IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. </li>
<li>The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. </li>
<li>While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. 
The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. 
While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> is on a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>Mr Thomas Lau (Chairman and CEO) is likely following up on the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)</a> with the privatisation of Lifestyle China.  </li>
<li>We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price, suggesting a range of HK$1.00-1.45 per share, with an average of HK$1.23 (a 63.3% premium to the last close).</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) is on a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
Mr Thomas Lau (Chairman and CEO) is likely following up on the privatisation of Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK) with the privatisation of Lifestyle China.  
We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price, suggesting a range of HK$1.00-1.45 per share, with an average of HK$1.23 (a 63.3% premium to the last close).


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Chairman/CEO to Launch Privatisation Offer?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-retail-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:470:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK)</a> disclosed a scheme privatisation offer from the controlling family at HK$6.88 per share, a 40.4% premium to the undisturbed price (HK$4.90 on 22 May).</li>
<li>Key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake has provided an irrevocable. </li>
<li>The offer price is final. The offer is reasonable particularly as the sentiment on the department store sector remains weak. This looks like a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK) disclosed a scheme privatisation offer from the controlling family at HK$6.88 per share, a 40.4% premium to the undisturbed price (HK$4.90 on 22 May).
Key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake has provided an irrevocable. 
The offer price is final. The offer is reasonable particularly as the sentiment on the department store sector remains weak. This looks like a done deal. 


Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK): Controlling Family’s Privatisation Offer at HK$6.88

Lifestyle International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)</a>’s vote on Mr Lau’s offer of HK$5.00 per share is at 10 am on Monday, 21 November. The wide spread of 6.6% reflects vote risk.</li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake. </li>
<li>Ongoing weak Hong Kong retail sales and peers’ slightly de-rating should lower the vote risk. Headcount test not applicable. While light, we continue to expect the offer to succeed.</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)’s vote on Mr Lau’s offer of HK$5.00 per share is at 10 am on Monday, 21 November. The wide spread of 6.6% reflects vote risk.
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake. 
Ongoing weak Hong Kong retail sales and peers’ slightly de-rating should lower the vote risk. Headcount test not applicable. While light, we continue to expect the offer to succeed.


Lifestyle International (1212 HK)’s Wide Spread Heading into the 21 November Vote

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)</a> scheme document is out with the court meeting scheduled for 21 November. The IFA considers the HK$5.00 offer to be fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% rejection). Headcount test not applicable. No shareholder holds a blocking stake.</li>
<li>The offer is light but likely to succeed. At last close and for a 30 December payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 9.6% and 65.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK) scheme document is out with the court meeting scheduled for 21 November. The IFA considers the HK$5.00 offer to be fair and reasonable. 
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% rejection). Headcount test not applicable. No shareholder holds a blocking stake.
The offer is light but likely to succeed. At last close and for a 30 December payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 9.6% and 65.7%, respectively.


Lifestyle International’s Court Meeting on 21 November

China

Intime Retail Group Company Limited operates a department store chain. The Company retails a wide range of consumer products, including apparel, cosmetics, jewelry, footwear, luggage, athletic apparel, home furnishings, electronics, and appliances.

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Intime Retail Group (1612890D HK)

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a...

Arun George

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Chairman/CEO to Launch Privatisation Offer?

We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price, suggesting a range of HK$1.00-1.45 per share, with an average of HK$1.23 (a 63.3%...

Arun George

Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK): Controlling Family’s Privatisation Offer at HK$6.88

The offer price is final. The offer is reasonable particularly as the sentiment on the department store sector remains weak. This looks like a done...

Arun George

Lifestyle International (1212 HK)’s Wide Spread Heading into the 21 November Vote

Ongoing weak Hong Kong retail sales and peers’ slightly de-rating should lower the vote risk. Headcount test not applicable. While light, we...

Arun George

Lifestyle International’s Court Meeting on 21 November

The offer is light but there is no headcount test. No shareholder holds a blocking stake. At the last close, the gross spread to the offer is 9.6%.

Arun George

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