Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the street relatively bearish on the stock and the display market overall, we had a call with ChipMOS management to learn if they can prove bears wrong.</li>
<li>We identify seven supportive factors that can help the company defy industry weakness.</li>
<li>Valuation has priced in a lot of negativity, we see downside support at 1x PBV and the stock appears inexpensive. Dual-listings are trading near parity.</li>
</ul>


With the street relatively bearish on the stock and the display market overall, we had a call with ChipMOS management to learn if they can prove bears wrong.
We identify seven supportive factors that can help the company defy industry weakness.
Valuation has priced in a lot of negativity, we see downside support at 1x PBV and the stock appears inexpensive. Dual-listings are trading near parity.


Display Industry Doom and Gloom? Management Call with ChipMOS

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +25.4% Premium; At Historical Highs, Good Level to Short the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: +2.1% Premium; Upper Level of Historical Range, Short Level</li>
<li>ASE: +5.4% Premium; Near-Term High However Likely Best to Wait for Higher Levels</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +25.4% Premium; At Historical Highs, Good Level to Short the Spread
UMC: +2.1% Premium; Upper Level of Historical Range, Short Level
ASE: +5.4% Premium; Near-Term High However Likely Best to Wait for Higher Levels


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADR Spread Near All-Time Highs; UMC at Upper End of Range

<ul>
<li>We hosted a conference call recently with ChipMOS management; the company continues to view 1Q24 as having been the bottom for the memory and display markets.</li>
<li>Memory customers are increasing utilization further. Since ChipMOS does not significantly serve the HBM DRAM market, this indicates that previously softer non-HBM memory segments are now showing improvement.</li>
<li>Display industry increasing utilization on expectation for 2H24 large display demand strength driven by sporting events such as the Paris Olympics. ChipMOS remains well below March highs, rate as Outperform.</li>
</ul>


We hosted a conference call recently with ChipMOS management; the company continues to view 1Q24 as having been the bottom for the memory and display markets.
Memory customers are increasing utilization further. Since ChipMOS does not significantly serve the HBM DRAM market, this indicates that previously softer non-HBM memory segments are now showing improvement.
Display industry increasing utilization on expectation for 2H24 large display demand strength driven by sporting events such as the Paris Olympics. ChipMOS remains well below March highs, rate as Outperform.


TechChain Insights: Call with ChipMOS, Memory and Display Markets Color

<ul>
<li>ChipMOS Margin Rebound Sputters, Guidance Implies Margins Could Remain Under Pressure</li>
<li>Valuation Appears Precarious In Light of Latest Results and Guidance</li>
<li>Valuation Appears Precarious In Light of Latest Results and Guidance</li>
</ul>


ChipMOS Margin Rebound Sputters, Guidance Implies Margins Could Remain Under Pressure
Valuation Appears Precarious In Light of Latest Results and Guidance
Valuation Appears Precarious In Light of Latest Results and Guidance


ChipMOS: Valuation at Risk Given Latest Results; Short Interest Shows Sentiment Has Room to Shift

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +15.9% Premium; Sales Rose 33% YoY in August &amp; Headroom Increased</li>
<li>UMC: +1.8% Premium; Largest Monthly Decrease in ADR Headroom, Has Consistently Been Decreasing Since May</li>
<li>ASE: +2.0% Premium; At Current Level Can Consider Going Long the Premium</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +15.9% Premium; Sales Rose 33% YoY in August &amp; Headroom Increased
UMC: +1.8% Premium; Largest Monthly Decrease in ADR Headroom, Has Consistently Been Decreasing Since May
ASE: +2.0% Premium; At Current Level Can Consider Going Long the Premium


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium

Taiwan

ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. offers semiconductor testing and packaging solutions to companies, integrated device manufacturers, and foundries. The Company provides a broad range of back-end testing services for high density memory, mixed-signal and liquid crystal display.

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Chipmos Technologies (8150 TT)

Display Industry Doom and Gloom? Management Call with ChipMOS

With the street relatively bearish on the stock, we had a call with management to assess the company's ability to perform through an industry down...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADR Spread Near All-Time Highs; UMC at Upper End of Range

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TechChain Insights: Call with ChipMOS, Memory and Display Markets Color

Management sees 1Q24 as the bottom for memory and display markets, with clients increasing utilization. Expectation for stronger large display...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ChipMOS: Valuation at Risk Given Latest Results; Short Interest Shows Sentiment Has Room to Shift

ChipMOS isn't cheap given a sputtering margin rebound. The market still has significant room to shift towards negative sentiment.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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