Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the <em><strong>net inflow</strong></em> over the past week was ~US$0.5bn, split (+US$0.26bn) for Shanghai and (+US$0.24bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a></strong>. The largest outflows were in <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International (981 HK)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.5bn, split (+US$0.26bn) for Shanghai and (+US$0.24bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and Tencent (700 HK). The largest outflows were in Meituan (3690 HK) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International (981 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (14 October 2022)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>US Department of Commerce announced new set of export controls on 7 Oct (link) that semiconductors made with US technology for use in advanced computing chips, supercomputers, and advanced semiconductors can only be sold to China with an export licence.</li><li>This first rule targets to 1) tighten existing restrictions on logic IC of 16nm/14nm or below (i.e. FinFET or GAAFET), 2) extends restrictions to memory IC category (DRAM of 18nm or below, and NAND with 128-layer or more), and 3) foreign-owned production facilities located in China will need to apply for approval for related equipment on a case- by-case basis.</li><li>The second rule added China’s memory chipmaker Yangtze Memory and 30 other Chinese entities to “Unverified list”. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

US Department of Commerce announced new set of export controls on 7 Oct (link) that semiconductors made with US technology for use in advanced computing chips, supercomputers, and advanced semiconductors can only be sold to China with an export licence.This first rule targets to 1) tighten existing restrictions on logic IC of 16nm/14nm or below (i.e. FinFET or GAAFET), 2) extends restrictions to memory IC category (DRAM of 18nm or below, and NAND with 128-layer or more), and 3) foreign-owned production facilities located in China will need to apply for approval for related equipment on a case- by-case basis.The second rule added China’s memory chipmaker Yangtze Memory and 30 other Chinese entities to “Unverified list”. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - Implications of US’s new chip export restrictions to China

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Biden makes the most definitive statement to date that the US will defend Taiwan.</li>
<li>Texas Instruments hikes dividend, annouces additional buyback. Will other cash rich semiconductor stocks follow suit?</li>
<li>Intel vs. TSMC/UMC Trade Monitor: We look at performance streaks for the pairs. Intel outperforming over the last trading sessions.</li>
</ul>


Biden makes the most definitive statement to date that the US will defend Taiwan.
Texas Instruments hikes dividend, annouces additional buyback. Will other cash rich semiconductor stocks follow suit?
Intel vs. TSMC/UMC Trade Monitor: We look at performance streaks for the pairs. Intel outperforming over the last trading sessions.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Biden Says US Will Defend Taiwan, Texas Instruments Gives Hope

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Wuxi Biologics (Cayman) Inc and CNOOC. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Wuxi Biologics (Cayman) Inc and CNOOC. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 16th): Chinese Buying Wuxi Biologics After Biden's New Executive Order

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor revenues continue to fall. which appears to be a repeat of the collapse in 2019</li>
<li>Spot market prices, a leading indicator, are soft for both DRAM and NAND flash</li>
<li>It is likely that semiconductor revenues will end the year by returning to the trendline of their historical growth of 3.9%</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor revenues continue to fall. which appears to be a repeat of the collapse in 2019
Spot market prices, a leading indicator, are soft for both DRAM and NAND flash
It is likely that semiconductor revenues will end the year by returning to the trendline of their historical growth of 3.9%


Semiconductors Just Beginning a Long Slide

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (14 October 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$0.15bn, split between Shanghai...

David Blennerhassett

China Technology - Implications of US’s new chip export restrictions to China

Since SMIC was included on Entity List in 2020, we believe most Chinese foundries focus on expansion on 28nm and above processes.

CMB International

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Biden Says US Will Defend Taiwan, Texas Instruments Gives Hope

Also: Intel vs. TSMC/UMC Trade Monitor: We look at performance streaks for the pairs. Intel outperforming over the last trading sessions.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 16th): Chinese Buying Wuxi Biologics After Biden's New Executive Order

We analyzed Hong Connect flows last week and highlight Chinese purchase of Wuxi Biologics post new executive order signed on Monday.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Semiconductors Just Beginning a Long Slide

The semiconductor market is falling and is likely to continue to drop through the end of the year. This presents an opportunity for shorts.

Jim Handy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (14 October 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$0.15bn, split between Shanghai...

David Blennerhassett

China Technology - Implications of US’s new chip export restrictions to China

Since SMIC was included on Entity List in 2020, we believe most Chinese foundries focus on expansion on 28nm and above processes.

CMB International

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Biden Says US Will Defend Taiwan, Texas Instruments Gives Hope

Also: Intel vs. TSMC/UMC Trade Monitor: We look at performance streaks for the pairs. Intel outperforming over the last trading sessions.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 16th): Chinese Buying Wuxi Biologics After Biden's New Executive Order

We analyzed Hong Connect flows last week and highlight Chinese purchase of Wuxi Biologics post new executive order signed on Monday.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Semiconductors Just Beginning a Long Slide

The semiconductor market is falling and is likely to continue to drop through the end of the year. This presents an opportunity for shorts.

Jim Handy

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (14 October 2022)