IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Medlive Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medlive-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32985:1" rel="noopener">Medlive Technology (2192 HK)</a> is the largest online professional physician platform in China as measured by the number of registered physician users as of 31 December 2020, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Medlive derives most of its revenue from providing solutions that facilitate healthcare marketing to physicians. Medlive ranked first among physician platform-based digital healthcare marketing service providers in China as measured by revenue in 2020, with a 21.4% market share, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Medlive is a JV between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/m3-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13316:1" rel="noopener">M3 Inc (2413 JP)</a> and Tiantian, each with 50% stakes.</p></div><div><p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$24.10-27.20 per share, Medlive will have a market cap of HK$16,633.2-18,772.8 ($2.1-2.4 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$3,770.8 million ($486 million). </p></div><div><p>Seven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $220 million of the offer shares (42.93% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors include Fidelity Management &amp; Research, FIL Investment Management, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, GIC, Matthews Funds, Qiming Venture Partners and OrbiMed Funds.</p></div><div><div>
<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/medlive-technology-ipo-initiation-what-s-up-doc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53683" rel="noopener">Medlive Technology IPO Initiation: What's Up, Doc?</a>, we stated that Medlive believes that it can compete with several players for a slice of healthcare companies’ marketing budgets due to its large and engaged physician user base, which enables it to reach a wider group of physicians more efficiently and achieve a better return on marketing spending. Medlive has strong fundamentals due to fast-paced revenue growth, rising margin and strong cash generation. We concluded that the Medlive IPO is worth a look. </p>
<div class="content-highlight">
<p>Arguably, the closest peer is Doximity (DOCS US), which listed on 24 June 2021. Doximity had a stonking debut with its shares trading currently 1.2x its IPO price, suggesting strong investor sentiment on the niche physician "social-networking" market monetised primarily through advertising.</p>
<p>Our base-case DCF valuation is HK$31.80 per share, which is 17% above the high-point of the IPO price range. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range and strong blue-chip cornerstone support.</p>
</div>
</div></div>

Medlive Technology (2192 HK) is the largest online professional physician platform in China as measured by the number of registered physician users as of 31 December 2020, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Medlive derives most of its revenue from providing solutions that facilitate healthcare marketing to physicians. Medlive ranked first among physician platform-based digital healthcare marketing service providers in China as measured by revenue in 2020, with a 21.4% market share, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Medlive is a JV between M3 Inc (2413 JP) and Tiantian, each with 50% stakes.At the proposed IPO price range of HK$24.10-27.20 per share, Medlive will have a market cap of HK$16,633.2-18,772.8 ($2.1-2.4 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$3,770.8 million ($486 million). Seven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $220 million of the offer shares (42.93% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors include Fidelity Management &amp; Research, FIL Investment Management, Tencent (700 HK), GIC, Matthews Funds, Qiming Venture Partners and OrbiMed Funds.
In Medlive Technology IPO Initiation: What's Up, Doc?, we stated that Medlive believes that it can compete with several players for a slice of healthcare companies’ marketing budgets due to its large and engaged physician user base, which enables it to reach a wider group of physicians more efficiently and achieve a better return on marketing spending. Medlive has strong fundamentals due to fast-paced revenue growth, rising margin and strong cash generation. We concluded that the Medlive IPO is worth a look. 

Arguably, the closest peer is Doximity (DOCS US), which listed on 24 June 2021. Doximity had a stonking debut with its shares trading currently 1.2x its IPO price, suggesting strong investor sentiment on the niche physician "social-networking" market monetised primarily through advertising.
Our base-case DCF valuation is HK$31.80 per share, which is 17% above the high-point of the IPO price range. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range and strong blue-chip cornerstone support.



