Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets, EM Spreads

Leandro Gubler

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets

EM Spreads

Credit

Telecom Argentina SA provides telecommunications services including local, long-distance and international service in Argentina.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, also provides cellular telecommunications services and offers paging services.

<ul>
<li>We are initiating coverage on Telecom with a Market Perform recommendation. We view the notes as fairly valued considering the uncertainty surrounding the potential acquisition of Telefónica.</li>
<li>Telecom maintains a strong market position, supported by its broad service scale and integrated offerings, which enhance customer retention and operational efficiency.</li>
<li>We believe Telecom is well-positioned to benefit from these trends but see a better entry point once there is greater clarity on the acquisition’s implications.</li>
</ul>


We are initiating coverage on Telecom with a Market Perform recommendation. We view the notes as fairly valued considering the uncertainty surrounding the potential acquisition of Telefónica.
Telecom maintains a strong market position, supported by its broad service scale and integrated offerings, which enhance customer retention and operational efficiency.
We believe Telecom is well-positioned to benefit from these trends but see a better entry point once there is greater clarity on the acquisition’s implications.


Initiating Coverage on Telecom: Solid Market Position but Uncertain Outlook

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Greentown China Holdings Ltd. develops real estate.  The Company builds residential villas, low-rise apartment buildings, and high-rise apartment buildings for middle and high-income people.

<ul>
<li>Greentown China's FY 2024 results were robust, considering its above-industry sales, stable margins and meaningful net debt reduction.</li>
<li>In particular, the property development gross margin remained strong relative to peers.</li>
<li>Importantly, the company has demonstrated good access to onshore and offshore financing.</li>
</ul>


Greentown China's FY 2024 results were robust, considering its above-industry sales, stable margins and meaningful net debt reduction.
In particular, the property development gross margin remained strong relative to peers.
Importantly, the company has demonstrated good access to onshore and offshore financing.


Greentown China - Strong Earnings, Good Net Debt Reduction

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

<ul>
<li>In the US, New York Fed President John Williams said tariffs could produce “more prolonged effects” on inflation, as indirect effects from the new duties “might not be fully felt for a couple of years”.</li>
<li>Mr Williams added that “there’s a lot of uncertainty about how the economy will evolve and a lot of uncertainty about all the policy actions”, and hence expects the US central bank to keep interest rates unchanged for “some time”.</li>
<li>Treasuries gained for a second day yesterday on continued safe-haven flows, ahead of US President Donald Trump’s expected announcement of reciprocal tariffs tomorrow.</li>
</ul>


In the US, New York Fed President John Williams said tariffs could produce “more prolonged effects” on inflation, as indirect effects from the new duties “might not be fully felt for a couple of years”.
Mr Williams added that “there’s a lot of uncertainty about how the economy will evolve and a lot of uncertainty about all the policy actions”, and hence expects the US central bank to keep interest rates unchanged for “some time”.
Treasuries gained for a second day yesterday on continued safe-haven flows, ahead of US President Donald Trump’s expected announcement of reciprocal tariffs tomorrow.


Trung Nguyen

PT Indika Energy Tbk is an energy company. The Company provides energy services, energy resources and infrastructure, primarily in the areas of coal production, engineering, procurement and construction services and power generation services.

<ul>
<li>Indika Energy's FY 2024 results were weak as expected in our view, due to significant challenges amid declining coal prices, with no contributions from its investments in non-coal businesses so far.</li>
<li>The balance sheet worsened significantly during the year.</li>
<li>That said, liquidity remained sound.</li>
</ul>


Indika Energy's FY 2024 results were weak as expected in our view, due to significant challenges amid declining coal prices, with no contributions from its investments in non-coal businesses so far.
The balance sheet worsened significantly during the year.
That said, liquidity remained sound.


Indika Energy - Earnings Flash - FY 2024 Results

Longfor Properties Co. Ltd. operates in the property development, property investment and property management businesses in China.

<ul>
<li>Longfor Group's FY 2024 results were acceptable.</li>
<li>The earnings decline was in line with expectations, driven by lower revenues and margins from the property development segment.</li>
<li>We project that Longfor's contracted sales will continue declining in FY 2025, given the company's slowdown in land bank replenishment.</li>
</ul>


Longfor Group's FY 2024 results were acceptable.
The earnings decline was in line with expectations, driven by lower revenues and margins from the property development segment.
We project that Longfor's contracted sales will continue declining in FY 2025, given the company's slowdown in land bank replenishment.


Longfor Group - Earnings Flash - FY 2024 Results