Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global semi sales for April '24 were $46.4 billion,  +15.8% YoY &amp; +1.1% MoM</li>
<li>WSTS now forecasts a 16.1% increase in 2024 semi sales, up from 13.1% in their previous forecast</li>
<li>We think the WSTS forecast for Memory is too high &amp; their forecast for Logic is too low. Excluding memory, the WSTS forecast reflects just 3.1% growth in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Global semi sales for April '24 were $46.4 billion,  +15.8% YoY &amp; +1.1% MoM
WSTS now forecasts a 16.1% increase in 2024 semi sales, up from 13.1% in their previous forecast
We think the WSTS forecast for Memory is too high &amp; their forecast for Logic is too low. Excluding memory, the WSTS forecast reflects just 3.1% growth in 2024.


Global Semi Sales YTD 2024 & Outlook: The Good & The Not So Good

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 12 June, SK Telecom (017670 KS) confirmed that its affiliate Sapeon plans to merge with its competitor Rebellions by end of this year.</li>
<li>Sapeon and Rebellions' largest global competitor is Nvidia. A key aim of the merger is to challenge Nvidia and try to take away its global dominance in AI chips.</li>
<li>If the combined Sapeon and Rebellion can take away just 1% market share resulting in 1% of Nvidia's market cap, this would suggest valuation of US$31 billion.</li>
</ul>


On 12 June, SK Telecom (017670 KS) confirmed that its affiliate Sapeon plans to merge with its competitor Rebellions by end of this year.
Sapeon and Rebellions' largest global competitor is Nvidia. A key aim of the merger is to challenge Nvidia and try to take away its global dominance in AI chips.
If the combined Sapeon and Rebellion can take away just 1% market share resulting in 1% of Nvidia's market cap, this would suggest valuation of US$31 billion.


Proposed Merger Between Rebellions and Sapeon - To Challenge Nvidia

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AI technology is driving sustainability efforts while posing environmental risks, as discussed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at London Tech Week 2024.</li>
<li>AI is revolutionizing computing and task optimization through advanced PCs and architectures, with AMD CEO predicting its dominance in the future and emphasizing Taiwan's crucial role in the tech industry.</li>
<li>Google is investing $5 billion in expanding its Singapore Data Center and Cloud Region campus, Apple is introducing VisionOS for spatial computing, and the UK is seeking Taiwanese partnerships for high-tech collaborations, while also focusing on privacy with Apple Intelligence at WWDC.</li>
</ul>


AI technology is driving sustainability efforts while posing environmental risks, as discussed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at London Tech Week 2024.
AI is revolutionizing computing and task optimization through advanced PCs and architectures, with AMD CEO predicting its dominance in the future and emphasizing Taiwan's crucial role in the tech industry.
Google is investing $5 billion in expanding its Singapore Data Center and Cloud Region campus, Apple is introducing VisionOS for spatial computing, and the UK is seeking Taiwanese partnerships for high-tech collaborations, while also focusing on privacy with Apple Intelligence at WWDC.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 7th which has an aggregated holding worth USD542.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD266mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Alteogen Inc (196170 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 7th which has an aggregated holding worth USD542.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD266mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Alteogen Inc (196170 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 7th): Alteogen, Naver

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Regardless of the divorce proceedings, SK still urgently needs SK Inc's stock price to rise for other reasons. That reason is to position SK Hynix directly under SK Inc.</li>
<li>SK Inc boosts stake in SK Square with SK Telecom shares, followed by a public tender offer to exchange SK Square shares for new SK Inc shares.</li>
<li>SK Inc's involvement in the divorce lawsuit makes it a focus for traders seeking relative outperformance among the SK companies involved in this situation.</li>
</ul>


Regardless of the divorce proceedings, SK still urgently needs SK Inc's stock price to rise for other reasons. That reason is to position SK Hynix directly under SK Inc.
SK Inc boosts stake in SK Square with SK Telecom shares, followed by a public tender offer to exchange SK Square shares for new SK Inc shares.
SK Inc's involvement in the divorce lawsuit makes it a focus for traders seeking relative outperformance among the SK companies involved in this situation.


Potential Merger Dynamics Involving SK Inc, SK Square, & SK Hynix

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Global Semi Sales YTD 2024 & Outlook: The Good & The Not So Good

Global semi sales for April '24 were $46.4 billion, +15.8% YoY & +1.1% MoM. Excluding memory, the latest WSTS forecast reflects just 3.1% growth...

William Keating

Proposed Merger Between Rebellions and Sapeon - To Challenge Nvidia

On 12 June, SK Telecom confirmed that its affiliate Sapeon plans to merge with Rebellions by end of this year. A key aim of the merger is to take...

Douglas Kim

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

AI is driving sustainability and innovation, but comes with environmental risks, while tech giants like Nvidia, AMD, Google, and Apple are making...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 7th): Alteogen, Naver

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen (196170 KS), Naver (035420 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Potential Merger Dynamics Involving SK Inc, SK Square, & SK Hynix

This post delves into the prospective merger among SK Inc, SK Square, and SK Telecom, examining intriguing trading perspectives.

Sanghyun Park

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