Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>SDC closes Slovakia branch due to declining competitiveness in European market, experiencing challenges in the region.</li><li>SSFC remains optimistic about growth in China's auto market despite market slowdown, seeing potential for expansion.</li><li>Global semiconductor industry strengthens in 2Q24, as per SEMI report, with Taiwanese IPC maker showcasing at Automation Expo 2024 in India.</li></ul>

SDC closes Slovakia branch due to declining competitiveness in European market, experiencing challenges in the region.SSFC remains optimistic about growth in China's auto market despite market slowdown, seeing potential for expansion.Global semiconductor industry strengthens in 2Q24, as per SEMI report, with Taiwanese IPC maker showcasing at Automation Expo 2024 in India.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Aug-2024): SDC closes Slovakia branch.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Over the last year, the discount of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-pref-shares" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23591:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has increased from 5% to 17%.</li>
<li>The preferred shares have adequate liquidity, a large issue market cap, and now trade at a much higher dividend yield. A special dividend will further increase the dividend yield differential.</li>
<li>Breaking from history, the preferred shares discount has continued to increase as the stock has moved higher. With the preferred shares trading near its widest discount, that could change.</li>
</ul>


Over the last year, the discount of Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS) to Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has increased from 5% to 17%.
The preferred shares have adequate liquidity, a large issue market cap, and now trade at a much higher dividend yield. A special dividend will further increase the dividend yield differential.
Breaking from history, the preferred shares discount has continued to increase as the stock has moved higher. With the preferred shares trading near its widest discount, that could change.


Samsung Electronics: Prefs Need to Catch Up

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Kioxia is getting ready to complete its IPO in Japan as soon as in October. Kioxia's valuation is expected to exceed JPY 1.5 trillion (about USD 10.3 billion).</li>
<li>SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia (through Bain led consortium) is 19%. SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia would rise to 34% if the CBs are converted into equity. </li>
<li>The IPO of Kioxia has mixed implications for SK Hynix which is a major shareholder. However, the IPO of Kioxia has a more direct negative impact on Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia is getting ready to complete its IPO in Japan as soon as in October. Kioxia's valuation is expected to exceed JPY 1.5 trillion (about USD 10.3 billion).
SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia (through Bain led consortium) is 19%. SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia would rise to 34% if the CBs are converted into equity. 
The IPO of Kioxia has mixed implications for SK Hynix which is a major shareholder. However, the IPO of Kioxia has a more direct negative impact on Samsung Electronics.


Initial Thoughts on the Kioxia IPO - Impact on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The opposition’s pushing a Commercial Act amendment, and to gain ruling party support, they might strategically ease up on the dividend tax issue—classic quid pro quo.</li>
<li>The Samsung family’s collateral risk eased with a 10 trillion won buyback, but local markets are still cautious. Local traders now eye another 10 trillion won shareholder return.</li>
<li>The timing of the special dividend and tax deadlines may cause mismatches, but we should watch for earlier price moves in Samsung Electronics preferred shares.</li>
</ul>


The opposition’s pushing a Commercial Act amendment, and to gain ruling party support, they might strategically ease up on the dividend tax issue—classic quid pro quo.
The Samsung family’s collateral risk eased with a 10 trillion won buyback, but local markets are still cautious. Local traders now eye another 10 trillion won shareholder return.
The timing of the special dividend and tax deadlines may cause mismatches, but we should watch for earlier price moves in Samsung Electronics preferred shares.


Dividend Tax Cut Decision Scheduled for 25th, Next Monday: Watch Sammy Prefs

<ul>
<li>Local traders see interest rate cuts and value-up disclosures as key for timing Samsung Electronics 1P discount narrowing.</li>
<li>Samsung's only realistic value-up goal beyond 50% FCF return is improving ROE, likely through a pref-skewed buyback or cancellation program.</li>
<li>If Samsung announces a value-up plan during the Bank of Korea's rate cuts, local traders expect the 1P discount to reverse, targeting October-November for position entry.</li>
</ul>


Local traders see interest rate cuts and value-up disclosures as key for timing Samsung Electronics 1P discount narrowing.
Samsung's only realistic value-up goal beyond 50% FCF return is improving ROE, likely through a pref-skewed buyback or cancellation program.
If Samsung announces a value-up plan during the Bank of Korea's rate cuts, local traders expect the 1P discount to reverse, targeting October-November for position entry.


Local Market Observations on Timing Samsung Electronics 1P Discount Narrowing

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Aug-2024): SDC closes Slovakia branch.

SDC closes Slovakia branch, SSFC looks to China growth, global semiconductor industry strengthens, Taiwanese maker at Expo 2024, Siemens Gamesa...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Samsung Electronics: Prefs Need to Catch Up

Samsung Electronics preferred shares have a large market cap, are liquid, and offer a higher div yield compared to the ordinary shares. With the...

Brian Freitas

Initial Thoughts on the Kioxia IPO - Impact on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics

Kioxia plans to complete its IPO on 18 December, valuing Kioxia at ¥750 billion ($4.8 billion). The IPO is priced at ¥1,390 ($9) per share. The...

Douglas Kim

Dividend Tax Cut Decision Scheduled for 25th, Next Monday: Watch Sammy Prefs

Next Monday, the 25th, the National Assembly will decide on separate dividend taxation—definitely keep an eye on Samsung Electronics preferred stock.

Sanghyun Park

Local Market Observations on Timing Samsung Electronics 1P Discount Narrowing

Samsung Electronics and Hyundai Motor are expected to announce their value-up plans before the Korea Value-Up Index launches in mid-September....

Sanghyun Park

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