Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearly a third of the way through the review period, we see 12 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be one change to the index in July/August following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nice-information-service-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20236:1" rel="noopener">Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS)</a>'s transfer from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and there could be further outperformance as we go through the review period.</li>
</ul>


Nearly a third of the way through the review period, we see 12 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY) at the December rebalance.
There could be one change to the index in July/August following Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS)'s transfer from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and there could be further outperformance as we go through the review period.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Potential Changes from Now to December

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>KRX is expected to announce the KOSDAQ150 rebalance in the next couple of weeks. </li>
<li>An alpha generating trading strategy would be to focus on companies with higher probability of getting deleted in the next round of KOSDAQ rebalance in December.  </li>
<li>These 15 companies are those among the bottom 30 market cap in KOSDAQ150 that are ranked number 16 to 30 in terms of combined market cap and trading value range. </li>
</ul>


KRX is expected to announce the KOSDAQ150 rebalance in the next couple of weeks. 
An alpha generating trading strategy would be to focus on companies with higher probability of getting deleted in the next round of KOSDAQ rebalance in December.  
These 15 companies are those among the bottom 30 market cap in KOSDAQ150 that are ranked number 16 to 30 in terms of combined market cap and trading value range. 


Alpha Generating Trading Strategy of KOSDAQ150 Deletions & Additions in June 2022

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Here are the tradable stocks for Long/Short position buildups for the KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing in June.</li>
<li>LONG (Additions): <strong>Dear U (376300 KS), Vidente (121800 KS), GOLFZON (215000 KS), Hana Micron (067310 KS), Danal (064260 KS), &amp; Intellian Technologies (189300 KS) </strong>
</li>
<li>SHORT (Deletions): <strong>Daea Ti (045390 KS), Advanced Process Systems (265520 KS), Unison (018000 KS), Danawa (119860 KS), OE Solutions (138080 KS), &amp; Toptec (108230 KS) </strong>
</li>
</ul>


Here are the tradable stocks for Long/Short position buildups for the KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing in June.
LONG (Additions): Dear U (376300 KS), Vidente (121800 KS), GOLFZON (215000 KS), Hana Micron (067310 KS), Danal (064260 KS), &amp; Intellian Technologies (189300 KS) 

SHORT (Deletions): Daea Ti (045390 KS), Advanced Process Systems (265520 KS), Unison (018000 KS), Danawa (119860 KS), OE Solutions (138080 KS), &amp; Toptec (108230 KS) 



KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing in June: Safely Tradable Names for Position Buildups at This Point

<ul>
<li>One third of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 14 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 6.29% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.</li>
<li>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions and are starting to lose some ground now. The potential inclusions are not short sell eligible and could move higher again.</li>
</ul>


One third of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 14 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX).
One-Way turnover is estimated at 6.29% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions and are starting to lose some ground now. The potential inclusions are not short sell eligible and could move higher again.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (June 2022): Lots of Changes Early in the Review Period

<p>The GS merger is coming to an end.</p><p>The exercise of the stock appraisal right will be completed on the following Monday, and the trading suspension of GS Home Shopping stock will start from the following Tuesday.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Timetable"}'>Timetable</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Trade suspension (GS Home Shopping)"}'><strong>Trade suspension (GS Home Shopping)</strong></td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2021. 6. 29 ~ 7. 15"}'><strong>It begins on June 29 and runs until July 15.</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Listing"}'>Listing of new shares</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44393}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'>2021. 7. 16</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Currently, the merger arbitrage yield remains below 2%.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Spread - swap"}'>Spread - swap</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Acquirer"}'>Acquirer</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Target company"}'>Target company</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current price"}'>Current price</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":36500}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(Terms!R[2]C[0], "price")'>₩36,500</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":151400}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(Terms!R[5]C[-1], "price")'>₩151,400</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap price"}'>Swap price</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":33800}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[7]C[0]">₩33,800</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":142762}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[13]C[-1]">₩142,762</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - x Swap ratio"}'>- x Swap ratio</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":154164.4441}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*Terms!R[15]C[0]">₩154,164</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":151400}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]">₩151,400</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Spread"}'><strong>Spread</strong></td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.01825920805812413}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[-1]C[0]-R[-1]C[1])/R[-1]C[1]"><strong>1.83%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART &amp; KRX"}'>Source: DART &amp; KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><section class="figure"><p>The merger arbitrage yield has remained at 3% since the beginning of this month but has recently fallen to 2%.</p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/214/987/original/GS+Retail+%26+GS+Home+Shopping+merger+swap+arb+yield.png?1624505472" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="214987"></figure><p>This appears to be due to the fact that the stock prices of both companies to be merged greatly exceeded the exercise price of the stock appraisal, so there was little incentive to attract arb traders.</p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Spread - stock purchase"}'>Spread - stock purchase</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Acquirer"}'>Acquirer - GS Retail</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Target company"}'>Target company - GS Home Shopping</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current price"}'>Current price</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":36450}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-7]C[0]">₩36,450</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":150900}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-7]C[0]">₩150,900</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Exercise price"}'>Exercise price</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":34125}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[12]C[0]">₩34,125</td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":138855}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[13]C[-1]">₩138,855</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Premium"}'><strong> - Premium to the exercise price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.06813186813186813}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0])/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>6.81%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.0867451658204602}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0])/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>8.67%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART &amp; KRX"}'>Source: DART &amp; KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></section>

The GS merger is coming to an end.The exercise of the stock appraisal right will be completed on the following Monday, and the trading suspension of GS Home Shopping stock will start from the following Tuesday.





Timetable

Trade suspension (GS Home Shopping)
It begins on June 29 and runs until July 15.


