Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Strong ADP numbers drive bond and equity sell off; SPX -0.8% as all sectors in the red  as reality of further Fed hikes get real; EV Truce in China</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -1.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.1; Expect further follow through of yesterday's NKY sell off; Yen strength won't help - as we head into weekend, correction finally here?</li>
<li>NUGGET. Profit Renaissance for Japan's Defense Industry. From big (MHI, Melco, etc) to Small - expect numerous beneficiaries of the policy changes afoot. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Strong ADP numbers drive bond and equity sell off; SPX -0.8% as all sectors in the red  as reality of further Fed hikes get real; EV Truce in China
JAPAN. NKY Futs -1.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.1; Expect further follow through of yesterday's NKY sell off; Yen strength won't help - as we head into weekend, correction finally here?
NUGGET. Profit Renaissance for Japan's Defense Industry. From big (MHI, Melco, etc) to Small - expect numerous beneficiaries of the policy changes afoot. 


Ohayo Japan |Rates Rocket-Equities Take Heed; NUGGET: Profit Renaissance for Japan's Defense Sector

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Robosense Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (ROBO HK)</a> (RT) is looking to raise around US$300m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by JPM and China Renaissance.</li>
<li>As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.</li>
<li>As of Mar 23, it had served the largest number of automotive OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, according to CIC.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (ROBO HK) (RT) is looking to raise around US$300m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by JPM and China Renaissance.
As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.
As of Mar 23, it had served the largest number of automotive OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, according to CIC.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yachiyo-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6299:1" rel="noopener">Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a>’s pre-conditional tender offer of JPY1,390 per share, a 17.5% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Post-Completion, Honda will transfer a 81% stake to <a href="https://www.smrpbv.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Samvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Group BV</a>. The pre-conditions relate to various country approvals (China, the US, Brazil, and India).</li>
<li>The offer is expected to open in October. Achieving the 66.67% minimum ownership ratio requires a 32.6% minority acceptance rate which is doable as the offer is reasonable.   </li>
</ul>



Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP) has recommended Honda Motor (7267 JP)’s pre-conditional tender offer of JPY1,390 per share, a 17.5% premium to the undisturbed price.
Post-Completion, Honda will transfer a 81% stake to Samvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Group BV. The pre-conditions relate to various country approvals (China, the US, Brazil, and India).
The offer is expected to open in October. Achieving the 66.67% minimum ownership ratio requires a 32.6% minority acceptance rate which is doable as the offer is reasonable.   


Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP): Honda’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets including the US, the Europe and China due to higher ASPs and lack of logistics, maintenance and repair.</li>
<li>However, there has been a rapid growth in EV related investment in the region recently, focusing on developing domestic EV markets to make them more affordable while conserving the environment.</li>
<li>The governments have put forward several incentives such as government funding, tax incentives to buy EVs, while introducing measures to discourage the use of ICE vehicles.</li>
</ul>


EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets including the US, the Europe and China due to higher ASPs and lack of logistics, maintenance and repair.
However, there has been a rapid growth in EV related investment in the region recently, focusing on developing domestic EV markets to make them more affordable while conserving the environment.
The governments have put forward several incentives such as government funding, tax incentives to buy EVs, while introducing measures to discourage the use of ICE vehicles.


ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -0.8% on Friday, -1.8%WoW as recession fears resurface post -ve EU PMI, amidst rate hikes to combat inflation; Carmax +10% on earnings beat, but used car px falling</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.6% disc to Cash; USDJPY 143.7 reflecting disparity between Japan rates vs Global; Yet JP inflation remains elevated; JIC ¥1trn bid for JSR(4183); Oriental Land hikes px-es</li>
<li>NUGGET. Cosmo Energy(5021) - set back for Japan corporate governance. The Fourth Estate - Your turn.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -0.8% on Friday, -1.8%WoW as recession fears resurface post -ve EU PMI, amidst rate hikes to combat inflation; Carmax +10% on earnings beat, but used car px falling
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.6% disc to Cash; USDJPY 143.7 reflecting disparity between Japan rates vs Global; Yet JP inflation remains elevated; JIC ¥1trn bid for JSR(4183); Oriental Land hikes px-es
NUGGET. Cosmo Energy(5021) - set back for Japan corporate governance. The Fourth Estate - Your turn.


Ohayo Japan|Correction Mode as Recession Fears Reassert; NUGGET: Cosmo Energy (5021) - SHAME ON YOU

Japan

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, and power products such as generators and farm machinery. The Company also operates a financial credit business. Honda Motor has manufacturing facilities in the US, Canada, the UK, France, Italy, Spain, Brazil, Mexico, India, and Thailand.

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Honda Motor (7267 JP)

Ohayo Japan |Rates Rocket-Equities Take Heed; NUGGET: Profit Renaissance for Japan's Defense Sector

ADP numbers drive Bond and Equity Sell off; NKY Futs -1.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.1; Expect further follow through of yesterday's NKY sell off; Yen...

Mark Chadwick

Robosense Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Robosense Technology (RT) is looking to raise around US$300m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by JPM and China...

Sumeet Singh

Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP): Honda’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer

Achieving the 66.67% minimum ownership ratio requires a 32.6% minority acceptance rate which is doable as the offer is reasonable. At the last...

Arun George

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets. However, there has been rapid growth in EV related investment recently, aiming...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Ohayo Japan|Correction Mode as Recession Fears Reassert; NUGGET: Cosmo Energy (5021) - SHAME ON YOU

Stocks fall on recession fears/higher rates. NKY Futs -0.6% disc to Cash; USDJPY 143.7 JP inflation remains elevated - BOJ pickle ? JIC ¥1trn bid...

Mark Chadwick

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