrease in New Short-term Loans to Residents in July, but Increase in New Long-term Loans(+)
BEKE US:House prices continued to decline in July . (-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

<ul>
<li>981 HK/1347 HK: Semiconductor export growth remained robust in July (+/+)</li>
<li>1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US: 2024 week 31 EV makers started to bifurate .(/////////)</li>
<li>1810 HK: Xiaomi’s smartphone unit volume sales in Japan grow triple-digit y-o-y in 2Q24 (+)</li>
</ul>


981 HK/1347 HK: Semiconductor export growth remained robust in July (+/+)
1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US: 2024 week 31 EV makers started to bifurate .(/////////)
1810 HK: Xiaomi’s smartphone unit volume sales in Japan grow triple-digit y-o-y in 2Q24 (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US/TCOM US/ATAT US/LKNCY US

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We summarize the Jul 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect samestore metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jul 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.The following data reflect samestore metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Resilient Leading Indicators During Off-Peak Time

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Market underestimates the size of China’s stimulus packages, which consist of Rmb150bn of EV trade-in’s by year end and Rmb3tn worth of industrial equipment upgrades over 5 years;</li>
<li>Consolidation by BYD, LI and Huawei in marketing share shall continue, profitably. Our TOP PICK is BYD.</li>
<li>Consolidation by BYD, LI and Huawei in marketing share shall continue, profitably. Our TOP PICK is BYD.</li>
</ul>


Market underestimates the size of China’s stimulus packages, which consist of Rmb150bn of EV trade-in’s by year end and Rmb3tn worth of industrial equipment upgrades over 5 years;
Consolidation by BYD, LI and Huawei in marketing share shall continue, profitably. Our TOP PICK is BYD.
Consolidation by BYD, LI and Huawei in marketing share shall continue, profitably. Our TOP PICK is BYD.


[Blue Lotus Transportation Sector Update]: Consolidation by BYD, LI and Huawei Continue

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024 sales volumes on 1 Aug.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 33% YoY (ranging from - 22% to +950%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -22% to +10%) in Jul.</li><li>Li Auto beat, NIO in line, Xpeng restocking. Li Auto delivered about 51,000 units (+7% MoM) in Jul, a record high, better than our prior forecast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024 sales volumes on 1 Aug.Total sales volume combined rose 33% YoY (ranging from - 22% to +950%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -22% to +10%) in Jul.Li Auto beat, NIO in line, Xpeng restocking. Li Auto delivered about 51,000 units (+7% MoM) in Jul, a record high, better than our prior forecast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Likely First MoM Rise for Jul NEV Retail Since 2021

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

NIO (NIO US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US/TCOM US/ATAT US/LKNCY US

Semiconductor exports strong in July, EV makers diverge in 2024, Xiaomi's smartphone sales surge in Japan.Active Users on the Luckin Coffee App...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - Resilient Leading Indicators During Off-Peak Time

We summarize the Jul 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Transportation Sector Update]: Consolidation by BYD, LI and Huawei Continue

China's stimulus packages are larger than expected, with significant investments in EV trade-ins and industrial equipment upgrades. BYD is...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - Likely First MoM Rise for Jul NEV Retail Since 2021

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

​Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US/TCOM US/ATAT US/LKNCY US

​Semiconductor exports strong in July, EV makers diverge in 2024, Xiaomi's smartphone sales surge in Japan.Active Users on the Luckin Coffee App...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - Resilient Leading Indicators During Off-Peak Time

We summarize the Jul 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Transportation Sector Update]: Consolidation by BYD, LI and Huawei Continue

​China's stimulus packages are larger than expected, with significant investments in EV trade-ins and industrial equipment upgrades. BYD is...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - Likely First MoM Rise for Jul NEV Retail Since 2021

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024...

CMB International

Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...

Semiconductor exports strong in July, EV makers diverge in 2024, Xiaomi's smartphone sales surge in Japan.Active Users on the Luckin Coffee App...

China's stimulus packages are larger than expected, with significant investments in EV trade-ins and industrial equipment upgrades. BYD is...