Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Memory stocks underperformed the market, falling sharply with the recent overall market rout and failing to rebound sufficiently with the latest market rally.</li>
<li>Leading Memory names Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung are all substantially below their 52-week highs after market reports of slowing memory demand from PC and mobile industries and inventory liquidation.</li>
<li>Taiwan names Nanya Tech, Silicon Motion, Phison are all we below their highs. Micron results on September 25th MT will provide a major outlook update for the market.</li>
</ul>


Memory stocks underperformed the market, falling sharply with the recent overall market rout and failing to rebound sufficiently with the latest market rally.
Leading Memory names Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung are all substantially below their 52-week highs after market reports of slowing memory demand from PC and mobile industries and inventory liquidation.
Taiwan names Nanya Tech, Silicon Motion, Phison are all we below their highs. Micron results on September 25th MT will provide a major outlook update for the market.


Memory Monitor: Upcoming Micron Results & Outlook Key Amid Reports of Inventory Liquidation

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Significant peer price performance declines leaves IPO valuation stretched, the desired discount multiple to attract interest has suddenly become a premium</li>
<li>Investor interest in memory semiconductors, AI derivative stocks has cooled</li>
<li>Peer price sell-offs are extreme but could quickly change, reflecting the highly cyclical nature of the sector</li>
</ul>


Significant peer price performance declines leaves IPO valuation stretched, the desired discount multiple to attract interest has suddenly become a premium
Investor interest in memory semiconductors, AI derivative stocks has cooled
Peer price sell-offs are extreme but could quickly change, reflecting the highly cyclical nature of the sector


Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Average EM fund weights and active fund ownership hits record highs in TSMC</li>
<li>However, investor caution is starting to surface, with 13.4% of funds shifting to underweight  in the last six months, driving the net underweight to a 15-year low of -1.21%.</li>
<li>Net outflows of $3 billion over the past six months, led by Invesco, JP Morgan, and MFS, and with four times more sellers than buyers.</li>
</ul>


Average EM fund weights and active fund ownership hits record highs in TSMC
However, investor caution is starting to surface, with 13.4% of funds shifting to underweight  in the last six months, driving the net underweight to a 15-year low of -1.21%.
Net outflows of $3 billion over the past six months, led by Invesco, JP Morgan, and MFS, and with four times more sellers than buyers.


TSMC:  Caution as GEM Funds Switch to Underweight

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 20th which has an aggregated holding worth USD544.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,602mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 20th which has an aggregated holding worth USD544.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,602mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 20th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The semiconductor market is currently enjoying an AI-driven demand surge</li>
<li>The past two demand-driven surges have turned into collapses as growth returned to the long-term trend</li>
<li>When we compare the past two cycles to the current one, it appears that a collapse could occur relatively soon</li>
</ul>


The semiconductor market is currently enjoying an AI-driven demand surge
The past two demand-driven surges have turned into collapses as growth returned to the long-term trend
When we compare the past two cycles to the current one, it appears that a collapse could occur relatively soon


South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Memory Monitor: Upcoming Micron Results & Outlook Key Amid Reports of Inventory Liquidation

Stay Long Micron, SK Hynix, and Silicon Motion into upcoming Micron results on September 25th Mountain Time. Memory outlook unlikely to be overly...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...

Neil Campling

TSMC: Caution as GEM Funds Switch to Underweight

Investor caution is starting to surface in TSMC, with 13.4% of funds shifting to underweight in the last six months, driving the net underweight to...

Steven Holden

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 20th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Current Semi Surge Still Strong

The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.

Jim Handy

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Memory Monitor: Upcoming Micron Results & Outlook Key Amid Reports of Inventory Liquidation

Stay Long Micron, SK Hynix, and Silicon Motion into upcoming Micron results on September 25th Mountain Time. Memory outlook unlikely to be overly...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

​IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...

Neil Campling

TSMC: Caution as GEM Funds Switch to Underweight

Investor caution is starting to surface in TSMC, with 13.4% of funds shifting to underweight in the last six months, driving the net underweight to...

Steven Holden

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 20th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Current Semi Surge Still Strong

​The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.

Jim Handy

IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...

The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.