China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>PDD: PDD reveals ambitious goal in Temu offline conference (+)</li>
<li>BABA/JD/VIPS/3690.HK: 5% YoY rebound in January/February retail data, but slower than expected (-/-/-/+)</li>
<li>TikTok：TikTok is ready to launch search ads, minior impact to Google</li>
</ul>


PDD: PDD reveals ambitious goal in Temu offline conference (+)
BABA/JD/VIPS/3690.HK: 5% YoY rebound in January/February retail data, but slower than expected (-/-/-/+)
TikTok：TikTok is ready to launch search ads, minior impact to Google


China TMT Update(Mar.16): BABA/JD/PDD/VIPS/TikTok - PDD Reveals Ambitious Goal in Temu Conference

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Questionable marketing practices and cheap counterfeits could make TEMU a legal nightmare for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings Inc (PDD US).</a>
</li>
<li>Meanwhile, SHEIN doesn’t seem ready to give in easily to the competition. Thus, TEMU could be a significant burden on Pinduoduo’s profitability in the medium-long term.</li>
<li>Considering the discounts, advertisements and promotional spending done by TEMU in the fourth quarter, we think it is unlikely that Pinduoduo will meet the 4Q22 consensus OP of RMB 11.7bn.</li>
</ul>


Questionable marketing practices and cheap counterfeits could make TEMU a legal nightmare for PDD Holdings Inc (PDD US).

Meanwhile, SHEIN doesn’t seem ready to give in easily to the competition. Thus, TEMU could be a significant burden on Pinduoduo’s profitability in the medium-long term.
Considering the discounts, advertisements and promotional spending done by TEMU in the fourth quarter, we think it is unlikely that Pinduoduo will meet the 4Q22 consensus OP of RMB 11.7bn.


TEMU: A Burden on PDD’s Profitability & Possibly a Legal Nightmare

<ul>
<li>PDD: Temu launches in Australia and New Zealand (+); CPNG: Coupang withdraws from delivery service in Japan (+)</li>
<li>ZTO/PDD: Logistics companies increased parcel prices in Yiwu City (+/-)</li>
<li>BILI:BILI hold content creator seminar to discuss video metrics (+)</li>
</ul>


PDD: Temu launches in Australia and New Zealand (+); CPNG: Coupang withdraws from delivery service in Japan (+)
ZTO/PDD: Logistics companies increased parcel prices in Yiwu City (+/-)
BILI:BILI hold content creator seminar to discuss video metrics (+)


China/Asia TMT Update(Mar.14): PDD/CPNG/BILI/ZTO - Logistics Companies Increased Prices;

<ul>
<li>1877HK/BGNE： Coherus announce FDA inspection of Toripalimab manufacturing facility in China in C2Q23（+）</li>
<li>700HK：Honour of Kings (HOK) International Version first launches in Brazil (+); </li>
<li>PDD/3690HK: PDD begins recruiting merchants for its local life services business (+/-)</li>
</ul>


1877HK/BGNE： Coherus announce FDA inspection of Toripalimab manufacturing facility in China in C2Q23（+）
700HK：Honour of Kings (HOK) International Version first launches in Brazil (+); 
PDD/3690HK: PDD begins recruiting merchants for its local life services business (+/-)


Pdd/3690.hk/700.hk/1877HK/BGNE：PDD Enters Local Life Services Business

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> aims to sell around US$9bn worth of  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>, trimming its stake by a third.</li>
<li>We have looked at the deal in our previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-placement-deal-structure-past-deals-index-buyback" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:96666" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-placement-misbehaving-still-has-time-to-correct-a-look-at-past-deals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97201" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at the post pricing performance of a few more deals.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) aims to sell around US$9bn worth of  Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third.
We have looked at the deal in our previous notes, Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback and Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving. 
In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at the post pricing performance of a few more deals.


Japan Post Bank Placement -  Still Misbehaving - Post-Pricing Performance of Some More Deals

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

China TMT Update(Mar.16): BABA/JD/PDD/VIPS/TikTok - PDD Reveals Ambitious Goal in Temu Conference

PDD: Temu announced ambitious goal in an open conference; BABA/JD/PDD/VIPS/3690.HK: Positive rebound in January/February retail data, increased...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

TEMU: A Burden on PDD’s Profitability & Possibly a Legal Nightmare

Questionable marketing practices and cheap counterfeits could make TEMU a legal nightmare for PDD Holdings. Meanwhile, SHEIN doesn’t seem ready to...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

China/Asia TMT Update(Mar.14): PDD/CPNG/BILI/ZTO - Logistics Companies Increased Prices;

PDD: Temu launches in Australia and New Zealand (+); CPNG: Coupang withdraws from Japan (+)l ZTO/PDD: Logistics companies increased prices (+/-)l...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Pdd/3690.hk/700.hk/1877HK/BGNE：PDD Enters Local Life Services Business

PDD enters local life services business;HOK International Version first launches in Brazil; Coherus announce FDA inspection of Toripalimab...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Japan Post Bank Placement - Still Misbehaving - Post-Pricing Performance of Some More Deals

Japan Post Holdings aims to sell around US$9bn worth of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

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