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Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While continual Covid-19 outbreaks continue to make their mark on earnings season, one commodity is still raking in cash: top-shelf baijiu.</li>
<li>Shrugging off years of official probes into the notoriously graft-plagued industry, luxury brands like Moutai and Wuliangye made a head-spinning amount of money in the first six months of 2022.</li>
<li>In the first half of 2022, Kweichow Moutai Co. Ltd. and Wuliangye Yibin Co. Ltd. retained their long-standing No. 1 and No. 2 positions in the market.</li>
</ul>


While continual Covid-19 outbreaks continue to make their mark on earnings season, one commodity is still raking in cash: top-shelf baijiu.
Shrugging off years of official probes into the notoriously graft-plagued industry, luxury brands like Moutai and Wuliangye made a head-spinning amount of money in the first six months of 2022.
In the first half of 2022, Kweichow Moutai Co. Ltd. and Wuliangye Yibin Co. Ltd. retained their long-standing No. 1 and No. 2 positions in the market.


China’s Big Brand Baijiu-Makers Have a Toast-Worthy First Half

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

Luzhou Laojiao Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Baijiu, the most popular liquor in China, is perhaps one of the most addictive and profitable alcoholic beverages in this planet.</li>
<li>The focus of this insight is a pair trade (go long on Luzhou Laojiao and go short on Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery).</li>
<li>The major reasons for this pair trade include higher sales growth rate and ROE for Luzhou Laojiao as well as capitalize on the recent share weakness of Luzhou vs Jiangsu.</li>
</ul>


Baijiu, the most popular liquor in China, is perhaps one of the most addictive and profitable alcoholic beverages in this planet.
The focus of this insight is a pair trade (go long on Luzhou Laojiao and go short on Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery).
The major reasons for this pair trade include higher sales growth rate and ROE for Luzhou Laojiao as well as capitalize on the recent share weakness of Luzhou vs Jiangsu.


China Beverage: Baijiu - The Most Addictive & Profitable Alcoholic Beverage in This Planet?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI,ACWI ex-U.S.,EAFE, and EM) remain bearish with YTD downtrends intact. Until these indexes reverse downtrends, we are bearish and view bounces as bear market rallies.</li>
<li>Major non-U.S. countries appear to be much further along in the bottoming process, a potential sign that U.S. indexes could take a back seat once global equities finally bottom.</li>
<li>Indexes that have not made a new low since March: Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small, Hang Seng, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50, and China's MSCI China (MCHI-US) and China Internet (KWEB-US).</li>
</ul>


Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI,ACWI ex-U.S.,EAFE, and EM) remain bearish with YTD downtrends intact. Until these indexes reverse downtrends, we are bearish and view bounces as bear market rallies.
Major non-U.S. countries appear to be much further along in the bottoming process, a potential sign that U.S. indexes could take a back seat once global equities finally bottom.
Indexes that have not made a new low since March: Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small, Hang Seng, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50, and China's MSCI China (MCHI-US) and China Internet (KWEB-US).


Hang Seng, MSCI China Near Major Base Breakouts; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's in Hong Kong, China, & Japan

Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

In this report we lay out what we believe is a compelling case to add exposure to two Chinese alcoholic beverage stocks at current levels both of which display bullish price and RS trends: Wuliangye Yibin Class A (000858-CN) and Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Class A (002304-CN). Add exposure.

In this report we lay out what we believe is a compelling case to add exposure to two Chinese alcoholic beverage stocks at current levels both of which display bullish price and RS trends: Wuliangye Yibin Class A (000858-CN) and Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Class A (002304-CN). Add exposure.

Alcoholic Beverage Stocks A Bright Spot In China

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

China (MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while Brazil (Bovespa) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -

China (MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while Brazil (Bovespa) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -

US Dollar Weakness Remains A Tailwind For EM

China

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited produces and distributes beer products.  The Company markets its products throughout China and around the world under the Tsingtao Beer brand name.

Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited is a company principally engaged in the brewing and distribution of beer. The Company produces, imports, markets, distributes over 50 brands including Budweiser, Stella Artois, Corona, Hoegaarden, Cass, and Harbin. The principal markets include China, South Korea, India and Vietnam.

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. produces and markets distilled spirits and wine.

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells liquor products. The Company operates in China.

Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery JSC Ltd. operates as a wine company. The Company produces and distributes wine, liquor, and other related products.

Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery JS (603369 CH)

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co., Ltd. operates in the brewery industry.  The Company's products include beer, spring water, beer raw materials, feeds, yeast, and other related products.

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co, Ltd. (000729 CH)

Luzhou Laojiao Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells spirits products worldwide. The Company also produces glass products, manages hotels, and invests in the real estate business.

Chongqing Brewery Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets beer products.  The Company also produces medical preparations and capsules.

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co., Ltd. produces white spirits, breeds and raises pigs, as well as manufactures feeds.

Shede Spirits Co., Ltd. manufactures liquor products. The Company produces high end liquor, low end liquor, mid end liquor, and other products. Shede Spirits markets its products throughout China.

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is an alcoholic beverage retailer.

Brown-Forman Corporation manufactures, bottles, imports, exports, and markets a wide variety of alcoholic beverage brands. The Company's products include branded whiskey, vodka, wines, tequila, bourbon, and gin.

United Spirits Ltd. manufactures and distributes alcoholic beverages. The Company provides a variety of alcohols and spirits, including whiskey, brandy, and rum. United Spirits also manufactures indian-made foreign liquor brands. United Spirits serves customers worldwide.

Molson Coors Brewing Company operates as a brewing company. The Company brews and produces beer. Molson Coors Brewing serves customers worldwide.

Suntory Beverage & Food Ltd manufacture and sells beverages and food products worldwide. The company is a part of Suntory Holdings ltd.

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. produces beer and other beverages including non-alcoholic drinks. The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

Coca-Cola Bottling Company Consolidated operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages such as energy drinks, bottled water, tea, ready-to-drink coffee, enhanced water, juices, and sports drinks.

Coca Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated (COKE US)

Kirin Holdings Company, Limited produces beer, soft drinks, food products, whisky, and pharmaceuticals.  The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

Heineken Holding NV, through its subsidiary produces and distributes beverages internationally.  The Company produces beers, spirits, wines, and soft drinks under various brand names. Heineken operates through numerous subsidiaries and associated companies worldwide.

Coca-Cola HBC AG is one of the bottlers in the Coca-Cola system, operating plants in Europe, Africa, and Asia. The Company produces, sells, and distributes a wide range of non-alcoholic beverages, including sparkling, juice, water, sport, energy, tea, and coffee.

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Company Ltd. manufactures spirits. The Company's products include white spirits, top-graded gifts liquor, and liquor for daily consumption.

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Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery A (002304 CH)

China’s Big Brand Baijiu-Makers Have a Toast-Worthy First Half

While continual Covid-19 outbreaks continue to make their mark on earnings season, one commodity is still raking in cash: top-shelf baijiu.

Caixin Global

China Beverage: Baijiu - The Most Addictive & Profitable Alcoholic Beverage in This Planet?

Baijiu, the most popular liquor in China, is perhaps one of the most addictive and profitable alcoholic beverages in this planet. We discuss a pair...

Douglas Kim

Hang Seng, MSCI China Near Major Base Breakouts; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's in Hong Kong, China, & Japan

Hong Kong's Hang Seng and China's $MCHI and $KWEB are near major base breakouts. We are watching is 22,700 on Hang Seng and $56.60 on MCHI; we are...

Vermilion Research

Alcoholic Beverage Stocks A Bright Spot In China

We lay out a compelling case to add exposure to two Chinese alcoholic beverage stocks at current levels: Wuliangye Yibin Class A (000858-CN) and...

Vermilion Research

US Dollar Weakness Remains A Tailwind For EM

China accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within EM, while Brazil...

Vermilion Research

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