Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>iQIYI, an innovative market-leading online entertainment service provider in China, delivered robust first-quarter 2024 results, achieving numerous record highs, such as non-GAAP operating income and its corresponding margin.</li><li>CEO, Mr. Yu Gong, shared that the expanding margin could be attributed to the high-quality growth of the company.</li><li>The Membership Services business continued its growth trajectory with monthly ARM observed an all-time high.</li></ul>

iQIYI, an innovative market-leading online entertainment service provider in China, delivered robust first-quarter 2024 results, achieving numerous record highs, such as non-GAAP operating income and its corresponding margin.CEO, Mr. Yu Gong, shared that the expanding margin could be attributed to the high-quality growth of the company.The Membership Services business continued its growth trajectory with monthly ARM observed an all-time high.

iQIYI Inc.: Initiation of Coverage - How Are They Leveraging Generative AI capabilities? - Major Drivers

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With consumption in the doldrums, one would expect none growing at double digits. This is actually not the case; </li>
<li>Further, how many Chinese Growth Equity names are accelerating in growth in the second half? Quite a lot;</li>
<li>We reiterate our view that Chinese Internet names are took-all winners with strong pricing power, which are showing when they need to. The weak market sentiment is self-fulfilling.</li>
</ul>


With consumption in the doldrums, one would expect none growing at double digits. This is actually not the case; 
Further, how many Chinese Growth Equity names are accelerating in growth in the second half? Quite a lot;
We reiterate our view that Chinese Internet names are took-all winners with strong pricing power, which are showing when they need to. The weak market sentiment is self-fulfilling.


How Many Chinese Growth Equity Names Are Growing at Double Digits?

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Though Sentiment Fragile for Both.</li>
<li>Energy sector shows signs of a turnaround from long-term decline, whilst Financials remain unloved by China investors.</li>
<li>Real Estate allocations have hit record lows, with average holdings at just 2.93%, while Consumer Discretionary sector approaches all-time highs.</li>
</ul>


Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Though Sentiment Fragile for Both.
Energy sector shows signs of a turnaround from long-term decline, whilst Financials remain unloved by China investors.
Real Estate allocations have hit record lows, with average holdings at just 2.93%, while Consumer Discretionary sector approaches all-time highs.


Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>BILIBILI shares have rallied more than 200% since early November on prospects of China exiting zero-COVID, short covering, and accelerated breakeven timeline.</li>
<li>Yet simply achieving breakeven doesn’t justify its US$10 billion valuation. It has to be accompanied by decent profitable growth - an unlikely scenario given the aggressive downsizing needed for breakeven.</li>
<li>BILI’s businesses also entail structurally low margin. Stock could easily de-rate by 30% or more when growth euphoria recedes and disappointed profitability checks in during 2023.</li>
</ul>


BILIBILI shares have rallied more than 200% since early November on prospects of China exiting zero-COVID, short covering, and accelerated breakeven timeline.
Yet simply achieving breakeven doesn’t justify its US$10 billion valuation. It has to be accompanied by decent profitable growth - an unlikely scenario given the aggressive downsizing needed for breakeven.
BILI’s businesses also entail structurally low margin. Stock could easily de-rate by 30% or more when growth euphoria recedes and disappointed profitability checks in during 2023.


BILIBILI (BILI US): Can Achieving Breakeven Justify US$10bn Market Cap?

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

<ul>
<li>Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; </li>
<li>Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);</li>
<li>We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. </li>
</ul>


Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; 
Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);
We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. 


Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

China

iQIYI, Inc. offers video entertainment services. The Company provides movies, television dramas, variety shows, and other video contents. iQIYI offers services worldwide.

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iQIYI Inc (IQ US)

iQIYI Inc.: Initiation of Coverage - How Are They Leveraging Generative AI capabilities? - Major Drivers

iQIYI, an innovative market-leading online entertainment service provider in China, delivered robust first-quarter 2024 results, achieving...

Baptista Research

How Many Chinese Growth Equity Names Are Growing at Double Digits?

More Chinese growth equity names growing at double digit than single and more are accelerating in growth in C2H24. Pessimism can turn into self...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Macro: Sector Positioning Update

Sector positioning among active China Funds. Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Energy shows signs of a turnaround, whilst...

Steven Holden

BILIBILI (BILI US): Can Achieving Breakeven Justify US$10bn Market Cap?

Simply achieving breakeven can't justify BILI's US$10bn market cap. Expect the company to be a leaner, profitable company yet without bright...

Eric Chen

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

iQIYI Inc.: Initiation of Coverage - How Are They Leveraging Generative AI capabilities? - Major Drivers

iQIYI, an innovative market-leading online entertainment service provider in China, delivered robust first-quarter 2024 results, achieving...

Baptista Research

How Many Chinese Growth Equity Names Are Growing at Double Digits?

More Chinese growth equity names growing at double digit than single and more are accelerating in growth in C2H24. Pessimism can turn into self...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Macro: Sector Positioning Update

Sector positioning among active China Funds. Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Energy shows signs of a turnaround, whilst...

Steven Holden

BILIBILI (BILI US): Can Achieving Breakeven Justify US$10bn Market Cap?

Simply achieving breakeven can't justify BILI's US$10bn market cap. Expect the company to be a leaner, profitable company yet without bright...

Eric Chen

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

​C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...