Asia Consumer Research, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Asia Consumer Research

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>'s smartphone shipments to India surged in Q2 2024, reclaiming the top spot, while Samsung slipped to third.</li>
<li>Consumer discretionary sales, including smartphones, were weak during the quarter due to elections, subdued demand, and extreme weather.</li>
<li>The upcoming festive season is crucial for sales, with customers anticipating new launches and better bargains. 5G device upgrades continue to drive growth in 2024.</li>
</ul>



Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)'s smartphone shipments to India surged in Q2 2024, reclaiming the top spot, while Samsung slipped to third.
Consumer discretionary sales, including smartphones, were weak during the quarter due to elections, subdued demand, and extreme weather.
The upcoming festive season is crucial for sales, with customers anticipating new launches and better bargains. 5G device upgrades continue to drive growth in 2024.


Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Tops India Smartphone Market; Samsung Falls to Third

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited produces a wide range of branded beer and spirits in Thailand.

<ul>
<li>Welcome to <em><strong>Consumer Tales &amp; Trends</strong></em>, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a>'s proposed swap deal with promoter company raises several questions for shareholders. Start with the back story about how <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)</a> joined the group.</li>
<li>Bigger weddings could become a trend in India - Read why we like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers(KALYANKJ IN)</a> . Also, household debt in Thailand as % of GDP is highest in ASEAN.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Consumer Tales &amp; Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.

Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)'s proposed swap deal with promoter company raises several questions for shareholders. Start with the back story about how Fraser And Neave (FNN SP) joined the group.
Bigger weddings could become a trend in India - Read why we like Kalyan Jewellers(KALYANKJ IN) . Also, household debt in Thailand as % of GDP is highest in ASEAN.


Consumer Tales & Trends #July 11-20: THBEV SP Swap Deal, Bad Debts in Thailand, AI in Beauty.

Event-Driven

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage(THBEVSP)</a>'s  proposed swap deal involves acquiring a 41.3% stake in F&amp;N from promoters, seemingly at book value than fair market value, expected in case of an arms length transaction.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)</a>  holds a 20.3% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vietnam-dairy-products-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19635:1" rel="noopener">Vietnam Dairy(VNM VN</a>), Vietnam's leading dairy player, which is now trading at nearly a 40% discount to the investment value.</li>
<li>Understanding TCC Assets' ownership history of F&amp;N may help clarify the deal's valuation rationale.</li>
</ul>



Thai Beverage(THBEVSP)'s  proposed swap deal involves acquiring a 41.3% stake in F&amp;N from promoters, seemingly at book value than fair market value, expected in case of an arms length transaction.

Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)  holds a 20.3% stake in Vietnam Dairy(VNM VN), Vietnam's leading dairy player, which is now trading at nearly a 40% discount to the investment value.
Understanding TCC Assets' ownership history of F&amp;N may help clarify the deal's valuation rationale.


Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage(THBEV SP)</a>  has proposed a share swap-deal with a promoter company to acquire additional stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">FraserAnd Neave(FNN SP)</a>  in exchange for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Property</a> at negotiated valuations, not market prices.</li>
<li>Post-Completion of the swap deal with the promoter-owned entity, which requires shareholder approval, Thai Bev will hold a 69.6% stake in F&amp;N and no stake in Fraser Property (FPL).</li>
<li>If the stake swap were valued at yesterday's closing share prices, it would imply a drop in the total stake value for Thai Bev after the proposed deal.</li>
</ul>



Thai Beverage(THBEV SP)  has proposed a share swap-deal with a promoter company to acquire additional stake in FraserAnd Neave(FNN SP)  in exchange for Frasers Property at negotiated valuations, not market prices.
Post-Completion of the swap deal with the promoter-owned entity, which requires shareholder approval, Thai Bev will hold a 69.6% stake in F&amp;N and no stake in Fraser Property (FPL).
If the stake swap were valued at yesterday's closing share prices, it would imply a drop in the total stake value for Thai Bev after the proposed deal.


Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive

Kalyan Jewellers India Limited designs and manufactures gold, diamonds, stones, and other precious metal jewelry products. The Company offers rings, bangles, necklace, pendant, bracelets, earrings, and chains. Kalyan Jewellers India serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> , a leading jeweller with a pan-India presence, is expected to deliver strong sales growth, and improving returns with its asset-light expansion plans.</li>
<li>Indian weddings have transformed from simple rituals to elaborate celebrations requiring heavy spending on jewellery and specialty apparel, reflecting rising affluence and media influence.</li>
<li>Wedding related jewellery demand constitutes 60% of India’s total gold jewellery demand and remains resilient regardless of price changes.</li>
</ul>



Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) , a leading jeweller with a pan-India presence, is expected to deliver strong sales growth, and improving returns with its asset-light expansion plans.
Indian weddings have transformed from simple rituals to elaborate celebrations requiring heavy spending on jewellery and specialty apparel, reflecting rising affluence and media influence.
Wedding related jewellery demand constitutes 60% of India’s total gold jewellery demand and remains resilient regardless of price changes.


Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN): Riding the Big Fat Indian Wedding Boom

Asia Consumer Sector Focus. Fundamental Research.

Experience: Equity research analyst with Buy and Sell-side Institutions. ASEAN, India & North Asia Markets. Consumer Discretionary, Media, Textiles, Oil, Gas & Coal sectors. 
Mindfulness and Meditation Enthusiast.

Devi Subhakesan
Asia Consumer Research
• Investory

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Tops India Smartphone Market; Samsung Falls to Third

Xiaomi makes a strong comeback as the leading player in the Indian smartphone market after a 6-quarter hiatus due to regulatory and other...

Devi Subhakesan

Consumer Tales & Trends #July 11-20: THBEV SP Swap Deal, Bad Debts in Thailand, AI in Beauty.

This week's update covers Thai Beverage's proposed swap deal, India's marriage spending boom, Thailand's household debt crisis, and AI innovations...

Devi Subhakesan

Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value

Majority ownership in F&N will require Thai Bev to consolidate low-return businesses into its books. This stake acquisition offers limited...

Devi Subhakesan

Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive

Proposed share swap deal with promoter company based on negotiated values not market prices. Acquisition value for F&N seem excessive and...

Devi Subhakesan

Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN): Riding the Big Fat Indian Wedding Boom

Kalyan Jewellers' asset-light expansion strategy is set to capitalise on the growth of the organised jewelry sector. Expected to drive higher near...

Devi Subhakesan