Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

It was reported by several news media outlets including the Nikkei, Bloomberg and Reuters that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7797:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP)</a>  is planning to sell a 60% stake in its overseas home appliance business to major Turkish consumer electronics maker Arcelik AS.The two companies are in advanced talks and an agreement is expected to be reached over the next few weeks. The deal could be valued at around US$300-500m.Hitachi’s home appliance business generates only about 20% of its revenues from overseas markets whereas China and Southeast Asia accounting for bulk of the overseas revenues.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcelik-as" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24759:1" rel="noopener">Arcelik AS (ARCLK TI)</a> , together with its subsidiaries produces and sells consumer durable goods and consumer electronics in Turkey and internationally. Its products are sold under Arcelik, Beko, Blomberg, Arctic, Leisure, Defy and several other brands.By partnering up with Arcelik, Hitachi aims to expand the sale of its consumer appliances products in markets such as Europe and Africa, where Arcelik has a strong foothold in these markets.

It was reported by several news media outlets including the Nikkei, Bloomberg and Reuters that Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP)  is planning to sell a 60% stake in its overseas home appliance business to major Turkish consumer electronics maker Arcelik AS.The two companies are in advanced talks and an agreement is expected to be reached over the next few weeks. The deal could be valued at around US$300-500m.Hitachi’s home appliance business generates only about 20% of its revenues from overseas markets whereas China and Southeast Asia accounting for bulk of the overseas revenues.Arcelik AS (ARCLK TI) , together with its subsidiaries produces and sells consumer durable goods and consumer electronics in Turkey and internationally. Its products are sold under Arcelik, Beko, Blomberg, Arctic, Leisure, Defy and several other brands.By partnering up with Arcelik, Hitachi aims to expand the sale of its consumer appliances products in markets such as Europe and Africa, where Arcelik has a strong foothold in these markets.

Hitachi to Sell Overseas Home Appliance Business; Attempt to Reach Its Mid-Term Management Targets

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

Last month saw China allocations hit record levels across Asia Ex-Japan, Emerging Market and Global active long-only funds.  The average China weight in Asia Ex-Japan funds stands at a record 50.96%, in active GEM funds a record 37.63% and in active Global funds an all-time high of 5.33%However, these increases have come at the expense of greater concentration.  Among Global managers, the top 10 largest China stock holdings now account for 62% of total China allocations, among GEM and Asia Ex-Japan funds just under 50% - an all-time high across all 3 investor groups. Dedicated China managers, however, are more diversified.  In this analysis, we look at the differences between dedicated China funds and their regional peers.  We find that Asia, GEM and Global managers are more concentrated in the Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services sectors, whereas dedicated China managers are more diversified across Technology, Industrials and Health Care stocks.  Regional funds are also underinvested in China A-Shares compared to dedicated China managers, who are running significant overweights vs the MSCI China benchmark.We identify the next generation of Chinese stocks outside of the big index names by following the lead of dedicated managers in the region.  We provide a list of 40 stocks, identified as 'Next Generation' stocks due to their widespread investment in dedicated China funds, but that are currently underowned by Asia Ex-Japan, GEM and Global investors.The list is headed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, one of the standout domestic holdings within the Health Care sector, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)</a> .Analysis taken from our Global, GEM, Asia Ex-Japan and China fund universes.  Global:  386 Active Funds, combined AUM $750bn                                                                                        GEM:  242 Active Funds, combined AUM $370bn                                                                                          Asia Ex-Japan: 98 Active Funds, combined AUM $70bn                                                                              China:  119 Active Funds, combined AUM $50bn

Last month saw China allocations hit record levels across Asia Ex-Japan, Emerging Market and Global active long-only funds.  The average China weight in Asia Ex-Japan funds stands at a record 50.96%, in active GEM funds a record 37.63% and in active Global funds an all-time high of 5.33%However, these increases have come at the expense of greater concentration.  Among Global managers, the top 10 largest China stock holdings now account for 62% of total China allocations, among GEM and Asia Ex-Japan funds just under 50% - an all-time high across all 3 investor groups. Dedicated China managers, however, are more diversified.  In this analysis, we look at the differences between dedicated China funds and their regional peers.  We find that Asia, GEM and Global managers are more concentrated in the Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services sectors, whereas dedicated China managers are more diversified across Technology, Industrials and Health Care stocks.  Regional funds are also underinvested in China A-Shares compared to dedicated China managers, who are running significant overweights vs the MSCI China benchmark.We identify the next generation of Chinese stocks outside of the big index names by following the lead of dedicated managers in the region.  We provide a list of 40 stocks, identified as 'Next Generation' stocks due to their widespread investment in dedicated China funds, but that are currently underowned by Asia Ex-Japan, GEM and Global investors.The list is headed by Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), one of the standout domestic holdings within the Health Care sector, followed by China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) and Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) .Analysis taken from our Global, GEM, Asia Ex-Japan and China fund universes.  Global:  386 Active Funds, combined AUM $750bn                                                                                        GEM:  242 Active Funds, combined AUM $370bn                                                                                          Asia Ex-Japan: 98 Active Funds, combined AUM $70bn                                                                              China:  119 Active Funds, combined AUM $50bn

