Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Just days after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> surpassed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> as the world’s largest electric vehicle producer by sales, is Warren Buffet cashing in his chips?</li>
<li>225mn shares of BYD  - 7.73% of the H shares - moved into CCASS yesterday. These are Berkshire Hathaway's shares. </li>
<li>For a shareholder who has kept his holding in share certificates for 13 years, this development suggests the possibility of a partial or full exit. </li>
</ul>


Just days after BYD (1211 HK) surpassed Tesla Motors (TSLA US) as the world’s largest electric vehicle producer by sales, is Warren Buffet cashing in his chips?
225mn shares of BYD  - 7.73% of the H shares - moved into CCASS yesterday. These are Berkshire Hathaway's shares. 
For a shareholder who has kept his holding in share certificates for 13 years, this development suggests the possibility of a partial or full exit. 


Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK:In the 46th week of 2024, market demand is booming and new brands gain market share.(///////////////)</li>
<li>XPEV US: Xpeng's vehicle revenue and gross profit margin exceeded expectations in the third quarter, but service revenue was lower than expected, resulting in lower-than-expected profits.(/)</li>
<li>LKNCY US: Luckin Signs Memorandum for Brazilian Coffee Bean Purchases.(+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK:In the 46th week of 2024, market demand is booming and new brands gain market share.(///////////////)
XPEV US: Xpeng's vehicle revenue and gross profit margin exceeded expectations in the third quarter, but service revenue was lower than expected, resulting in lower-than-expected profits.(/)
LKNCY US: Luckin Signs Memorandum for Brazilian Coffee Bean Purchases.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Although BYD’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB 4.6bn missed our prior forecast on a massive R&amp;D spending of RMB10.6bn, we believe the automaker is still on track to achieve our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB33bn.</li><li>BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.</li><li>Nevertheless, we expect BYD to be more self-disciplined in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses in the following quarters, should it put earnings at a higher priority.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Although BYD’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB 4.6bn missed our prior forecast on a massive R&amp;D spending of RMB10.6bn, we believe the automaker is still on track to achieve our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB33bn.BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.Nevertheless, we expect BYD to be more self-disciplined in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses in the following quarters, should it put earnings at a higher priority.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - Our FY24 Forecasts Still on Track Post 1Q24

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>BYD’s revenue growth is lower than the estimate in our preview note.</li>
<li>However, the recovery of sales volume in March suggests a strong year.</li>
<li>We believe BYD will win the price war due to its homemade batteries.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s revenue growth is lower than the estimate in our preview note.
However, the recovery of sales volume in March suggests a strong year.
We believe BYD will win the price war due to its homemade batteries.


BYD (1211 HK): Low Growth in 1Q24, But March Sales and Homemade Batteries to Support a Strong Year

<ul>
<li>We believe the revenue growth will be slow in 1Q24, but it will still be rapid for the full year 2024.</li>
<li>We also believe the operating margin will hit the historical high in 1Q24, but it will be just stable for the year 2024.</li>
<li>We conclude the stock has an upside of 60% for the year end 2024. Buy.</li>
</ul>


We believe the revenue growth will be slow in 1Q24, but it will still be rapid for the full year 2024.
We also believe the operating margin will hit the historical high in 1Q24, but it will be just stable for the year 2024.
We conclude the stock has an upside of 60% for the year end 2024. Buy.


BYD (1211 HK) 1Q24 Preview: No Concern for Slow Quarter, To Achieve a Strong Year, 60% Upside

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

BYD (1211 HK): Is Buffett Bailing?

BYD is expensive, even after this morning's decline. The recent price run-up appears to hit Buffet's exit level. I'd look to sell here and on any...

David Blennerhassett

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

BYD (1211 HK) - Our FY24 Forecasts Still on Track Post 1Q24

BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.

CMB International

BYD (1211 HK): Low Growth in 1Q24, But March Sales and Homemade Batteries to Support a Strong Year

BYD’s revenue growth is low. However, The recovery of sales volume in March suggests a strong year. We believe BYD will win the price war due to...

Ming Lu

BYD (1211 HK) 1Q24 Preview: No Concern for Slow Quarter, To Achieve a Strong Year, 60% Upside

We believe the revenue growth will be slow in 1Q24, but it will be still rapid for 2024. Also, the operating will hit the historical high in 1Q24,...

Ming Lu

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BYD (1211 HK): Is Buffett Bailing?

BYD is expensive, even after this morning's decline. The recent price run-up appears to hit Buffet's exit level. I'd look to sell here and on any...

David Blennerhassett

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

​Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

BYD (1211 HK) - Our FY24 Forecasts Still on Track Post 1Q24

BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.

CMB International

BYD (1211 HK): Low Growth in 1Q24, But March Sales and Homemade Batteries to Support a Strong Year

BYD’s revenue growth is low. However, The recovery of sales volume in March suggests a strong year. We believe BYD will win the price war due to...

Ming Lu

BYD (1211 HK) 1Q24 Preview: No Concern for Slow Quarter, To Achieve a Strong Year, 60% Upside

We believe the revenue growth will be slow in 1Q24, but it will be still rapid for 2024. Also, the operating will hit the historical high in 1Q24,...

Ming Lu

Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...