Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A noteworthy flow trend in the Korean stock market is the National Pension Service's local equity purchase. For this, they tend to overweight those previously underweighted blue-chip stocks. </li>
<li>All of the top 10 most net-bought stocks by local pensions on April 18-26 are KOSPI 200 constituents. And most of them all have a relatively small NPS-owned stake.</li>
<li>Most of them have significantly outperformed the KOSPI 200 (-0.90%) during this period.</li>
</ul>


A noteworthy flow trend in the Korean stock market is the National Pension Service's local equity purchase. For this, they tend to overweight those previously underweighted blue-chip stocks. 
All of the top 10 most net-bought stocks by local pensions on April 18-26 are KOSPI 200 constituents. And most of them all have a relatively small NPS-owned stake.
Most of them have significantly outperformed the KOSPI 200 (-0.90%) during this period.


Noteworthy Flow Trend: Korea NPS Overweighting Local Equity

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over nearly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over nearly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/motonic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4404:1" rel="noopener">Motonic Corp (009680 KS)</a> is the 16th company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series. </li>
<li>Motonic's net cash (including treasury shares) total 432 billion won, which would represent 148% of the company's current market cap. </li>
<li>Established in 1974, Motonic Corp makes automobile parts in Korea. Its main products consist of liquefied petroleum injection (LPI) systems, clutches, and continuously variable valve lifts (CVVLs). </li>
</ul>



Motonic Corp (009680 KS) is the 16th company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series. 
Motonic's net cash (including treasury shares) total 432 billion won, which would represent 148% of the company's current market cap. 
Established in 1974, Motonic Corp makes automobile parts in Korea. Its main products consist of liquefied petroleum injection (LPI) systems, clutches, and continuously variable valve lifts (CVVLs). 


<ul>
<li>The screening period for the upcoming rebalancing is May 3-31. LG Energy satisfies the 3-month minimum listing requirement, so it becomes eligible to join the Index in this rebalancing.</li>
<li>LG Energy will likely receive an inflow of ₩44.6B, 0.04% of SO. Considering its tight real-world float (less than 6%), it would still be something we don't want to overlook.</li>
<li>What is critical is an estimated outflow size of Celltrion. It would be about the same amount, but relative to its ADTV, it will be -0.26x.</li>
</ul>


The screening period for the upcoming rebalancing is May 3-31. LG Energy satisfies the 3-month minimum listing requirement, so it becomes eligible to join the Index in this rebalancing.
LG Energy will likely receive an inflow of ₩44.6B, 0.04% of SO. Considering its tight real-world float (less than 6%), it would still be something we don't want to overlook.
What is critical is an estimated outflow size of Celltrion. It would be about the same amount, but relative to its ADTV, it will be -0.26x.


FnGuide TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing: LG Energy IN & Celltrion OUT

South Korea

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

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Kia Corp (000270 KS)

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

Noteworthy Flow Trend: Korea NPS Overweighting Local Equity

The NPS seems to have recently begun to overweight local equity, and this post investigates this significant flow trend and the stocks worthy of...

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Korea Small Cap Gem #16: Motonic Corp

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Sanghyun Park

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