Medlive Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

WeDoctor Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wedoctor-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28931:1" rel="noopener">WeDoctor Holdings (1737089D HK)</a> is the largest digital medical service platform in China as measured by both the number of internet hospitals as of 31 December 2020 and the volume of digital medical consultations provided in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. We Doctor was filed for an HKEx IPO to raise around $2-3 billion, according to press reports. We Doctor counts <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, Hillhouse Capital, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)</a>, Sequoia Capital, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldman-sachs-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:785:1" rel="noopener">Goldman Sachs Group (GS US)</a> and Qiming Venture Partners as shareholders. </p><p>In response to the COVID-19 outbreak, individuals have become increasingly focused on personal health and wellbeing which has driven user acceptance of online healthcare platforms. The proportion of digitalisation in the Chinese health market is expected to increase rapidly from 3.3% in 2019 to 24.0% of total healthcare expenditure in 2030, according to Frost and Sullivan.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Consequently, and despite the choppy markets and waning enthusiasm for Chinese tech, the shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a> are up 10%, 1% and 62% YTD, respectively. Overall, for investors willing to brave the IPO markets, we believe that We Doctor is an attractive play on the accelerating digitalisation of China’s healthcare market.</p></div>

WeDoctor Holdings (1737089D HK) is the largest digital medical service platform in China as measured by both the number of internet hospitals as of 31 December 2020 and the volume of digital medical consultations provided in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. We Doctor was filed for an HKEx IPO to raise around $2-3 billion, according to press reports. We Doctor counts Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Hillhouse Capital, AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK), Sequoia Capital, Goldman Sachs Group (GS US) and Qiming Venture Partners as shareholders. In response to the COVID-19 outbreak, individuals have become increasingly focused on personal health and wellbeing which has driven user acceptance of online healthcare platforms. The proportion of digitalisation in the Chinese health market is expected to increase rapidly from 3.3% in 2019 to 24.0% of total healthcare expenditure in 2030, according to Frost and Sullivan.Consequently, and despite the choppy markets and waning enthusiasm for Chinese tech, the shares of Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK), Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK) and JD Health (6618 HK) are up 10%, 1% and 62% YTD, respectively. Overall, for investors willing to brave the IPO markets, we believe that We Doctor is an attractive play on the accelerating digitalisation of China’s healthcare market.

We Doctor IPO Initiation: Patient Revolution

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p><strong>1. Industry viewpoints:</strong></p><ul>
<li>The National Healthcare Security Administration recently released a document about the intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables, so finally it is approaching.</li>
<li>The market of orthopedic implant consumables is still dominated by imported enterprises, and domestic enterprises have a certain gap in market competitiveness compared with foreign giants.</li>
<li>As the market size of China's oncology treatment industry grows, the proportion of targeted drugs and immunotherapy drugs are expected to increase in the future, and private oncology hospitals could get more development opportunities.</li>
</ul><p style="text-align: start;"><strong>2. Company news:</strong> </p><p style="text-align: start;">News about the new equity agreement, strategic cooperation and progress of new drug from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jhbp-cy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29201:1" rel="noopener">JHBP (Genor) (6998 HK)</a>.</p><p style="text-align: start;"><strong>3. </strong><strong>Market review:</strong></p><p style="text-align: start;">Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 0.83%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.71% over the same period of time.</p><p><strong>4. Risk disclosure:</strong></p><p style="text-align: start;">Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.</p>

1. Industry viewpoints:
The National Healthcare Security Administration recently released a document about the intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables, so finally it is approaching.
The market of orthopedic implant consumables is still dominated by imported enterprises, and domestic enterprises have a certain gap in market competitiveness compared with foreign giants.
As the market size of China's oncology treatment industry grows, the proportion of targeted drugs and immunotherapy drugs are expected to increase in the future, and private oncology hospitals could get more development opportunities.
2. Company news: News about the new equity agreement, strategic cooperation and progress of new drug from Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK) and JHBP (Genor) (6998 HK).3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 0.83%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.71% over the same period of time.4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

