Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
Caixin Explains: Washington’s drive to hobble Chinese chipmaking
</li>
<li>
Communist Party’s 20th National Congress to kick off on Oct. 16
</li>
<li>
Shenzhen schools delay fall term as city braces for fresh Covid outbreak
</li>
</ul>



Caixin Explains: Washington’s drive to hobble Chinese chipmaking


Communist Party’s 20th National Congress to kick off on Oct. 16


Shenzhen schools delay fall term as city braces for fresh Covid outbreak



CX Daily: Washington’s Drive to Hobble Chinese Chipmaking

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinduoduo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">Pinduoduo (PDD US)</a>’s 2Q22 was rather strong with revenue of RMB 31.4bn (consensus: RMB 23.6bn) and OP of RMB 8.7bn (consensus: RMB 3.6bn).</li>
<li>However, the management was quick to dismiss the pretence that piduoduo would be able to maintain these elevated growth/margin numbers throughout the rest of the year and over the medium-term.</li>
<li>This creates a lot of downside to consensus 2H22 and medium-term revenue and OP estimates in a time when valuation multiples have expanded over 70% from the March 2022 bottom.</li>
</ul>



Pinduoduo (PDD US)’s 2Q22 was rather strong with revenue of RMB 31.4bn (consensus: RMB 23.6bn) and OP of RMB 8.7bn (consensus: RMB 3.6bn).
However, the management was quick to dismiss the pretence that piduoduo would be able to maintain these elevated growth/margin numbers throughout the rest of the year and over the medium-term.
This creates a lot of downside to consensus 2H22 and medium-term revenue and OP estimates in a time when valuation multiples have expanded over 70% from the March 2022 bottom.


Pinduoduo: Management Warns That 2Q22 Is Not a Good Benchmark For Future

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 2Q22, revenue growth rate accelerated and the operating profit achieved record high.</li>
<li>However, we believe PDD does not fully explain its exclusive advantages over competitors.</li>
<li>We set a downside of 19% and a price target of US$47 for year end 2023.</li>
</ul>


In 2Q22, revenue growth rate accelerated and the operating profit achieved record high.
However, we believe PDD does not fully explain its exclusive advantages over competitors.
We set a downside of 19% and a price target of US$47 for year end 2023.


Pinduoduo (PDD): 2Q22, Viewpoint Opposite to Marvelous Performance

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 26th Aug 2022, PCAOB and CSRC announced that they had entered into an agreement granting US authorities access to investigate public accounting firms headquartered in China and HK.</li>
<li>On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.</li>
</ul>


On 26th Aug 2022, PCAOB and CSRC announced that they had entered into an agreement granting US authorities access to investigate public accounting firms headquartered in China and HK.
On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning - Non-HK Listed ADRs Are Already Outperforming

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

Screening for GEMs: September 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

CX Daily: Washington’s Drive to Hobble Chinese Chipmaking

Caixin Explains: Washington’s drive to hobble Chinese chipmaking. Communist Party’s 20th National Congress to kick off on Oct. 16

Caixin Global

Pinduoduo: Management Warns That 2Q22 Is Not a Good Benchmark For Future

The management was quick to dismiss the pretence that Pinduoduo would be able to maintain these elevated growth and margin numbers throughout the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Pinduoduo (PDD): 2Q22, Viewpoint Opposite to Marvelous Performance

In 2Q22, revenue growth rate accelerated and operating profit achieved record high. However, we believe PDD does not fully explain its exclusive...

Ming Lu

China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning - Non-HK Listed ADRs Are Already Outperforming

On 26th Aug 2022, PCAOB and CSRC announced that they had entered into an agreement granting US authorities access to investigate public accounting...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)