Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)</a> announced a profit warning this morning, expecting a 90% decline in net profit for 1H23.  </li>
<li>Luxury auto dealer in China is facing major uncertainties in its business model, with no visibility in the near term.  </li>
<li>However, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> currently employs the best long-term strategy amidst industry transformation.  Suggest to keep a close eye on the name. </li>
</ul>



China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) announced a profit warning this morning, expecting a 90% decline in net profit for 1H23.  
Luxury auto dealer in China is facing major uncertainties in its business model, with no visibility in the near term.  
However, Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) currently employs the best long-term strategy amidst industry transformation.  Suggest to keep a close eye on the name. 


Zhongsheng Group (881 HK):  Could Be A Winner In The Long Run, But No Short-Term Visibility

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After rallying a fair bit at the beginning of 2023, we have seen sharp pullbacks in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eva-precision-industrial-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17511:1" rel="noopener">Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)</a> share prices.</li>
<li>We believe the price cuts highlighted by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/victoria-li-37be10a4-61ab-4f2c-8657-201b7837050d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:780" rel="noopener">Victoria Li</a> in her insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-auto-ice-price-war-triggered-by-dongfeng-jv-players-under-pressure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97517" rel="noopener">China Auto: ICE Price War Triggered by Dongfeng, JV Players Under Pressure</a> are a significant cause. </li>
<li>While we like both stocks and they are cheap, we feel both companies will face short to medium-term pain in their businesses and share prices as the saga unfolds.</li>
</ul>


After rallying a fair bit at the beginning of 2023, we have seen sharp pullbacks in Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) and China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) share prices.
We believe the price cuts highlighted by Victoria Li in her insight China Auto: ICE Price War Triggered by Dongfeng, JV Players Under Pressure are a significant cause. 
While we like both stocks and they are cheap, we feel both companies will face short to medium-term pain in their businesses and share prices as the saga unfolds.


Thoughts On The Recent Pullbacks in Meidong and EVA

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024 sales volumes on 1 Aug.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 33% YoY (ranging from - 22% to +950%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -22% to +10%) in Jul.</li><li>Li Auto beat, NIO in line, Xpeng restocking. Li Auto delivered about 51,000 units (+7% MoM) in Jul, a record high, better than our prior forecast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024 sales volumes on 1 Aug.Total sales volume combined rose 33% YoY (ranging from - 22% to +950%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -22% to +10%) in Jul.Li Auto beat, NIO in line, Xpeng restocking. Li Auto delivered about 51,000 units (+7% MoM) in Jul, a record high, better than our prior forecast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Likely First MoM Rise for Jul NEV Retail Since 2021

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

China

China Meidong Auto Holdings Limited is an automobile dealership and maintenance group in China.

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China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)

Zhongsheng Group (881 HK): Could Be A Winner In The Long Run, But No Short-Term Visibility

Meidong profit warning. Luxury auto dealer's business model in China is facing major uncertainties, with no visibility in the near term.

Steve Zhou, CFA

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.

CMB International

Thoughts On The Recent Pullbacks in Meidong and EVA

Price cuts in the China auto sector are forcing downgrades and share prices to retrace. We understand there will be short/medium-term pain but EVA...

Sameer Taneja

Auto - Likely First MoM Rise for Jul NEV Retail Since 2021

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024...

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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