Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>There are expectations that Korea's Value Up index could resemble JPX Prime 150 index which is a Japanese version of the value up index launched last year.</li>
<li>We provide 70 stocks in Korea that could be included in the Korea Value Up index. These 70 stocks could outperform the market in the next several months.</li>
</ul>


Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.
There are expectations that Korea's Value Up index could resemble JPX Prime 150 index which is a Japanese version of the value up index launched last year.
We provide 70 stocks in Korea that could be included in the Korea Value Up index. These 70 stocks could outperform the market in the next several months.


Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September

Equity Bottom-Up

Doosan Enerbility Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes construction machines. The Company produces gas turbines, engines, turbine generators, boilers, power plant equipment, and other related products. Doosan Enerbility also offers energy solutions for thermal power, nuclear power, and renewable energy.

<ul>
<li>The Czech Republic government is in the final stages of selecting companies to build four nuclear power plants which could cost nearly US$30 billion.</li>
<li>A Korean consortium including KHNP, Doosan Enerbility, KEPCO E&amp;C, and Daewoo E&amp;C is competing mainly against EDF, a French government owned electric utility company. </li>
<li>If the KHNP consortium is able to win this new order, Doosan Enerbility will be a key beneficiary as it will supply the nuclear reactors and steam generators.</li>
</ul>


The Czech Republic government is in the final stages of selecting companies to build four nuclear power plants which could cost nearly US$30 billion.
A Korean consortium including KHNP, Doosan Enerbility, KEPCO E&amp;C, and Daewoo E&amp;C is competing mainly against EDF, a French government owned electric utility company. 
If the KHNP consortium is able to win this new order, Doosan Enerbility will be a key beneficiary as it will supply the nuclear reactors and steam generators.


Doosan Enerbility: A Key Beneficiary of Potential Nuclear Power Projects Win in the Czech Republic

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Nine companies disclosed value-up plans, with four official and five pending disclosures. Initially, these announcements boosted stock prices, but long-term correlations were inconclusive. Yet, shareholder returns notably rose in H1.</li>
<li>NPS increased stakes in three of the nine recently announced value-up companies. They share traits in value-up trading (large caps &amp; low PBR), potentially guiding our strategy as NPS enters.</li>
<li>BlackRock's Hong Kong branch has recently engaged with six Korean asset management firms for potential entrustment of its Asian fund's Korean investment portion, focusing on the value-up policy.</li>
</ul>


Nine companies disclosed value-up plans, with four official and five pending disclosures. Initially, these announcements boosted stock prices, but long-term correlations were inconclusive. Yet, shareholder returns notably rose in H1.
NPS increased stakes in three of the nine recently announced value-up companies. They share traits in value-up trading (large caps &amp; low PBR), potentially guiding our strategy as NPS enters.
BlackRock's Hong Kong branch has recently engaged with six Korean asset management firms for potential entrustment of its Asian fund's Korean investment portion, focusing on the value-up policy.


Recently Observed Market Flow Movements Related to Korea's Value-Up Initiatives

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Event-Driven

The KOSPI Index is a capitalization-weighted index of all common shares on the Korean Stock Exchanges. The Index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1980. Note: The preferred shares are excluded in calculating the KOSPI Index from June 14, 2002. 

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

<ul>
<li>Today's press release unveils details on new flow trading events in Korea's local market from the second half of this year, highlighting two key points.</li>
<li>Firstly, the disclosure rule starts with block deals from August 23rd. Secondly, a 30% or greater stock price correction on disclosure day may cancel the transaction plan.</li>
<li>This highlights the need to consider cancellation risks in pre-disclosure positions and design setups with consideration for the potential for reverse flows as stock prices approach 30% corrections.</li>
</ul>


Today's press release unveils details on new flow trading events in Korea's local market from the second half of this year, highlighting two key points.
Firstly, the disclosure rule starts with block deals from August 23rd. Secondly, a 30% or greater stock price correction on disclosure day may cancel the transaction plan.
This highlights the need to consider cancellation risks in pre-disclosure positions and design setups with consideration for the potential for reverse flows as stock prices approach 30% corrections.


Details of Block Deal Pre-Disclosure Rule Disclosed: Cancellation Risk from 30% Price Correction

<ul>
<li>Kim Byung-hwan addressed criticism of weak incentives in tax support for the value-up policy, emphasizing boosting dividends. His background suggests effective advocacy for tax reforms in his new role.</li>
<li>He prioritized abolishing the FIIT in the National Assembly, citing its hindrance to capital market liquidity and investment promotion, indicating a robust approach to the value-up policy.</li>
<li>Kim’s appointment as FSC Chairman signals the government's commitment to advancing the value-up policy. He emphasizes boosting dividends and aligning tax policies accordingly, shaping trading strategies toward dividend-expanding companies.</li>
</ul>


Kim Byung-hwan addressed criticism of weak incentives in tax support for the value-up policy, emphasizing boosting dividends. His background suggests effective advocacy for tax reforms in his new role.
He prioritized abolishing the FIIT in the National Assembly, citing its hindrance to capital market liquidity and investment promotion, indicating a robust approach to the value-up policy.
Kim’s appointment as FSC Chairman signals the government's commitment to advancing the value-up policy. He emphasizes boosting dividends and aligning tax policies accordingly, shaping trading strategies toward dividend-expanding companies.


Impact of Kim Byung-Hwan's Appointment as Korea FSC Chairman on Value-Up Policy

Impact of reforms on South Korea Companies