External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk P / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We expect ICBP and the Distribution division to drive FY24F performance, supporting estimated top line growth of 5.7% yoy. </li><li>With the expectation of stable CPO and wheat prices, we expect robust margins to be maintained in FY24F.</li><li>We forecast FY24-25F core profit growth of 3.9% yoy and 7.2% yoy; maintain Buy rating with maintained TP at Rp8,000.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect ICBP and the Distribution division to drive FY24F performance, supporting estimated top line growth of 5.7% yoy. With the expectation of stable CPO and wheat prices, we expect robust margins to be maintained in FY24F.We forecast FY24-25F core profit growth of 3.9% yoy and 7.2% yoy; maintain Buy rating with maintained TP at Rp8,000.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indofood Sukses Makmur  - Still a Sound Value Proposition

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)</li><li>We see limited catalysts for 3Q24, aside from rev growth from export markets (for ICBP and MYOR).</li><li>We maintain OW rating on the sector; ICBP (TP of Rp12,900) and MYOR (TP of Rp3,200) remain as our top picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)We see limited catalysts for 3Q24, aside from rev growth from export markets (for ICBP and MYOR).We maintain OW rating on the sector; ICBP (TP of Rp12,900) and MYOR (TP of Rp3,200) remain as our top picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: Expect Solid Core Profit Growth on Better Margins, Revenue Growth May Remain Soft

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.</li><li>This is reinforced by the GDP deflator, which recorded a negative growth of -0.8% YoY in 1Q24.</li><li>Our rationale for why consumer staples remain unfavorable aligns with the current monetary policies.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.This is reinforced by the GDP deflator, which recorded a negative growth of -0.8% YoY in 1Q24.Our rationale for why consumer staples remain unfavorable aligns with the current monetary policies.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Staples Sectoral Update May 21, 2024

<ul><li>With the FMCG market having sound growth prospects, we estimate FY24F growth of 7% yoy.</li><li>Some categories still showed promising growth in 3Q23, despite the market’s overall volume contraction.</li><li>We maintain our sector OW rating and expect ICBP (TP Rp13,000) and MYOR (TP Rp3,500) to fare better under a soft recovery scenario.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With the FMCG market having sound growth prospects, we estimate FY24F growth of 7% yoy.Some categories still showed promising growth in 3Q23, despite the market’s overall volume contraction.We maintain our sector OW rating and expect ICBP (TP Rp13,000) and MYOR (TP Rp3,500) to fare better under a soft recovery scenario.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: Room for Growth Is Still in Store (OVERWEIGHT)

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indofood-cbp-sukses-makmur-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17651:1" rel="noopener">Indofood CBP Sukses (ICBP IJ)</a> has weathered the worst of higher raw material prices and is now seeing the benefits of lower input costs, benefiting margins.</li>
<li>The company is a core beneficiary of pre-election spending as its products are often given as gifts during campaigning. ICBP is also seeing strong performance in its export markets.</li>
<li>ICBP should increasingly be seen as an emerging market staples player, with globally recognised brands such as Indomie and Chitato. Valuations do not reflect this.</li>
</ul>



Indofood CBP Sukses (ICBP IJ) has weathered the worst of higher raw material prices and is now seeing the benefits of lower input costs, benefiting margins.
The company is a core beneficiary of pre-election spending as its products are often given as gifts during campaigning. ICBP is also seeing strong performance in its export markets.
ICBP should increasingly be seen as an emerging market staples player, with globally recognised brands such as Indomie and Chitato. Valuations do not reflect this.


Indofood CBP Sukses (ICBP IJ) - FMCG On Track at Home and Abroad

Indonesia

PT Mayora Indah Tbk manufactures candies and cookies.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures food, coffee powder, instant coffee, and cocoa beans.

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading Company Tbk operates in the food and beverage industry. The Company produces aseptic drinks such as liquid milk, fruit juices and health drinks. Ultrajaya Milk also produces butter, powder milk and sweet condensed milk.

PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk manufactures animal feed, breeds and processes chickens, and operates aquaculture farms.  The Company trades its products domestically and internationally.

