Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NPS's May net selling of ₩700B likely stems from retrieving outsourced management funds to allocate to the newly selected three value-up outsider managers.</li>
<li>These value-up managers will start investing in Q3. NPS's May net selling matches their allocations. We should design a setup targeting the likely inflow into value-up targets starting early July.</li>
<li>In particular, we should watch non-financial value-up stocks like Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor, which had more significant May price impacts likely due to NPS outflow.</li>
</ul>


NPS's May net selling of ₩700B likely stems from retrieving outsourced management funds to allocate to the newly selected three value-up outsider managers.
These value-up managers will start investing in Q3. NPS's May net selling matches their allocations. We should design a setup targeting the likely inflow into value-up targets starting early July.
In particular, we should watch non-financial value-up stocks like Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor, which had more significant May price impacts likely due to NPS outflow.


A Plausible Explanation for Korea NPS's Unusually Large Outflow on Local Stocks in May

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 19th which has an aggregated holding worth USD563.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD350mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Heavy In, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Doosan Bobcat.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 19th which has an aggregated holding worth USD563.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD350mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Heavy In, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Doosan Bobcat.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 19th): Samsung Heavy In, Samsung Electronics, Doosan Bobcat

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-kodex-fn-top10-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40203:1" rel="noopener">Samsung KODEX Fn Top10 Equal Weight ETF (395170 KS)</a> tracks the FnGuide Top 10 Index and has an AUM of US$264m.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Corp (000270 KS)</a> to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-future-m-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Future M (003670 KS)</a> in the index at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There will be 0.4x ADV to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Corp (000270 KS)</a> while passives will need to sell 0.1x ADV of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-future-m-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Future M (003670 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Samsung KODEX Fn Top10 Equal Weight ETF (395170 KS) tracks the FnGuide Top 10 Index and has an AUM of US$264m.
We expect Kia Corp (000270 KS) to replace Posco Future M (003670 KS) in the index at the December rebalance.
There will be 0.4x ADV to buy in Kia Corp (000270 KS) while passives will need to sell 0.1x ADV of Posco Future M (003670 KS). 


FnGuide Top10 Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Kia Corp Could Replace Posco Future M

<ul>
<li>Kia is set to make a comeback, while the exclusion of Posco Future M is on the horizon.</li>
<li>The screening date is set for November 30th, and the effective date is December 18th, which means the ETF rebalancing will take place on December 15th.</li>
<li>The exposure period to the market is relatively short, so it's essential to acknowledge the limited accumulation of learning effects. This suggests we can anticipate a notably substantial price impact.</li>
</ul>


Kia is set to make a comeback, while the exclusion of Posco Future M is on the horizon.
The screening date is set for November 30th, and the effective date is December 18th, which means the ETF rebalancing will take place on December 15th.
The exposure period to the market is relatively short, so it's essential to acknowledge the limited accumulation of learning effects. This suggests we can anticipate a notably substantial price impact.


A Noteworthy ETF Flow Trading Opportunity Targeting the Pair Comprising Kia & Posco Future M

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For this report we datamined autonomous driving technology (ADT) innovations.</li>
<li>Worldwide over the last decade the ADT sector has seen nearly 25% CAGR growth in patent filings, with over 40,000 patent family filings.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delphi-automotive-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20870:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Aptiv PLC (APTV US)</strong></a>, with a leadership position in several areas of ADT, strong financials, reasonable valuations and strategic partnerships stands out.  </li>
</ul>


For this report we datamined autonomous driving technology (ADT) innovations.
Worldwide over the last decade the ADT sector has seen nearly 25% CAGR growth in patent filings, with over 40,000 patent family filings.

Aptiv PLC (APTV US), with a leadership position in several areas of ADT, strong financials, reasonable valuations and strategic partnerships stands out.  


South Korea

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

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Kia Corp (000270 KS)

A Plausible Explanation for Korea NPS's Unusually Large Outflow on Local Stocks in May

This post delves into Korea NPS's unusual magnitude of net outflow from the local stock market in May and anticipates its implications for value-up...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 19th): Samsung Heavy In, Samsung Electronics, Doosan Bobcat

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Heavy In, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FnGuide Top10 Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Kia Corp Could Replace Posco Future M

Kia Corp could replace Posco Future M in the FnGuide Top10 Equal Weight index in Dec - that would reverse the Sep change. There is 0.4x ADV to buy...

Brian Freitas

A Noteworthy ETF Flow Trading Opportunity Targeting the Pair Comprising Kia & Posco Future M

This post delves into an ETF flow trading opportunity centered around the Kia and Posco Future M pair during the December rebalancing of the KODEX...

Sanghyun Park

Autonomous Driving Leadership Landscape

Autonomous driving tech seeing surge in innovations to make journeys safer, more efficient, and intelligent. Welcome to the future of mobility.

Pyari Menon

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