External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Dec 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Dec 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Jan 2025 NEV Sales to Fall MoM Despite Solid Dec Leading Indicators

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Despite strong headwinds that dealers faced, we still project Meidong’s 1H24 net profit to be positive with subsidies from Porsche and Lexus.</li><li>We expect industrywide headwinds to continue in 2H24 but we believe investors could turn a bit more positive on Meidong’s FY25 outlook given removal of the convertible bond (CB) burden and a new NEV model cycle for BMW.</li><li>We project 1H24E net profit to be RMB43mn assuming no significant impairment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Despite strong headwinds that dealers faced, we still project Meidong’s 1H24 net profit to be positive with subsidies from Porsche and Lexus.We expect industrywide headwinds to continue in 2H24 but we believe investors could turn a bit more positive on Meidong’s FY25 outlook given removal of the convertible bond (CB) burden and a new NEV model cycle for BMW.We project 1H24E net profit to be RMB43mn assuming no significant impairment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Meidong Auto (1268 HK) - We Expect 1H24 to Be Still Profitable

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We estimate that Meidong’s net profit excluding impairment and withholding tax impact in 2H23E could be a similar level to that in 1H23, as the higher portion of after-sales service profit and cost cuts could offset the HoH decline for new-car GPM.</li><li>However, we are of the view that impairment for goodwill and/or intangible assets is likely in 2H23E.</li><li>We project FY24E net profit to be RMB371mn, as Porsche’s new-car GPM is likely to improve from 2Q24E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We estimate that Meidong’s net profit excluding impairment and withholding tax impact in 2H23E could be a similar level to that in 1H23, as the higher portion of after-sales service profit and cost cuts could offset the HoH decline for new-car GPM.However, we are of the view that impairment for goodwill and/or intangible assets is likely in 2H23E.We project FY24E net profit to be RMB371mn, as Porsche’s new-car GPM is likely to improve from 2Q24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – The Terrible 2023 Is Behind Us

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

<ul><li>Despite a pre-buying effect in 2024, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales volume to be still resilient in 2025.</li><li>We also project new-energy vehicle (NEV) market share to reach 57.8% in 2025E on a retail basis, which could make NEVs become mainstream in most price segments.</li><li>While some key themes including competition and the rising importance of new models are likely to continue in 2025, we also need to be prepared for new trends.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite a pre-buying effect in 2024, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales volume to be still resilient in 2025.We also project new-energy vehicle (NEV) market share to reach 57.8% in 2025E on a retail basis, which could make NEVs become mainstream in most price segments.While some key themes including competition and the rising importance of new models are likely to continue in 2025, we also need to be prepared for new trends.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 2025 Outlook: Likely a replica of 2024, but more

China

China Meidong Auto Holdings Limited is an automobile dealership and maintenance group in China.

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China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)

Auto - Jan 2025 NEV Sales to Fall MoM Despite Solid Dec Leading Indicators

We summarize the Dec 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

Meidong Auto (1268 HK) - We Expect 1H24 to Be Still Profitable

Maintain BUY. Despite strong headwinds that dealers faced, we still project Meidong’s 1H24 net profit to be positive with subsidies from Porsche...

CMB International