Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Tencent bear/short call from 395 remains valid with risk we pierce the 310-320 support. Bear triangulation stands out as the key bear driver.</li>
<li>Flat/Triangulation in price and the RSI rising wedge is a set up for a major new chart low.</li>
<li>This wave 4 triangle will be followed by a hard wave 5 decline into a terminal low this summer.</li>
</ul>


Tencent bear/short call from 395 remains valid with risk we pierce the 310-320 support. Bear triangulation stands out as the key bear driver.
Flat/Triangulation in price and the RSI rising wedge is a set up for a major new chart low.
This wave 4 triangle will be followed by a hard wave 5 decline into a terminal low this summer.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>It focuses on the mid- to high-end segment in China’s NEV market with a price range of RMB150,000-300,000. As of end FY21, it had delivered a total of 52,832 cars.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
It focuses on the mid- to high-end segment in China’s NEV market with a price range of RMB150,000-300,000. As of end FY21, it had delivered a total of 52,832 cars.
In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Leapmotor Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Related Party Sanctions, Lags Peers

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> reported 1Q2022 results today. Revenue grew 0.1% YoY to RMB135.5bn (vs consensus RMB140.7bn) while reported OP decreased 34% YoY to RMB37.2bn (vs consensus RMB37.3bn).</li>
<li>Adjusted OP was down 36% YoY to RMB22.3bn while adjusted OPM declined to 39.2% from 56.1% in the same period a year ago.</li>
<li>Tencent’s 1Q2022 revenues were below our estimates of RMB144.3bn which was mainly due to significant drop in Fintech and business services revenues.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) reported 1Q2022 results today. Revenue grew 0.1% YoY to RMB135.5bn (vs consensus RMB140.7bn) while reported OP decreased 34% YoY to RMB37.2bn (vs consensus RMB37.3bn).
Adjusted OP was down 36% YoY to RMB22.3bn while adjusted OPM declined to 39.2% from 56.1% in the same period a year ago.
Tencent’s 1Q2022 revenues were below our estimates of RMB144.3bn which was mainly due to significant drop in Fintech and business services revenues.


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>Authorities encourage platform economy and restarted approving the licenses for new games.</li>
<li>Fintech just met a high comparison base in 1Q21 and we believe the growth rate will rise.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 39% for the year end 2022.</li>
</ul>


Authorities encourage platform economy and restarted approving the licenses for new games.
Fintech just met a high comparison base in 1Q21 and we believe the growth rate will rise.
We believe the stock has an upside of 39% for the year end 2022.


Tencent (700 HK): 1Q22, Zero Growth, But Will Recover for New Policies, Upgrade to Buy

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> released a solid set of 1Q2022 results, with very strong YoY growth in e-commerce GAAP revenues, and a predictable softening of gaming revenues given greater mobility in 1Q2022. </li>
<li>A key highlight was improving profitability with the adjusted EBITDA loss per order falling 70% in South-East Asia and Taiwan. Management also signalled that gaming revenues started stabilising end 1Q2022.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> saw a strong rally post these results given guidance was maintained albeit with a wider range. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> is now trading at a discount to peers.</li>
</ul>



Sea Ltd released a solid set of 1Q2022 results, with very strong YoY growth in e-commerce GAAP revenues, and a predictable softening of gaming revenues given greater mobility in 1Q2022. 
A key highlight was improving profitability with the adjusted EBITDA loss per order falling 70% in South-East Asia and Taiwan. Management also signalled that gaming revenues started stabilising end 1Q2022.

Sea Ltd (SE US) saw a strong rally post these results given guidance was maintained albeit with a wider range. Sea Ltd is now trading at a discount to peers.


Sea Ltd (SE US) - Reading the Positive Signals

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent Short Poses Risk of 320 Break

Tencent bear/short call from 395 remains valid with risk we pierce the 310-320 support. Bear triangulation stands out as the key bear driver.

Thomas Schroeder

Tencent 1Q2022– Weaker than Expected

Revenue and OP missed consensus, revenue was flat YoY. Internet VAS and Online advertising expected to be weak but fintech revenues were impacted...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q22, Zero Growth, But Will Recover for New Policies, Upgrade to Buy

Authorities encourage platform economy and restarted approve new games. Fintech just met a high comparison base in 1Q21 and we believe the growth...

Ming Lu

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Reading the Positive Signals

Sea Ltd saw a strong rally post results given guidance was maintained albeit with a wider range, and it is trading at a discount to peers, despite...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent Short Poses Risk of 320 Break

Tencent bear/short call from 395 remains valid with risk we pierce the 310-320 support. Bear triangulation stands out as the key bear driver.

Thomas Schroeder

Leapmotor Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Related Party Sanctions, Lags Peers

Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Tencent 1Q2022– Weaker than Expected

Revenue and OP missed consensus, revenue was flat YoY. Internet VAS and Online advertising expected to be weak but fintech revenues were impacted...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q22, Zero Growth, But Will Recover for New Policies, Upgrade to Buy

Authorities encourage platform economy and restarted approve new games. Fintech just met a high comparison base in 1Q21 and we believe the growth...

Ming Lu

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Reading the Positive Signals

Sea Ltd saw a strong rally post results given guidance was maintained albeit with a wider range, and it is trading at a discount to peers, despite...

Angus Mackintosh