JD Health International  / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a> is the largest online healthcare platform and the largest online retail pharmacy by revenue in China in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. JD Health will commence trading on Tuesday, 8 December. JD Health priced its IPO at HK$70.58 and <a href="http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/aafn-con/NOW.1061472/ipo-news" target="_blank" rel="noopener">opened 19% higher</a> at HK$84.00 in the grey market and last stood at $89.05, up 26%.</p></div><div>
<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-ipo-initiation-e-ppointments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45106" rel="noopener">JD Health IPO Initiation: E-Ppointments</a>, we opined that JD Health’s fundamentals suggest that it is an attractive play on China’s online healthcare platform industry. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-ipo-phip-new-data-points-and-peer-comparison" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45377" rel="noopener">JD Health IPO: PHIP New Data Points and Peer Comparison</a>, we stated that the new data points disclosed in the PHIP along with our peer analysis reinforce our view that JD Health has attractive fundamentals. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45703" rel="noopener">JD Health IPO: Valuation Insights</a>, we noted that IPO price range is attractive.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>Our base-case DCF derived price target of HK$78.79 per share. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO price continues to provide good upside potential. </p></div>
</div>

JD Health (6618 HK) is the largest online healthcare platform and the largest online retail pharmacy by revenue in China in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. JD Health will commence trading on Tuesday, 8 December. JD Health priced its IPO at HK$70.58 and opened 19% higher at HK$84.00 in the grey market and last stood at $89.05, up 26%.
In JD Health IPO Initiation: E-Ppointments, we opined that JD Health’s fundamentals suggest that it is an attractive play on China’s online healthcare platform industry. In JD Health IPO: PHIP New Data Points and Peer Comparison, we stated that the new data points disclosed in the PHIP along with our peer analysis reinforce our view that JD Health has attractive fundamentals. In JD Health IPO: Valuation Insights, we noted that IPO price range is attractive.
Our base-case DCF derived price target of HK$78.79 per share. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO price continues to provide good upside potential. 


Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

<p>Healthcare’s presence in Asian capital markets has increased substantially over the last four years on the heels of substantial investments in private markets (VC/PE). Policy reforms and changes in listing rules, most notably in China, have led to an explosion of market cap creation for the sector as the universe of companies has expanded to include innovative companies, most notably pre-revenue biopharmaceutical companies. At the same time, substantial investments in digital healthcare, fueled by the COVID-19 pandemic, adds a new source of listed companies. This Insight focuses on leading unlisted healthcare companies in China, India, and ASEAN that have raised substantial amounts of capital and appear to be candidates for listing.   </p>

Healthcare’s presence in Asian capital markets has increased substantially over the last four years on the heels of substantial investments in private markets (VC/PE). Policy reforms and changes in listing rules, most notably in China, have led to an explosion of market cap creation for the sector as the universe of companies has expanded to include innovative companies, most notably pre-revenue biopharmaceutical companies. At the same time, substantial investments in digital healthcare, fueled by the COVID-19 pandemic, adds a new source of listed companies. This Insight focuses on leading unlisted healthcare companies in China, India, and ASEAN that have raised substantial amounts of capital and appear to be candidates for listing.   

China

Beijing Honggao Creative Construction Design Co., Ltd mainly engages in engineering design, landscape design, furniture design, arts & crafts design and sale of contruction materials.

Beijing Honggao Cretv Constn Dsgn (002504 CH)

Shanghai Huahongjt Smart System Company Limited develops, integrates and sells non-contact IC card auto toll systems. The Company's main products include rail transportation automatic fare collection systems, and city card automatic fare collection systems.

Shanghai Huahong Jtng Smrt Systm (300330 CH)

Pacific Online Ltd provides Internet content in the Peoples Republic of China. The Company operates multiple portal sites that offers content that includes information technology product related content and automobile related content, personal computer games, womens lifestyle related topics, and parenting related issues.

Suzhou New Sea Union Telecom Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and markets telecommunication products. The company's products include telecommunication networking equipment and software, related electronic products, cable, security products and so on.

Suzhou New Sea Union Tlcm Tchnlgy (002089 CH)

Nanjing Sample Technology Company Limited develops and provides video security system solutions in China targeting on government authorities.  The Company's products are used in the traffic monitoring and control sector as well as the customs logistics monitoring sector.  Nanjing Sample also sells computer products.

