Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe revenue will grow by 44% in 2023 according to the sales volume and the price trend.</li>
<li>We believe net profit will increase by 100%, higher than the company’s estimate.</li>
<li>We conclude an upside of 54% and a price target of HK$304. Buy.</li>
</ul>


We believe revenue will grow by 44% in 2023 according to the sales volume and the price trend.
We believe net profit will increase by 100%, higher than the company’s estimate.
We conclude an upside of 54% and a price target of HK$304. Buy.


BYD (1211 HK) 2023 Earnings Preview: Strong Top Line and Bottom Line

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Recap of 1H 24 on two of the largest and most influential EV makers; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> .</li>
<li>BYD performance is superior to Tesla yet it trades at a discount to Tesla, notably 0.2x vs 3x PEG.</li>
<li>BYD faces tailwinds in North America and the EU, but those are not its main destinations.</li>
</ul>


Recap of 1H 24 on two of the largest and most influential EV makers; Tesla (TSLA US) and BYD (1211 HK) .
BYD performance is superior to Tesla yet it trades at a discount to Tesla, notably 0.2x vs 3x PEG.
BYD faces tailwinds in North America and the EU, but those are not its main destinations.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We raise FY25E net profit by 10% to RMB36.2bn by lifting sales volume forecast and cutting R&amp;D expenses.</li><li>We also raise FY25E sales volume forecast to 4.3mn units, as BYD’s new PHEV models are more competitive than we had expected.</li><li>We believe its solid earnings quality could continue in FY25E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We raise FY25E net profit by 10% to RMB36.2bn by lifting sales volume forecast and cutting R&amp;D expenses.We also raise FY25E sales volume forecast to 4.3mn units, as BYD’s new PHEV models are more competitive than we had expected.We believe its solid earnings quality could continue in FY25E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - Solid Sales, Earnings Outlook Despite Mixed 2Q

<ul>
<li>Total revenue increased by 26% in 2Q24, as sales volume grew strongly after March.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin will be stable due to the ability of battery production.</li>
<li>We also believe the tariff penalty from Europe is not a concern in the long run, as BYD’s products have expanded to 77 countries.</li>
</ul>


Total revenue increased by 26% in 2Q24, as sales volume grew strongly after March.
We believe the operating margin will be stable due to the ability of battery production.
We also believe the tariff penalty from Europe is not a concern in the long run, as BYD’s products have expanded to 77 countries.


BYD (1211 HK): Revenue Up by 26% in 2Q24 Versus 4% in 1Q24, Buy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 14.8bn of A-shares. It was a big net sell week in relatively low gross NORTHBOUND volume.</li>
<li>HK large caps outperformed Mainland large caps generally. Tech (HSTECH vs Star50 and ChiNext) saw even better HK outperformance.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 14.8bn of A-shares. It was a big net sell week in relatively low gross NORTHBOUND volume.
HK large caps outperformed Mainland large caps generally. Tech (HSTECH vs Star50 and ChiNext) saw even better HK outperformance.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024): Back to Net Selling of Renewables and Consumer

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

BYD (1211 HK) 2023 Earnings Preview: Strong Top Line and Bottom Line

We believe revenue will grow by 44% in 2023 according to the sales volume and the price trend. We also believe net profit will increase by 100%,...

Ming Lu

BYD Vs Tesla: 1H 2024 Updates

BYD performed much better than Tesla yet the former trades at a discount to the latter. BYD's main markets are not in North America and the EU but...

Henry Soediarko

BYD (1211 HK) - Solid Sales, Earnings Outlook Despite Mixed 2Q

We raise FY25E net profit by 10% to RMB36.2bn by lifting sales volume forecast and cutting R&D expenses. We also raise FY25E sales volume forecast...

CMB International

BYD (1211 HK): Revenue Up by 26% in 2Q24 Versus 4% in 1Q24, Buy

Total revenue increased by 26% in 2Q24, as sales volume grew strongly after March. We believe the tariff penalty from Europe is not a concern, as...

Ming Lu

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024): Back to Net Selling of Renewables and Consumer

NORTHBOUND back to the sell side last week. Pretty much across the board but renewables-related (solar, btty, EVs) were all sells. EVs to be...

Travis Lundy

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