Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/JD/PDD: Post Bureau publishes Parcel Volume Data for Double 11 Festival (-/+)</li>
<li>BILI/700.HK/1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA: Douyu CEO Chen Shaojie missing for 3 Weeks (+/+/+/-/+)</li>
<li>4689JP/PDD: LY C3Q23 result beat consensus on LINE advertising (/)</li>
</ul>


BABA/JD/PDD: Post Bureau publishes Parcel Volume Data for Double 11 Festival (-/+)
BILI/700.HK/1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA: Douyu CEO Chen Shaojie missing for 3 Weeks (+/+/+/-/+)
4689JP/PDD: LY C3Q23 result beat consensus on LINE advertising (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: BABA/JD/PDD/BILI/Tencent/700.HK/Kuaishou/1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA/ACMR

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, aims to raise around US$1bn (estimated) in its US listing in 1H2023. GS, BofA and MS are said to be running the deal.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>In this note, we take an early look at the IPO based on publicly avaiable information.</li>
</ul>


Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, aims to raise around US$1bn (estimated) in its US listing in 1H2023. GS, BofA and MS are said to be running the deal.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
In this note, we take an early look at the IPO based on publicly avaiable information.


Zeekr IPO Early Look - Possibly US$0 to US$7bn Revenue in Under Three Years

<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29217:1" rel="noopener"> BABA/PDD/JD/ZTO/1519.HK/: Express parcel volume grew +20% YoY during first week of 11.11 Shopping (+) </a></li>
<li>BEKE: Property Update - Mild recovery for existing home sales in October and 1st week of November</li>
<li>XPEV: Xpeng, Huawei dispute over Autonomous Emergency Braking (AEB) (-)</li>
</ul>


 BABA/PDD/JD/ZTO/1519.HK/: Express parcel volume grew +20% YoY during first week of 11.11 Shopping (+) 
BEKE: Property Update - Mild recovery for existing home sales in October and 1st week of November
XPEV: Xpeng, Huawei dispute over Autonomous Emergency Braking (AEB) (-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]BABA/PDD/JD/ZTO/BEKE/XPEV/NIO/LI/BGNE

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> announced in-specie dividends of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> (US$15bn+) in 2021 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> (US$20bn) in 2022.</li>
<li>With the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> Board meeting on 15 November to approve Q3 results and considering the payment of a dividend, the pattern could repeat this year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> owns stakes of US$1bn+ in 10 listed companies. We take a look at the stocks that could be next in line to be paid as in-specie dividends.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) announced in-specie dividends of JD.com (9618 HK) (US$15bn+) in 2021 and Meituan (3690 HK) (US$20bn) in 2022.
With the Tencent (700 HK) Board meeting on 15 November to approve Q3 results and considering the payment of a dividend, the pattern could repeat this year.

Tencent (700 HK) owns stakes of US$1bn+ in 10 listed companies. We take a look at the stocks that could be next in line to be paid as in-specie dividends.


Tencent (700 HK): Board Meets Next Week; In-Specie Dividend Candidates

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>All major Chinese e-commerce companies set up live broadcasting channels on Bilibili at the beginning of Singles’ Day sales.</li>
<li>Kuaishou chairman’s resignation will not change the business strategy, as he stepped down from CEO two years ago.</li>
<li>Baidu begins to sell ChatGPT-like service for CNY49.90 per month.</li>
</ul>


All major Chinese e-commerce companies set up live broadcasting channels on Bilibili at the beginning of Singles’ Day sales.
Kuaishou chairman’s resignation will not change the business strategy, as he stepped down from CEO two years ago.
Baidu begins to sell ChatGPT-like service for CNY49.90 per month.


China Consumption Weekly (6 Nov 2023): Kuaishou, Bilibili, Midea, Baidu, Yum China

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]: BABA/JD/PDD/BILI/Tencent/700.HK/Kuaishou/1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA/ACMR

Parcel volume data for the Double 11 Festival is published, Douyu CEO Chen Shaojie has been missing for three weeks, and Meituan published AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Zeekr IPO Early Look - Possibly US$0 to US$7bn Revenue in Under Three Years

Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, publicly filed for a US IPO overnight. The company had earlier planned to raise over US$1bn.

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus Daily]BABA/PDD/JD/ZTO/BEKE/XPEV/NIO/LI/BGNE

Daily news including JD.com, Alibaba, PDD Holdings, ZTO Express Cayman, J&T Global Express, KE Holdings, XPeng, and Li Auto.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent (700 HK): Board Meets Next Week; In-Specie Dividend Candidates

Tencent could make it a hat-trick of special in-specie dividend distributions. After JD.com and Meituan, Kuaishou could be next. Or it could be...

Brian Freitas

China Consumption Weekly (6 Nov 2023): Kuaishou, Bilibili, Midea, Baidu, Yum China

All major Chinese e-commerce companies set up live broadcasting channels on Bilibili for Singles’ Day sales. Kuaishou chairman resigned. Baidu...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]: BABA/JD/PDD/BILI/Tencent/700.HK/Kuaishou/1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA/ACMR

​Parcel volume data for the Double 11 Festival is published, Douyu CEO Chen Shaojie has been missing for three weeks, and Meituan published AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Zeekr IPO Early Look - Possibly US$0 to US$7bn Revenue in Under Three Years

Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, publicly filed for a US IPO overnight. The company had earlier planned to raise over US$1bn.

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus Daily]BABA/PDD/JD/ZTO/BEKE/XPEV/NIO/LI/BGNE

Daily news including JD.com, Alibaba, PDD Holdings, ZTO Express Cayman, J&T Global Express, KE Holdings, XPeng, and Li Auto.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent (700 HK): Board Meets Next Week; In-Specie Dividend Candidates

Tencent could make it a hat-trick of special in-specie dividend distributions. After JD.com and Meituan, Kuaishou could be next. Or it could be...

Brian Freitas

China Consumption Weekly (6 Nov 2023): Kuaishou, Bilibili, Midea, Baidu, Yum China

All major Chinese e-commerce companies set up live broadcasting channels on Bilibili for Singles’ Day sales. Kuaishou chairman resigned. Baidu...

Ming Lu

Parcel volume data for the Double 11 Festival is published, Douyu CEO Chen Shaojie has been missing for three weeks, and Meituan published AI...