HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Excluding COVID-19 projects, some of WuXi AppTec’s conventional CXO business growth rate has declined significantly. So, the fading of COVID-19 dividend period is not the only reason for the performance decline.</li>
<li>The supply-side reform of innovative drugs is further deepened, and the effect of industry clearing is obvious. So, the “winner-takes-all” logic will be gradually deduced in the future.</li>
<li>WuXi AppTec’s controlling shareholders seem to “have foreseen something”- They could continue to reduce holdings on rallies in the future. Together with longer-than-expected industry winter, valuation center could further decline.</li>
</ul>


Excluding COVID-19 projects, some of WuXi AppTec’s conventional CXO business growth rate has declined significantly. So, the fading of COVID-19 dividend period is not the only reason for the performance decline.
The supply-side reform of innovative drugs is further deepened, and the effect of industry clearing is obvious. So, the “winner-takes-all” logic will be gradually deduced in the future.
WuXi AppTec’s controlling shareholders seem to “have foreseen something”- They could continue to reduce holdings on rallies in the future. Together with longer-than-expected industry winter, valuation center could further decline.


WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) 2023Q1 - The Signals Behind the Plunge in Stock Price

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting C / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tigermed's revenue growth in 2021/2022 would have been pessimistic if it were not for the large COVID-19 orders, which makes us worried about the Company's future growth in post-COVID era.</li>
<li>Profit margin could further decline due to increasing labor cost. Highly volatile financial profit would lead to more ugly profit performance. Higher domestic revenue proportion would limit future growth space.</li>
<li>The year 2022 marked a turning point in Tigermed's performance. Its subsequent growth shows a downward trend.We think its valuation should be lower than WuXi AppTec, with more downside ahead. </li>
</ul>


Tigermed's revenue growth in 2021/2022 would have been pessimistic if it were not for the large COVID-19 orders, which makes us worried about the Company's future growth in post-COVID era.
Profit margin could further decline due to increasing labor cost. Highly volatile financial profit would lead to more ugly profit performance. Higher domestic revenue proportion would limit future growth space.
The year 2022 marked a turning point in Tigermed's performance. Its subsequent growth shows a downward trend.We think its valuation should be lower than WuXi AppTec, with more downside ahead. 


Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (3347HK)-Turning Point Emerge, Followed by Sharp Decline in Performance

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 110.7% as of Apr 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.8ppt week on week, led by communication services, real estate, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Postal Savings Bank, China Rail, CRRC, China Coal, GWM, Everbright Sec, CSC Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 110.7% as of Apr 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.8ppt week on week, led by communication services, real estate, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Postal Savings Bank, China Rail, CRRC, China Coal, GWM, Everbright Sec, CSC Financial.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 21st): Postal Savings Bank, China Rail, CRRC, China Coal, GWM

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$770.1 million, led by materials, industrials, utilities sectors, and offset by financials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$770.1 million, led by materials, industrials, utilities sectors, and offset by financials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.


Northbound Flows (Apr 14th): Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June 2023 index review results for the Hang Seng index can be expected after the close on 12th May 2023.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-for-hang-seng-index-mar-23-healthcare-names-could-dominate" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:94998" rel="noopener">Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate</a>, we expected some healthcare names to be added but there were no index changes in March 2023. </li>
<li>Although the index methodology is highly subjective and predicting index changes is extremely tricky, the HSI is an important index in the region and here are our thoughts for June. </li>
</ul>


The June 2023 index review results for the Hang Seng index can be expected after the close on 12th May 2023.
In Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate, we expected some healthcare names to be added but there were no index changes in March 2023. 
Although the index methodology is highly subjective and predicting index changes is extremely tricky, the HSI is an important index in the region and here are our thoughts for June. 


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 23: Beigene Looks Interesting

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

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WuXi AppTec (603259 CH)

WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) 2023Q1 - The Signals Behind the Plunge in Stock Price

The signal behind WuXi AppTec's plunge in share price isn't just performance decline, but more of a gloomy outlook. The selling of shares by...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (3347HK)-Turning Point Emerge, Followed by Sharp Decline in Performance

2022 is a turning point for Tigermed's performance.Without COVID-19 orders,revenue growth will decline sharply.Together with volatile profit from...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 21st): Postal Savings Bank, China Rail, CRRC, China Coal, GWM

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Postal Savings Bank, China Rail, CRRC, China Coal, GWM,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 14th): Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 23: Beigene Looks Interesting

I have presented 24 Names from Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, Properties, Utilities, and Conglomerates as high-likelihood names. Quiddity's...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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