China's Next Generation:  Diversifying Away from Tencent and Alibaba.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

China (MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while Brazil (Bovespa) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -

China (MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while Brazil (Bovespa) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -

US Dollar Weakness Remains A Tailwind For EM

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

ASA Capital Management

ASA Capital Management is a boutique Research and Investment Advisory firm focusing on primary research in India. ASA provides bespoke research services to Institutional Clients with a focus on due diligence backed with primary research, Field Trips & Channel Checks.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

Our objective with this weekly is to highlight notable developments in the India internet and consumer sector focusing on public and private companies. The sub-sectors covered include payment providers, e-commerce retailers,  social media platforms and consumer companies.
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25998:1" rel="noopener">Tata Group (1396Z IN)</a> is aiming to become a serious contender in the Indian E-Commerce race with a potential stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> backed BigBasket</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> re-gains its top slot in global smartphones thanks to market share gains in India</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> backed Whatsapp Pay gets its act together in the already competitive Indian Payments Market, expected to roll out soon. </li>
<li>India bans import of AC units, but we see no major market share gains for top players. </li>
</ul>

Our objective with this weekly is to highlight notable developments in the India internet and consumer sector focusing on public and private companies. The sub-sectors covered include payment providers, e-commerce retailers,  social media platforms and consumer companies.


Tata Group (1396Z IN) is aiming to become a serious contender in the Indian E-Commerce race with a potential stake in Alibaba Group (BABA US) backed BigBasket

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) re-gains its top slot in global smartphones thanks to market share gains in India

Facebook Inc A (FB US) backed Whatsapp Pay gets its act together in the already competitive Indian Payments Market, expected to roll out soon. 
India bans import of AC units, but we see no major market share gains for top players. 


India Internet & Consumer Weekly | Bigbasket, Samsung, Whatsapp Pay, India's AC Ban

Gree Electric Appliances / Equity Bottom-Up

In mid-September, it was reported by Reuters that the Chinese air conditioner maker, Gree Electric Appliances is among one of the potential bidders for Philips’ domestic appliance business. Reuters also mentioned that the other interested candidates include Midea, Haier and Joyoung.The advisers for Philips have already sent out the teasers for potential buyers and the bidding process is expected to begin later this year. In our previous insight on Philips, we discussed in detail about the company’s announcement regarding the future of its domestic appliance business and its valuation.Read our previous insight on Philips’ sale of its domestic appliance business and our insights on Gree:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/philips-to-divest-domestic-appliances-business-potential-for-margin-expansion" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:36733" rel="noopener">Philips to Divest Domestic Appliances Business – Potential for Margin Expansion</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gree-electric-appliance-good-gree-is-losing-the-throne-to-its-ac-empire" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:34383" rel="noopener">Gree Electric Appliance: Good Gree Is Losing the Throne to Its AC Empire</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gree-electric-positive-sentiment-regarding-stake-sale-already-priced-in-we-remain-conservative" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:35339" rel="noopener">Gree Electric: Positive Sentiment Regarding Stake Sale Already Priced In; We Remain Conservative</a>

In mid-September, it was reported by Reuters that the Chinese air conditioner maker, Gree Electric Appliances is among one of the potential bidders for Philips’ domestic appliance business. Reuters also mentioned that the other interested candidates include Midea, Haier and Joyoung.The advisers for Philips have already sent out the teasers for potential buyers and the bidding process is expected to begin later this year. In our previous insight on Philips, we discussed in detail about the company’s announcement regarding the future of its domestic appliance business and its valuation.Read our previous insight on Philips’ sale of its domestic appliance business and our insights on Gree:Philips to Divest Domestic Appliances Business – Potential for Margin Expansion Gree Electric Appliance: Good Gree Is Losing the Throne to Its AC Empire Gree Electric: Positive Sentiment Regarding Stake Sale Already Priced In; We Remain Conservative 

Gree Electric: A Potential Buyer for Philips’ Home Appliances Business

China

Midea Group CO., LTD manufactures, markets and installs household electrical appliances, compressors and components. Midea also provides services in information technology, corporate investment consultation, software and hardware development, property management and corporate engineering supports. Midea Group provides its products worldwide.

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Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)

Hitachi to Sell Overseas Home Appliance Business; Attempt to Reach Its Mid-Term Management Targets

It was reported by several news media outlets that Hitachi is planning to sell a 60% stake in its overseas home appliance business to major Turkish...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

China's Next Generation: Diversifying Away from Tencent and Alibaba.

China exposure is becoming more concentrated in a small number of large cap stocks. We identify the next generation of China stocks by analyzing...

Steven Holden

US Dollar Weakness Remains A Tailwind For EM

China accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within EM, while Brazil...

Vermilion Research

India Internet & Consumer Weekly | Bigbasket, Samsung, Whatsapp Pay, India's AC Ban

Tata Group joins the e-commerce race eyeing a stake on BABA backed Bigbasket, India helps Samsung regain its global spot, WhatsApp Pay expected to...

Pranav Bhavsar

Gree Electric: A Potential Buyer for Philips’ Home Appliances Business

In mid-September, it was reported by Reuters that the Chinese air conditioner maker, Gree Electric Appliances is among one of the potential bidders...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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