Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<p>In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine.</p><p>Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In a Hong Kong exchange report released in July 2019, the exchange highlighted that flows from mainland China accounted for 12% of the total trading volume in the market and is ahead of the US investors' 10% and UK investors' 7% share respectively. </p><p>We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.</p><p>In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Tencent Holdings Limited (700 HK), as well as outflows from Meituan (3690 HK), and Smoore International Holdings Limited (6969 HK).</p>

In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine.Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In a Hong Kong exchange report released in July 2019, the exchange highlighted that flows from mainland China accounted for 12% of the total trading volume in the market and is ahead of the US investors' 10% and UK investors' 7% share respectively. We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Tencent Holdings Limited (700 HK), as well as outflows from Meituan (3690 HK), and Smoore International Holdings Limited (6969 HK).

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent/Meituan Flow Divergence

<p>Hong Kong SFC reported aggregate short position as of Mar 19. The aggregate short value for equities decreased by $-620m (-0.9%) WoW and decreased by $7,371m (-9.6%) over the preceding four weeks.</p><p>Most shorted stocks by aggregate short value of positions are Ping An Insurance (Group) Company Of China, Ltd./2318 HK($8,739m, -2.9% WoW), Tencent Holdings Limited/700 HK($2,413m, -27.1% WoW), Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited/881 HK($1,621m, +8.9% WoW), Byd Company Limited/1211 HK($1,513m, +1.1% WoW), Kuaishou-W/1024 HK($1,120m, +7.9% WoW).</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/197/505/original/Hong_Kong_Market_Short_Position_Value_%28line%29_and_1W_Changes_%28bar%29_%28%24m%292021-03-28+11_05_48.png?1616903345" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="197505"></figure></section>

Hong Kong SFC reported aggregate short position as of Mar 19. The aggregate short value for equities decreased by $-620m (-0.9%) WoW and decreased by $7,371m (-9.6%) over the preceding four weeks.Most shorted stocks by aggregate short value of positions are Ping An Insurance (Group) Company Of China, Ltd./2318 HK($8,739m, -2.9% WoW), Tencent Holdings Limited/700 HK($2,413m, -27.1% WoW), Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited/881 HK($1,621m, +8.9% WoW), Byd Company Limited/1211 HK($1,513m, +1.1% WoW), Kuaishou-W/1024 HK($1,120m, +7.9% WoW).

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>Chinese equities plunged, because a Chinese equity holder had to meet a margin call.</li>
<li>Alibaba's Taobao Deals is planning a store on Tencent's WeChat.</li>
<li>Xiaomi's Internet of Things is facing an industry stagnance.</li>
<li>Huay improved both growth and margin, but still cannot acquire Douyu.</li>
</ul>
<p>Our main coverage on overseas listed Chinese equities: Alibaba (9988 HK), Bilibili (BILI US), JD.com (9618 HK), KE (BEKE US), Kuaishou (1024), Meituan (3690 HK), NetEase (9999 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</p>


Chinese equities plunged, because a Chinese equity holder had to meet a margin call.
Alibaba's Taobao Deals is planning a store on Tencent's WeChat.
Xiaomi's Internet of Things is facing an industry stagnance.
Huay improved both growth and margin, but still cannot acquire Douyu.

Our main coverage on overseas listed Chinese equities: Alibaba (9988 HK), Bilibili (BILI US), JD.com (9618 HK), KE (BEKE US), Kuaishou (1024), Meituan (3690 HK), NetEase (9999 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).

China Internet Weekly (Mar 29): Margin Call Punched Chinese Equities, Alibaba Plans Store on Tencent

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

<p><em><strong>*4Q20 Results In Line:</strong></em>Tencent Holdings’ (700.HK) [Tencent] 4Q20 results were basically in line with consensus, with total revenues coming in at CNY 133.7 bn, increasing 7% linked quarter.  Non-GAAP operating profit amounted to CNY 38.1bn, flattish on a linked quarter basis; and </p><p><em><strong>*Elephant In The Room: </strong></em>According to Bloomberg, Tencent likely will be required to create a financial holding company for all of its banking, insurance, and payment services businesses – and be regulated along the lines of the banking sector. For Tencent, WeChat Pay and the broader lending/deposit taking business are likely to be reined-in. </p>

*4Q20 Results In Line:Tencent Holdings’ (700.HK) [Tencent] 4Q20 results were basically in line with consensus, with total revenues coming in at CNY 133.7 bn, increasing 7% linked quarter.  Non-GAAP operating profit amounted to CNY 38.1bn, flattish on a linked quarter basis; and *Elephant In The Room: According to Bloomberg, Tencent likely will be required to create a financial holding company for all of its banking, insurance, and payment services businesses – and be regulated along the lines of the banking sector. For Tencent, WeChat Pay and the broader lending/deposit taking business are likely to be reined-in. 

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>Bilibili raised around US$3bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. </p></div><div>
<p>We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier notes:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-secondary-listing-early-look-will-probably-be-more-like-jd-and-netease" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - Will Probably Be More like JD and NetEase,</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-secondary-listing-early-look-4q20-results-quick-note" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - 4Q20 Results Quick Note and</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-secondary-listing-volatile-but-should-be-hot" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bilibili Secondary Listing - Volatile but Should Be Hot</a></li>
</ul>
</div><div><p>In this note, we'll talk about the updates since then.</p></div>

Bilibili raised around US$3bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. 
We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier notes:

Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - Will Probably Be More like JD and NetEase,
Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - 4Q20 Results Quick Note and
Bilibili Secondary Listing - Volatile but Should Be Hot

In this note, we'll talk about the updates since then.

Bilibili Secondary Trading - Hot Demand, Baba Takes Another Bite, but Still Set for a Weak Listing

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent/Meituan Flow Divergence

We highlight inflows into Tencent Holdings Limited (700 HK), as well as outflows from Meituan (3690 HK), and Smoore International Holdings Limited...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest: Xiaomi Short Cover

Hong Kong SFC reported aggregate short position as of Mar 19. We highlight that the short interests (measured by shares) of Tencent was 24.5%...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Internet Weekly (Mar 29): Margin Call Punched Chinese Equities, Alibaba Plans Store on Tencent

Chinese equities plunged, because a Chinese equity holder had to meet a margin call.Alibaba's Taotao Deals is planning a store on Tencent's WeChat.

Ming Lu

Tencent Holdings – Living By The Sword

TENCENT HOLDINGS: Tencent 4Q20 results were basically in line with consensus, increasing 7% linked quarter. Tencent will be required to create a...

Thomas J. Monaco

Bilibili Secondary Trading - Hot Demand, Baba Takes Another Bite, but Still Set for a Weak Listing

Bilibili raised around US$3bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we'll talk about the updates since our previous note.

Sumeet Singh

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