Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The market pivoted late last week from there will be no PBOC rates cut to there being much more Monetary Policy support needed.</li><li>The pivot was the sharp slowdown in Aggregate Financing, Industrial Production, Real estate, and Retail Sales. All it took was a 10-bps cut in one-year MLF.</li><li>Meanwhile, Hong Kong saw HIBOR continue to rise even with currency strength.</li></ul>

The market pivoted late last week from there will be no PBOC rates cut to there being much more Monetary Policy support needed.The pivot was the sharp slowdown in Aggregate Financing, Industrial Production, Real estate, and Retail Sales. All it took was a 10-bps cut in one-year MLF.Meanwhile, Hong Kong saw HIBOR continue to rise even with currency strength.

HSI Index, HSITECH Index, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and China Unicom

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> results were impressive on a number of levels, with profitability in its core e-commerce business improving considerably in core markets of South-East Asia and Taiwan a key positive. </li>
<li>The decline in digital entertainment revenue was expected, with the stabilisation of quarterly active users a sign of some plateauing after recent declines but rankings continue to remain solid. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> suspended revenue guidance but continued to stress confidence in the growth outlook, whilst keenly focusing on improving efficiencies and profitability. This underpins our positive long-term view.</li>
</ul>



Sea Ltd results were impressive on a number of levels, with profitability in its core e-commerce business improving considerably in core markets of South-East Asia and Taiwan a key positive. 
The decline in digital entertainment revenue was expected, with the stabilisation of quarterly active users a sign of some plateauing after recent declines but rankings continue to remain solid. 

Sea Ltd suspended revenue guidance but continued to stress confidence in the growth outlook, whilst keenly focusing on improving efficiencies and profitability. This underpins our positive long-term view.


Sea Ltd (SE US) - Turning Tides Present a Different Wave

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Drug / State drugmaker snared over scheme to rip off government</li><li>Housing / China offers multiple-child families housing help as demographic crisis looms</li><li>Economy / China’s Li urges more pro-growth policy as economy sputters</li></ul>

Drug / State drugmaker snared over scheme to rip off governmentHousing / China offers multiple-child families housing help as demographic crisis loomsEconomy / China’s Li urges more pro-growth policy as economy sputters

CX Daily: State Drugmaker Snared Over Scheme to Rip Off Government

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>  reported 2Q2022 results today. Revenue increased 3.1% YoY to RMB134.0bn (vs consensus RMB134.6bn) while reported OP for the quarter decreased 42.7% YoY to RMB30.bn (vs consensus RMB36.3bn).</li>
<li>Excluding interest income and gains, adjusted OP decreased 21.2% YoY to RMB23.7bn driven by drop in GPM across all three business segments.</li>
<li>Tencent also mentioned that news article regarding a possible stake sale of Meituan is inaccurate.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK)  reported 2Q2022 results today. Revenue increased 3.1% YoY to RMB134.0bn (vs consensus RMB134.6bn) while reported OP for the quarter decreased 42.7% YoY to RMB30.bn (vs consensus RMB36.3bn).
Excluding interest income and gains, adjusted OP decreased 21.2% YoY to RMB23.7bn driven by drop in GPM across all three business segments.
Tencent also mentioned that news article regarding a possible stake sale of Meituan is inaccurate.


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 2Q22, revenue decreased YoY for the first time on record.</li>
<li>Unexpectedly, FinTech revenue stopped growing in 2Q22, as users are conservative in borrowing and investing money.</li>
<li>However, we still believe Tencent’s stock price is overly impacted.</li>
</ul>


In 2Q22, revenue decreased YoY for the first time on record.
Unexpectedly, FinTech revenue stopped growing in 2Q22, as users are conservative in borrowing and investing money.
However, we still believe Tencent’s stock price is overly impacted.


Tencent (700 HK): Revenue Decreased for First Time, Margin Recovering, Price Overly Impacted

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tencent (700 HK)

HSI Index, HSITECH Index, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and China Unicom

The market pivoted late last week from there will be no PBOC rates cut to there being much more Monetary Policy support needed.

Untying The Gordian Knot

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Turning Tides Present a Different Wave

Sea Ltd's 2Q2022 results were impressive on a number of levels, with profitability in its core e-commerce business improving considerably in core...

Angus Mackintosh

CX Daily: State Drugmaker Snared Over Scheme to Rip Off Government

State drugmaker snared over scheme to rip off government. China offers multiple-child families housing help as demographic crisis looms

Caixin Global

Tencent 2Q: Earnings Weaken Further

2Q2022 earnings fell below consensus as all three segments faced declines. Fintech growth was less than 1% due to Covid where previous outbreak in...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): Revenue Decreased for First Time, Margin Recovering, Price Overly Impacted

In 2Q22, revenue decreased YoY for the first time on record. Unexpectedly, FinTech revenue stopped growing in 2Q22. However, the operating margin...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)