Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I make extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

Tesla's $800 Billion Wipeout: The Troubling Signs Investors Can’t Ignore!

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Trial in China Delayed by Regulatory Checks 

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Politico just published a <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/04/02/trump-musk-leaving-political-liability-00265784" target="_blank" rel="noopener">report saying that Elon Musk is about to Step Back from DOGE</a>, if true, this could impact somehow <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> stock price.</li>
<li>Death threats and the spate vandalism directed at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a>'s cars, plus Musk being viewed as a potential political liability by members of the Trump Administration are the drivers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> brand has been heavily damaged by Musk involvement in politics, sales are falling gobally and competitors like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> are rising. The stock is short-term OVERBOUGHT. </li>
</ul>


Politico just published a report saying that Elon Musk is about to Step Back from DOGE, if true, this could impact somehow Tesla (TSLA US) stock price.
Death threats and the spate vandalism directed at Tesla (TSLA US)'s cars, plus Musk being viewed as a potential political liability by members of the Trump Administration are the drivers.

Tesla (TSLA US) brand has been heavily damaged by Musk involvement in politics, sales are falling gobally and competitors like BYD (1211 HK) are rising. The stock is short-term OVERBOUGHT. 


TESLA'S Outlook After Rumors Elon Musk Will Step Back from DOGE