Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Perfect Medical Health / Equity Bottom-Up

Perfect Medical Health Management (previously Perfect Shape Medical Limited) offers slimming and beauty treatments. The Company provides fat softens and dissolves services, laser freckle services, and other services. Perfect Shape Medical offers services in China.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perfect-medical-health-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3639:1" rel="noopener">Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK)</a> reported weak numbers for H1 FY25, with revenues/PAT down 13%/15% YoY. Given the weak sentiment in HK, this print is not that bad.</li>
<li>The company declared a dividend of 11.3 HKD/cent (9.6% annualized) and flagged a slightly better demand environment in the first two months of H2 FY25 as green shoots slowly emerge.</li>
<li>On our numbers, the stock trades at 9.3x FY25 and has &gt;10% (as historic payout &gt;100%), with the caveat that a better demand environment is sustained. </li>
</ul>



Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK) reported weak numbers for H1 FY25, with revenues/PAT down 13%/15% YoY. Given the weak sentiment in HK, this print is not that bad.
The company declared a dividend of 11.3 HKD/cent (9.6% annualized) and flagged a slightly better demand environment in the first two months of H2 FY25 as green shoots slowly emerge.
On our numbers, the stock trades at 9.3x FY25 and has &gt;10% (as historic payout &gt;100%), with the caveat that a better demand environment is sustained. 


Perfect Medical (1830 HK) H1 FY25 Earnings: Resilient Yield Despite Weak HK Sentiment

Pacific Textiles Holdings Limited manufactures customized knitted fabrics. The Company's fabrics are used in a broad range of fabrics, including men's, women's, and children's clothing, sportswear, swimwear, and inner-wear.

<ul>
<li>The HK market is moving, and the share prices of high-yield companies are increasing. Despite the average YTD returns of 38%, stocks are trading at 5-15% dividend yields.</li>
<li>We update investors with results from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nameson-holdings-1982-hk-h1-fy25-16-17-dividend-yield-intact" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:166757" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK) H1 FY25: 16-17% Dividend Yield Intact</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a>, which guided down earnings due to interruptions in Vietnam.</li>
<li>We also flag <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12281:1" rel="noopener">Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK)</a> results, buybacks, and some updates from our conference call with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)</a> management. </li>
</ul>


The HK market is moving, and the share prices of high-yield companies are increasing. Despite the average YTD returns of 38%, stocks are trading at 5-15% dividend yields.
We update investors with results from Nameson Holdings (1982 HK) H1 FY25: 16-17% Dividend Yield Intact and Pacific Textiles (1382 HK), which guided down earnings due to interruptions in Vietnam.
We also flag Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK) results, buybacks, and some updates from our conference call with Nameson Holdings (1982 HK) management. 


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener:  Attractive Yield & Rapid Expansion Outside China - Dec 2024

Uchi Technologies Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, designs, researches, develops, and manufactures miniature data terminals, fuzzy logic controllers, and control modules.  Uchi Technologies also assembles electrical components onto printed circuit boards and trades complete electric module and saturated paper of PCB lamination.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uchi-technologies-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10723:1" rel="noopener">Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK)</a> reported revenues/profits down 11%/15% YoY due to the USD's depreciation against the MYR in Q3 and weak demand. FY24 revenue guidance was unchanged (high-single digit negative). </li>
<li>The group announced a solid eight-sen dividend and is on track to distribute at least 26-28 sen dividends for FY24 (vs. 30 sen in FY23), implying a 7.2% yield.</li>
<li>The company is net cash (~9%), trades at a 14x PE and has an ROCE&gt;35% across the last 10 years (74% for 2023).</li>
</ul>



Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK) reported revenues/profits down 11%/15% YoY due to the USD's depreciation against the MYR in Q3 and weak demand. FY24 revenue guidance was unchanged (high-single digit negative). 
The group announced a solid eight-sen dividend and is on track to distribute at least 26-28 sen dividends for FY24 (vs. 30 sen in FY23), implying a 7.2% yield.
The company is net cash (~9%), trades at a 14x PE and has an ROCE&gt;35% across the last 10 years (74% for 2023).


Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK): Resilient Profitability (64% OP) And >50% ROE Despite Weak Demand

Commodities

Copper is a chemical element with symbol Cu (from Latin: cuprum) and atomic number 29. It is a soft, malleable and ductile metal with very high thermal and electrical conductivity. A freshly exposed surface of pure copper has a reddish-orange color. It is used as a conductor of heat and electricity, as a building material and as a constituent of various metal alloys, such as Sterling silver used in jewelry, cupronickel used to make marine hardware and coins and constantan used in strain gauges and thermocouples for temperature measurement.

<ul>
<li>As part of our series of initiations on copper stocks, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lundin-mining-corp-92352503-3781-4fcb-a4db-62e6f6343783" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25356:1" rel="noopener">Lundin Mining (LUN CN)</a> is another play with a cheaper multiple than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-copper-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16279:1" rel="noopener">Southern Copper (SCCO US)</a> but an inferior ROCE.</li>
<li>With its most recent acquisition of the Jose Maria copper project in a 50:50 JV with BHP, the mid-size copper-producing company is on its way to growth after 2027.</li>
<li>Trading at 17x FY25e and 5.0x EV-EBITDA, this is another company in our stable worth exploring. </li>
</ul>


As part of our series of initiations on copper stocks, Lundin Mining (LUN CN) is another play with a cheaper multiple than Southern Copper (SCCO US) but an inferior ROCE.
With its most recent acquisition of the Jose Maria copper project in a 50:50 JV with BHP, the mid-size copper-producing company is on its way to growth after 2027.
Trading at 17x FY25e and 5.0x EV-EBITDA, this is another company in our stable worth exploring. 


Lundin Mining (LUN CN): Cheap Play on Copper

Keepers Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of liquor such as wine, spirits, and other beverages. Keepers Holdings serves customers in Philippine.

<ul>
<li>We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for the mid and small-caps in the Philippines.</li>
<li>We set criteria for high ROCE, reasonable growth (10-15% YoY), strong balance sheets, and reasonable capital allocation (dividend yields), all ingredients for being multi-baggers.</li>
<li>We update results declared for Q3 by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shakey-s-pizza-asia-ventures" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23706:1" rel="noopener">Shakey's Pizza (PIZZA PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ginebra-san-miguel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23029:1" rel="noopener">Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> </li>
</ul>


We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for the mid and small-caps in the Philippines.
We set criteria for high ROCE, reasonable growth (10-15% YoY), strong balance sheets, and reasonable capital allocation (dividend yields), all ingredients for being multi-baggers.
We update results declared for Q3 by Shakey's Pizza (PIZZA PM), Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM), The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) and DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) 


Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - November 2024

A buy-side analyst with over 15 years of experience investing in Asian markets and specializing in the mid-small cap space, emphasizing value investing in companies with good free cash flows/dividends and long-term holding horizons. 
Exempt Financial Adviser (EFA) under CrossASEAN Research Pte Ltd. It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.