Beijing Beida Jade Bird Universal Sci-Tech Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells network security system, wireless fire alarm system, security ICs, smart card application system, and remote meter reading system.  The Company also trades computers and related products as well as develops properties.

Guangdong Chaohua Technology Company, Ltd. produces printed circuit board and copper clad laminate. The Company manufactures upstream products such as electrolytic copper foil, wood pulp paper for copper clad laminate, solder mask, resistant ink, and legend. Guangdong Chaohua Technology Company serves customers and clients internationally.

Sinosoft Technology Group Limited is a provider of application software products and solutions. The Company principally develops and markets export tax software and related services, carbon management solutions, e-Government solutions.

Babytree Group operates Chinese parenting website. The Company and its subsidiaries, engaged in the advertising, e-commerce, and content monetization businesses. Babytree Group provides services for worldwide customers.

Bluedon Information Safe Technology Co Ltd provides information security products, information security integration and information security services. The Company's main products include security gateway type products, security audit type products, and application security products.

Bluedon Information Security Tech (300297 CH)

Feiyu Technology International Co Ltd is a video-game developer. The Company is primarily focused on the development and operation of mobile games.

Cypress Technology Co., Ltd. is mainly engaged in the sale of personal computers and peripheral products.  Other businesses include distribution, quotation, and tendering business as an agent for relevant domestic and foreign manufacturers.

Force Mos Technology Co., Ltd. designs and manufactures semiconductor products. The Company produces analog integrated circuits, metal oxide semiconductor field effect transistors, bipolar transistors, and other products. Force Mos Technology markets its products throughout Taiwan.

YD Online Corp. provides consulting and software development services for communication and E-commerce related companies.  The Company also retails E-business related products.

Kuen Chaang Uppertech Corp. distributes semiconductor products.  The Company's products include FETs (Field Effect Transistors), LEDs (Light Emitting Diodes), ICs (Integrated Circuits), optical products, flash memories, and other related products.

SOLXYZ Co., Ltd. develops computer application software for business use.  The Company also provides system integration services as well as management and maintenance services for its clients' computer systems.

Jhen Vei Electronic Co Ltd manufactures and installs cable sockets, computer cables and lighting system.

KYOEI SANGYO CO., LTD. sells electronic equipment and components.  Through its subsidiary, the Company also researches and develops printed circuit boards. Kyoei is an affiliate of Mitsubishi Electric.

NIPPON ANTENNA CO., LTD. manufactures and sells various types of antennas for automobiles, TVs, and communication equipment.  The Company also provides installation services.

SHOWA SHINKU CO., LTD. manufactures and sells vacuum evaporation equipment for quartz crystal and optical films.  The Company also makes semiconductor equipment and flat panels displays.  Showa's products include sputtering equipment, iron plating equipment, vacuum metallurgic equipment, vacuum exhaust equipment, oil-sealed rotary vacuum pumps, and oil diffusion pumps.

111, Inc. operates as a digital and mobile healthcare platform. The Company offers pharmacy distribution, medical consultancy, e-prescription, and other services. 111 serves patients in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

111 Inc (YI US)

Medlive Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

Our base-case DCF valuation is HK$31.80 per share. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive price range and strong blue-chip...

Arun George

We Doctor IPO Initiation: Patient Revolution

We Doctor was filed for an HKEx IPO to raise around $2-3 bn. For investors willing to brave the IPO markets, We Doctor is an attractive play on the...

Arun George

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.19)

The article analyzed intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables & its market pattern, trend of China's oncology treatment...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

JD Health IPO: Trading Debut

JD Health priced its IPO at HK$70.58 and opened 19% higher at HK$84.00 in the grey market. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO price...

Arun George

Asian Healthcare - Coming of Age

This Smartkarma Originals Insight highlights 20 leading unlisted healthcare companies in Asia, mainly in digital healthcare and biopharma, that are...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)