Listing of new shares
2021. 7. 16

Source: DART

Currently, the merger arbitrage yield remains below 2%.







Spread - swap
Acquirer
Target company


Current price
₩36,500
₩151,400


Swap price
₩33,800
₩142,762


- x Swap ratio
₩154,164
₩151,400


Spread
1.83%

Source: DART &amp; KRX

The merger arbitrage yield has remained at 3% since the beginning of this month but has recently fallen to 2%.
This appears to be due to the fact that the stock prices of both companies to be merged greatly exceeded the exercise price of the stock appraisal, so there was little incentive to attract arb traders.








Spread - stock purchase
Acquirer - GS Retail
Target company - GS Home Shopping


Current price
₩36,450
₩150,900


Exercise price
₩34,125
₩138,855


 - Premium to the exercise price
6.81%
8.67%

Source: DART &amp; KRX



GS Merger Arb: Let's Capitalize on a Potential Arb Yield Spike on KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing (June 28)

South Korea

E-World owns and operates an amusement park.  The Company's services include theme park rides, movie theaters, concerts, and restaurants.

SM Culture & Contents Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets various golf balls and other golf related products.  Volvik mainly provides its products to Korea, the U.S., and Japan.

Yong Pyong Resort Co., Ltd. operates recreational resorts.  The resorts feature guest rooms and suits, golf course, ski course, water park, and other water sports facilities.  The Company also engages in real estate business focused on leisure facilities.

Shinsegae Food Co., Ltd. caters company restaurants, schools, and hospitals. The Company also markets and provides various groceries to food companies and restaurants.  Shinsegae Food operates family restaurants as well.

ME2ON Co., Ltd. focuses on game entertainment.  The Company's business engages in video game, arcade game, online game, mobile game, PC game and social casino games.

Barunson Co., Ltd. operates family-style restaurants in South Korea.  The Company also produces films, and manufactures stationery and office supplies.

MPK Group Inc. operates a network of Company-owned and franchise Mr Pizza, Jessica's Kitchen and Manoffin&Cafe Stores in South Korea, China and US.  The Company also distributes food ingredients for the 3 brands Mister Pizza, Jessica's Kitchen and Manoffin&Cafe franchise restaurants.

Didim Inc. of Korea operates as a food service company. The Company provides direct restaurant operating, franchis livestock processing, food manufacturing, distribution, and other services. Didim of Korea offers services in Korea.

Ananti Inc. operates as leisure clubs. The Company provides ananti penthouses, ananti coves, ananti clubs, hilton hotels, and other clubs. Ananti offers services throughout South Korea.

Digital Daesung Co., Ltd. provides on-line and off-line educational programs to primary and high school students.  The Company offers college entrance test preparatory courses, testing, e-learning, and college admission advisory services.

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management China Holdings Co Ltd  owns and operates a chain of restaurants in China. The company allows customers to choose from a selection of vegetables, meats, and seafood to cook in their own individual hot pot in its restaurants.

Diamond Dining Co., Ltd. operates theme-based restaurants and cafes mainly in Tokyo.  The Company also offers restaurant planning and management consulting services.

RESORT SOLUTION Co. Ltd. manages resort and leisure facilities, such as amusement parks, hotels, cottages, and golf clubs.

Hotel Royal Limited owns and operates the Hotel Royal in Singapore.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, also manages and invests in properties in Malaysia and New Zealand.

Tosho Company Ltd. operates sports club facilities, hotels, and a golf course in Aichi prefecture.  The Company also sells and manages condominiums.

China Star Entertainment Limited, through its subsidiaries, principally engaged in the production and distribution of films and television drama series that are based in Chinese dialect. The Company also invests the gaming promotion business, property and hotel investments.

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand Limited is involved in the ownership and operation of hotels in New Zealand and Australia.  The Company also is involved in the purchasing and development of real estate in New Zealand.

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ)

EAT&CO LTD conducts restaurant operation through direct and franchise stores. The company also manufactures and distributes frozen food through wholesaler and retalers.

Laguna Resorts & Hotels Public Company Limited conducts hotel and resort business.  The Company operates Banyan Tree Phuket Hotel, Dusit Laguna Resort Hotel, Allmanda Laguna Phuket Hotel, Laguna Beach Resort Hotel, Sheraton Grande Laguna Beach Hotel, all of which are located on Phuket Island.  Additionally, the Company operates golf courses and property development business.

Chimney Co. Ltd. operates Japanese style pub restaurants. The Company operates both its own stores and franchise stores.

Modetour Network Inc. provides a wide range of travel services. The Company's main services include overseas bookings, package tours, air courier services, and discount airline ticketing services.

Price Gauge
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Modetour Network (080160 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Potential Changes from Now to December

There could be 12 changes for the KOSDAQ150 from now to December. The forecast adds have outperformed the potential deletes and there could be more...

Brian Freitas

Alpha Generating Trading Strategy of KOSDAQ150 Deletions & Additions in June 2022

An alpha generating trading strategy would be to focus on companies with higher probability of getting deleted in the next round of KOSDAQ...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing in June: Safely Tradable Names for Position Buildups at This Point

This post screens the tradable stocks for Long/Short position buildups for the KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing, which will occur on the second Thursday in...

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (June 2022): Lots of Changes Early in the Review Period

A third of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential changes to the KOSDAQ150 Index at the June rebalance. A reversal in performance...

Brian Freitas

GS Merger Arb: Let's Capitalize on a Potential Arb Yield Spike on KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing (June 28)

KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing trading on June 28 will cause a temporary drop in GS Home Shopping's share price, leading to a further stretch of the GS...

Sanghyun Park

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