Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global semiconductor sales amounted to $40.7 billion in May'23. This represented an increase of 1.7% MoM and a 21.1% decline on a year-ago basis</li>
<li>Samsung pre-announces Q2'23 sales and operating profit slightly down sequentially</li>
<li>HMB3 standard launched. SK Hynix wins a critical HMB3 design win at NVIDIA</li>
</ul>


Global semiconductor sales amounted to $40.7 billion in May'23. This represented an increase of 1.7% MoM and a 21.1% decline on a year-ago basis
Samsung pre-announces Q2'23 sales and operating profit slightly down sequentially
HMB3 standard launched. SK Hynix wins a critical HMB3 design win at NVIDIA


Semiconductor Events Deserving Your Attention @ 9/7/23

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has been a nice outperformer relative to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology (MU US)</a> due to valuation, tech merit and exposure to AI</li>
<li>For cyclical stocks, no matter defensive vs. peers, does it make more sense to play the pure plays?</li>
<li>On the recent settlement between Elliott and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-c-t-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:481:1" rel="noopener">Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS)</a> , there was a secret payment made to just Elliott. What about the other minority shareholders?!</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been a nice outperformer relative to SK Hynix (000660 KS) and Micron Technology (MU US) due to valuation, tech merit and exposure to AI
For cyclical stocks, no matter defensive vs. peers, does it make more sense to play the pure plays?
On the recent settlement between Elliott and Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS) , there was a secret payment made to just Elliott. What about the other minority shareholders?!


At the Core Lies Why Anything Named Samsung Deserves a Discount

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Netherlands expands range of semiconductor tech restricted for export; Tightening the vice further on China's semiconductor industry.</li>
<li>AI In The Family: Nvidia founder Jensen Huang a distant cousin of AMD CEO Lisa Su.</li>
<li>TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and Delta.</li>
</ul>


Netherlands expands range of semiconductor tech restricted for export; Tightening the vice further on China's semiconductor industry.
AI In The Family: Nvidia founder Jensen Huang a distant cousin of AMD CEO Lisa Su.
TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and Delta.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: New ASML Restrictions Tighten Vice Further on China; AI & The Nvidia/AMD Family

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. </li>
<li>While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.</li>
<li>Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. 
While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.
Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.


MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

<ul>
<li>Micron reported FQ3’23 revenues of $3.8 billion, up 2% sequentially and down 57% year-over-year.</li>
<li>Despite upbeat AI notes among others, Micron quietly delivered more bad news than good with their overall outlook worsening in many key respects. </li>
<li>In the company's own words, "Profitability and cash flow will remain extremely challenged for some time". For "some time", you could insert "at least 12 months"</li>
</ul>


Micron reported FQ3’23 revenues of $3.8 billion, up 2% sequentially and down 57% year-over-year.
Despite upbeat AI notes among others, Micron quietly delivered more bad news than good with their overall outlook worsening in many key respects. 
In the company's own words, "Profitability and cash flow will remain extremely challenged for some time". For "some time", you could insert "at least 12 months"


South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

Semiconductor Events Deserving Your Attention @ 9/7/23

Global semi sales $40.7 billion in May'23, +1.7% MoM, -21.1% YoY. Samsung sales & op profit marginally down QoQ. HBM3 standard released, SK Hynix...

William Keating

At the Core Lies Why Anything Named Samsung Deserves a Discount

Why Samsung deserves a discount and the new 3 yr shareholder return plan nor M&A will fix this unless one or both of 2 things happen.

Ken S. Kim

Taiwan Tech Weekly: New ASML Restrictions Tighten Vice Further on China; AI & The Nvidia/AMD Family

Also -- TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

MSCI $ACWI Bullish Above $93, inverse head-and-shoulders breakout targets $110; EURO $STOXX 50 Holding At the Uptrend; Buys in Consumer...

Vermilion Research

Micron. Clutching At AI Straws

FQ3’23 revenues $3.8 billion, + 2% QoQ & -57% YoY. Micron: "Profitability and cash flow will remain extremely challenged for some time". For "some...

William Keating

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