PT Siantar Top Tbk manufactures a variety of snack food products.  The Company produces snack noodles, crackers, and candies under the brand names Fuji Mie, Mie Goreng, Olala, Tamiku, Twistko, Tic-Tic, Twistball, Fuji Chips, Tovie Candy, Balico-Kelapa, and XUXU.

PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk manufactures and distributes animal feeds, woven plastic bags, and poultry equipment as well as processes chicken.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates poultry farms and distributes its products.

Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk PT and its subsidiaries develops oil palm and tea plantations.  The Company produces and trades crude palm oil, palm kernel oil, tea, and refined palm products such as cooking oil and margarine.  Sinar Mas also manufactures packaging products such as bottles and caps as well as provides management services.

Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk PT (SMAR IJ)

Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk PT

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk operates rubber plantations and manufactures cooking oil. Through its subsidiaries,  the Company also operates a variety of other plantations such as palm oil, tea, and cocoa plantations.

PT Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk operates in the agriculture industry. The Company trades in palm oil.

PT Dharma Satya Nusantara TBK is a palm oil and wood processing company. The Company is currently concentrating on three types of integrated businesses: wood products, timber estates and plantations.

PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk produces, manufactures and distributes cooking oil, margarine, and shortening. The Company has its own palm plantation and factories. Salim distributes its product worldwide.

Nisshin Seifun Group Inc. produces and sells flour, fodder, processed foods, and medicines. The Company offers specialized pasta sauce, frozen foods, and gourmet soup. Nisshin Seifun Group also markets pet foods.

Golden Agri-Resources Limited cultivates, harvests, processes, distributes, and sells crude palm oil and palm kernel.  The Company also refines crude palm oil into cooking oil, margarine, and shortening for sale and distribution.

Seaboard Corporation is a diversified international agribusiness and transportation company that primarily produces and processes domestic pork and ships cargo.  The Company also merchandises commodities, mills flour and feed, farms produce, produces sugar, and generates electric power overseas.

NICHIREI CORPORATION produces and distributes frozen food, ice, and meat products.  The Company also provides a variety of cold storage services, as well as manages leasing business for buildings and parking garages.

Hatsun Agro Products Limited manufactures skimmed milk powder, skimmed milk powd er blends, instant skimmed milk powder, whole milk powder, and full cream milk p owder.

Samyang Foods Co., Ltd. manufactures instant and processed food products, such as noodles, snacks, cooking oil, and feed.  The Company also produces dairy goods including milk, cheese, and ice cream.

Heilongjiang Agriculture Co., Ltd. plants, processes, and sells rice, soybean, wheat, corn, and other grain products.  The Company also produces fertilizers and sells paper products.

Kewpie Corporation mainly produces and sells mayonnaise, salad dressing, egg products, and health foods.  The Company also purchases and sells jam, sauce, canned and frozen foods.  Kewpie sells canned foods under Aohata brand.

QL Resources Berhad is an investment holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures and sells fishmeal, surimi, and surimi based products, distributes animal feed raw materials, animal health products, and layer farming, and cultivates oil palm and crude palm oil milling.

NH Foods Ltd. produces and sells ham, sausage, and processed meat products. The Company also breeds and raises cattle through its subsidiary. NH Foods owns a professional baseball team, the Nippon Ham Fighters.

PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk and its subsidiaries manufacture instant noodles, wheat flour, baby food, food seasonings, coffee, cooking oil, and snacks.

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Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk P (INDF IJ)

Indofood Sukses Makmur - Still a Sound Value Proposition

We expect ICBP and the Distribution division to drive FY24F performance, supporting estimated top line growth of 5.7% yoy. With the expectation of...

BRI Danareksa Research

Consumer: Expect Solid Core Profit Growth on Better Margins, Revenue Growth May Remain Soft

We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)

BRI Danareksa Research

Consumer Staples Sectoral Update May 21, 2024

Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.

MNC Sekuritas

Consumer: Room for Growth Is Still in Store (OVERWEIGHT)

We maintain our sector OW rating and expect ICBP (TP Rp13,000) and MYOR (TP Rp3,500) to fare better under a soft recovery scenario.

BRI Danareksa Research

Indofood CBP Sukses (ICBP IJ) - FMCG On Track at Home and Abroad

Indofood CBP should increasingly be seen as an emerging market consumer staples player, with globally recognised brands such as Indomie and...

Angus Mackintosh

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