Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index Committee its slow move (lack of movement) towards 100 names and sector rebalancing to tech and healthcare. This is really disappointing.</li>
<li>This time? We get nothing. No name changes. Some capping flows. 6 FAF changes. </li>
<li>Minimal flows on the HSI rebalance to be effective on 9 September. </li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index Committee its slow move (lack of movement) towards 100 names and sector rebalancing to tech and healthcare. This is really disappointing.
This time? We get nothing. No name changes. Some capping flows. 6 FAF changes. 
Minimal flows on the HSI rebalance to be effective on 9 September. 


Hang Seng Index Sep24 Rebal - No Name Changes, Some Capping, 1% One-Way Flow - Total 0️⃣🍔

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tencent reported C2Q24 revenue, IFRS operating profit, and IFRS net income in-line, in-line, 10% vs. our estimates and in-line, in-line, 19% vs. consensus;</li>
<li>Weak fintech revenue, due to weak consumption, dragged down overall growth. But we see structural revenue acceleration and margin leverages in advertising, game and AI;</li>
<li>We raise TP to HK$485 and keep Tencent as our TOP PICK.</li>
</ul>


Tencent reported C2Q24 revenue, IFRS operating profit, and IFRS net income in-line, in-line, 10% vs. our estimates and in-line, in-line, 19% vs. consensus;
Weak fintech revenue, due to weak consumption, dragged down overall growth. But we see structural revenue acceleration and margin leverages in advertising, game and AI;
We raise TP to HK$485 and keep Tencent as our TOP PICK.


[Tencent (700 HK, BUY, TP HK$485) TP Change]: Revenue Acceleration and Margin Leverages to Come

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$16.6bn this week (now 28wks in a row of net buying), on VERY LOW two-way volumes. </li>
<li>Gross volumes were very low. Net volumes were decent. There were three ETFs in the top 5 SOUTHBOUND net buys this past week suggesting position unwinding.</li>
<li>Top net buys other than the ETFs were China Mobile and Tencent (now 14 out of 15 days seeing net SOUTHBOUND buying)</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$16.6bn this week (now 28wks in a row of net buying), on VERY LOW two-way volumes. 
Gross volumes were very low. Net volumes were decent. There were three ETFs in the top 5 SOUTHBOUND net buys this past week suggesting position unwinding.
Top net buys other than the ETFs were China Mobile and Tencent (now 14 out of 15 days seeing net SOUTHBOUND buying)


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 16 Aug 2024); Big Net Buying On "Tiny" Overall Volume, ETFs Big

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> reported 2Q2024 results today which beat consensus. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by the successful launch of DnF Mobile which continues to dominate charts in China.</li>
<li>All three business segments saw improvement in margins driven by Tencent's high-margin businesses incl. mini-programs, video accounts, short-videos, etc.</li>
<li>We expect continued recovery in Tencent’s earnings, however, remain cautious given slowdown in consumption spending and macroeconomic uncertainties.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) reported 2Q2024 results today which beat consensus. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by the successful launch of DnF Mobile which continues to dominate charts in China.
All three business segments saw improvement in margins driven by Tencent's high-margin businesses incl. mini-programs, video accounts, short-videos, etc.
We expect continued recovery in Tencent’s earnings, however, remain cautious given slowdown in consumption spending and macroeconomic uncertainties.


Tencent 2Q: Recent Launch of DnF Mobile Helps Domestic Gaming Return to Growth

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Total revenue increased by 8% YoY in 2Q24, lightly higher than 1Q24 and 4Q23.</li>
<li>The gross margins of all business lines Improved significantly YoY.</li>
<li>We set the upside at 35% and the price target at HK$506 for the end of 2025. Buy.</li>
</ul>


Total revenue increased by 8% YoY in 2Q24, lightly higher than 1Q24 and 4Q23.
The gross margins of all business lines Improved significantly YoY.
We set the upside at 35% and the price target at HK$506 for the end of 2025. Buy.


Tencent (700 HK): 2Q24, Gross Margins of All Business Lines Improved Significantly

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Hang Seng Index Sep24 Rebal - No Name Changes, Some Capping, 1% One-Way Flow - Total 0️⃣🍔

The HSI committee promised changes to rebalance towards better sector representation and a move to 100 names. That was a couple years ago. Progress...

Travis Lundy

[Tencent (700 HK, BUY, TP HK$485) TP Change]: Revenue Acceleration and Margin Leverages to Come

Tencent's Q2 revenue and profit met expectations, with weak fintech revenue offset by growth in advertising, gaming, and AI. Analysts raise target...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 16 Aug 2024); Big Net Buying On "Tiny" Overall Volume, ETFs Big

SOUTHBOUND volumes this past week were very low overall, but there was decent net buying aided by BIG buying of ETFs and large caps and very little...

Travis Lundy

Tencent 2Q: Recent Launch of DnF Mobile Helps Domestic Gaming Return to Growth

Tencent's 2Q2024 results beats consensus, driven by growth in domestic gaming and high-margin businesses. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 2Q24, Gross Margins of All Business Lines Improved Significantly

Total revenue increased by 8% YoY in 2Q24, lightly higher than 1Q24 and 4Q23. The gross margins of all business lines Improved significantly YoY.

Ming Lu

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Hang Seng Index Sep24 Rebal - No Name Changes, Some Capping, 1% One-Way Flow - Total 0️⃣🍔

The HSI committee promised changes to rebalance towards better sector representation and a move to 100 names. That was a couple years ago. Progress...

Travis Lundy

[Tencent (700 HK, BUY, TP HK$485) TP Change]: Revenue Acceleration and Margin Leverages to Come

​Tencent's Q2 revenue and profit met expectations, with weak fintech revenue offset by growth in advertising, gaming, and AI. Analysts raise target...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 16 Aug 2024); Big Net Buying On "Tiny" Overall Volume, ETFs Big

SOUTHBOUND volumes this past week were very low overall, but there was decent net buying aided by BIG buying of ETFs and large caps and very little...

Travis Lundy

Tencent 2Q: Recent Launch of DnF Mobile Helps Domestic Gaming Return to Growth

​Tencent's 2Q2024 results beats consensus, driven by growth in domestic gaming and high-margin businesses. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 2Q24, Gross Margins of All Business Lines Improved Significantly

Total revenue increased by 8% YoY in 2Q24, lightly higher than 1Q24 and 4Q23. The gross margins of all business lines Improved significantly YoY.

Ming Lu

Tencent's Q2 revenue and profit met expectations, with weak fintech revenue offset by growth in advertising, gaming, and AI. Analysts raise target...

Tencent's 2Q2024 results beats consensus, driven by growth in domestic gaming and high-margin businesses. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by...