HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

AviChina Industry & Technology H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avichina-industry-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16315:1" rel="noopener">AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK)</a> offers unique exposure to China's aerospace and defense sector and it will ride on China's ambition to solidify its military strengths. </li>
<li>We think the key drivers are increase in civil and defense demand, commercialisation of C919 aircraft, localisation of helicopters and potential for corporate restructuring.</li>
<li>The stock is undervalued with its holdings in four listed A-shares amounted to Rmb70.6bn, against its own market cap of HK$25bn. Also, earnings multiples are cheap relative to global peers.</li>
</ul>



AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK) offers unique exposure to China's aerospace and defense sector and it will ride on China's ambition to solidify its military strengths. 
We think the key drivers are increase in civil and defense demand, commercialisation of C919 aircraft, localisation of helicopters and potential for corporate restructuring.
The stock is undervalued with its holdings in four listed A-shares amounted to Rmb70.6bn, against its own market cap of HK$25bn. Also, earnings multiples are cheap relative to global peers.


2023 High Conviction: AviChina Industry (2357 HK) - The Sky Is the Limit

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese and global airlines completed only 70% of their planned international flights to China in the three weeks through Monday, signaling that recent easing of some inbound travel restrictions didn’t boost travel demand.</li><li>From Oct. 30 to Nov. 21, 3,595 international flights reached Chinese cities, including Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan.</li><li>Although that was up from the same period last year, the total was still just 6% of the pre-pandemic level in 2019.</li></ul>

Chinese and global airlines completed only 70% of their planned international flights to China in the three weeks through Monday, signaling that recent easing of some inbound travel restrictions didn’t boost travel demand.From Oct. 30 to Nov. 21, 3,595 international flights reached Chinese cities, including Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan.Although that was up from the same period last year, the total was still just 6% of the pre-pandemic level in 2019.

Airlines Complete Only 70% of Planned International China Flights

<ul>
<li>China's twists in its COVID combating measures are positive to the economy as many quarantine requirements are relaxed and secondary contacts are not identified and traced.</li>
<li>The latest change should bring more spending confidence to the consumers, and this will benefit consumer discretionary companies in the retail and F&amp;B sectors. </li>
<li>Relaxed quarantine requirements are positive to the travel and hospitality companies. Chinese airlines and international air tickets have seen immediate demand surge after the announcement.  </li>
</ul>


China's twists in its COVID combating measures are positive to the economy as many quarantine requirements are relaxed and secondary contacts are not identified and traced.
The latest change should bring more spending confidence to the consumers, and this will benefit consumer discretionary companies in the retail and F&amp;B sectors. 
Relaxed quarantine requirements are positive to the travel and hospitality companies. Chinese airlines and international air tickets have seen immediate demand surge after the announcement.  


China's Latest COVID Policy: What Are the Plays?

<ul><li>Chinese airlines are to resume more international flights as the nation gradually eases tough rules that aim to prevent the spread of Covid-19.</li><li>The resumed routes will include flights to Tokyo, Bangkok, Seoul and Dubai, mostly from cities in the country’s prosperous coastal provinces.</li><li>International routes to and from China are operating at about one-twentieth the rate they did before the novel coronavirus emerged late in 2019.</li></ul>

Chinese airlines are to resume more international flights as the nation gradually eases tough rules that aim to prevent the spread of Covid-19.The resumed routes will include flights to Tokyo, Bangkok, Seoul and Dubai, mostly from cities in the country’s prosperous coastal provinces.International routes to and from China are operating at about one-twentieth the rate they did before the novel coronavirus emerged late in 2019.

Chinese Airlines to Add International Routes in Wake of Eased Covid Rules

<ul>
<li>Despite record losses in 2Q22, share price of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK)</a> has rallied 14% YTD, outperformed the 23.9% decline in HSCEI and its Chinese peers. </li>
<li>Air China's stub value has returned to pre-pandemic level, but is primarily driven by the A-share. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific (293 HK)</a> recovery is an important catalyst for narrowing H-A share discount.</li>
<li>News flow over the next 12 months, mostly related to further relaxation of quarantine requirements, will be positive. The surge in demand should support elevated passenger yield.  </li>
</ul>


Despite record losses in 2Q22, share price of Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK) has rallied 14% YTD, outperformed the 23.9% decline in HSCEI and its Chinese peers. 
Air China's stub value has returned to pre-pandemic level, but is primarily driven by the A-share. Cathay Pacific (293 HK) recovery is an important catalyst for narrowing H-A share discount.
News flow over the next 12 months, mostly related to further relaxation of quarantine requirements, will be positive. The surge in demand should support elevated passenger yield.  


Air China (753 HK): Can It Sustain the Outperformance?

China

China Southern Airlines Company Limited provides commercial airline services throughout China, Southeast Asia and other parts of the world.  The Company also provides other airline related services including aircraft maintenance and air catering.

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China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)

2023 High Conviction: AviChina Industry (2357 HK) - The Sky Is the Limit

AviChina is cheap against global peers and key drivers are increase in civil and defense demand, commercialisation of C919 aircraft, localisation...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Airlines Complete Only 70% of Planned International China Flights

Chinese and global airlines completed only 70% of their planned international flights to China in the three weeks through Monday

Caixin Global

China's Latest COVID Policy: What Are the Plays?

The refined COVID combating measures in China is welcoming and should benefit the consumer discretionary, travel and hospitality and airlines...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Chinese Airlines to Add International Routes in Wake of Eased Covid Rules

Chinese airlines are to resume more international flights as the nation gradually eases tough rules that aim to prevent the spread of Covid-19.

Caixin Global

Air China (753 HK): Can It Sustain the Outperformance?

Air China's stub value (ex-Cathay Pacific) has returned to pre-pandemic level, driven primarily by the A-share. We expect discount of H-share to A...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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